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201.
Narges Afsari Forogh Sodoudi Fataneh Taghizadeh Farahmand Mohammad Reza Ghassemi 《Journal of Seismology》2011,15(2):341-353
Receiver functions are widely employed to detect P-to-S converted waves and are especially useful to image seismic discontinuities
in the crust. In this study we used the P receiver function technique to investigate the velocity structure of the crust beneath
the Northwest Zagros and Central Iran and map out the lateral variation of the Moho boundary within this area. Our dataset
includes teleseismic data (M
b ≥ 5.5, epicentral distance from 30° to 95°) recorded at 12 three-component short-period stations of Kermanshah, Isfahan and
Yazd telemetry seismic networks. Our results obtained from P receiver functions indicate clear Ps conversions at the Moho
boundary. The Moho depths were firstly estimated from the delay time of the Moho converted phase relative to the direct P
wave beneath each network. Then, we used the P receiver function inversion to find the properties of the Moho discontinuity
such as depth and velocity contrast. Our results obtained from PRF are in good agreement with those obtained from the P receiver
function modeling. We found an average Moho depth of about 42 km beneath the Northwest Zagros increasing toward the Sanandaj-Sirjan
Metamorphic Zone and reaches 51 km, where two crusts (Zagros and Central Iran) are assumed to be superposed. The Moho depth
decreases toward the Urmieh-Dokhtar Cenozoic volcanic belt and reaches 43 km beneath this area. We found a relatively flat
Moho beneath the Central Iran where, the average crustal thickness is about 42 km. Our P receiver function modeling revealed
a shear wave velocity of 3.6 km/s in the crust of Northwest Zagros and Central Iran increasing to 4.5 km/s beneath the Moho
boundary. The average shear wave velocity in the crust of UDMA as SSZ is 3.6 km/s, which reaches to 4.0 km/s while in SSZ
increases to 4.3 km/s beneath the Moho. 相似文献
202.
Rahman Khatibi Mohammad Ali Ghorbani Mohammad Taghi Aalami Kasim Kocak Oleg Makarynskyy Dina Makarynska Mahdi Aalinezhad 《Ocean Dynamics》2011,61(11):1797-1807
Water level forecasting using recorded time series can provide a local modelling capability to facilitate local proactive
management practices. To this end, hourly sea water level time series are investigated. The records collected at the Hillarys
Boat Harbour, Western Australia, are investigated over the period of 2000 and 2002. Two modelling techniques are employed:
low-dimensional dynamic model, known as the deterministic chaos theory, and genetic programming, GP. The phase space, which
describes the evolution of the behaviour of a nonlinear system in time, was reconstructed using the delay-embedding theorem
suggested by Takens. The presence of chaotic signals in the data was identified by the phase space reconstruction and correlation
dimension methods, and also the predictability into the future was calculated by the largest Lyapunov exponent to be 437 h
or 18 days into the future. The intercomparison of results of the local prediction and GP models shows that for this site-specific
dataset, the local prediction model has a slight edge over GP. However, rather than recommending one technique over another,
the paper promotes a pluralistic modelling culture, whereby different techniques should be tested to gain a specific insight
from each of the models. This would enable a consensus to be drawn from a set of results rather than ignoring the individual
insights provided by each model. 相似文献
203.
Mohammad AlHamaydeh Sulayman Abdullah Ahmed Hamid Abdilwahhab Mustapha 《地震工程与工程振动(英文版)》2011,10(4):495-506
This study investigates the seismic design factors for three reinforced concrete (RC) framed buildings with 4, 16 and 32-stories in Dubai, UAE utilizing nonlinear analysis. The buildings are designed according to the response spectrum procedure defined in the 2009 International Building Code (IBC’09). Two ensembles of ground motion records with 10% and 2% probability of exceedance in 50 years (10/50 and 2/50, respectively) are used. The nonlinear dynamic responses to the earthquake records are computed using IDARC-2D. Key seismic design parameters are evaluated; namely, response modification factor (R), deflection amplification factor (Cd), system overstrength factor (Ωo), and response modification factor for ductility (Rd) in addition to inelastic interstory drift. The evaluated seismic design factors are found to significantly depend on the considered ground motion (10/50 versus 2/50). Consequently, resolution to the controversy of Dubai seismicity is urged. The seismic design factors for the 2/50 records show an increase over their counterparts for the 10/50 records in the range of 200%-400%, except for the Ωo factor, which shows a mere 30% increase. Based on the observed trends, period-dependent R and Cd factors are recommended if consistent collapse probability (or collapse prevention performance) in moment frames with varying heights is to be expected. 相似文献
204.
A probabilistic tsunami hazard assessment for the Makran subduction zone at the northwestern Indian Ocean 总被引:2,自引:1,他引:1
A probabilistic tsunami hazard assessment is performed for the Makran subduction zone (MSZ) at the northwestern Indian Ocean
employing a combination of probability evaluation of offshore earthquake occurrence and numerical modeling of resulting tsunamis.
In our method, we extend the Kijko and Sellevoll’s (1992) probabilistic analysis from earthquakes to tsunamis. The results suggest that the southern coasts of Iran and Pakistan,
as well as Muscat, Oman are the most vulnerable areas among those studied. The probability of having tsunami waves exceeding
5 m over a 50-year period in these coasts is estimated as 17.5%. For moderate tsunamis, this probability is estimated as high
as 45%. We recommend the application of this method as a fresh approach for doing probabilistic hazard assessment for tsunamis.
Finally, we emphasize that given the lack of sufficient information on the mechanism of large earthquake generation in the
MSZ, and inadequate data on Makran’s paleo and historical earthquakes, this study can be regarded as the first generation
of PTHA for this region and more studies should be done in the future. 相似文献
205.
Ali M. Rajabi Mohammad R. Mahdavifar M. Khamehchiyan V. Del Gaudio 《Natural Hazards》2011,59(2):1189-1203
Earthquake-induced landslides are responsible worldwide for significant socioeconomic losses and historically have a prominent
position in the list of natural hazards affecting the Iran plateau. As a step toward the development of tools for the assessment
and the management of this kind of hazard at regional scale, an empirical estimator of coseismic displacements along potential
sliding surfaces was obtained through a regression analysis for the Zagros region, a mountainous Iranian region subjected
to earthquake-induced landslides. This estimator, based on the Newmark’s model, allows to evaluate the expected permanent
displacement (named “Newmark displacement”) induced by seismic shaking of defined energy on potential sliding surface characterized
by a given critical acceleration. To produce regression models for Newmark
displacement estimators, a data set was constructed for different critical
acceleration values on the basis of 108 accelerometric recordings from 80 Iranian earthquakes with moment magnitudes between 3.6 and 7.
The empirical estimator has a general form, proposed by Jibson (Eng Geol 91:209–218, 2007), relating Newmark
displacement to Arias
intensity (as parameter representing the energy of the seismic forces) and to critical
acceleration (as parameter representing the dynamic shear resistance of the sliding mass). As an example of application, this relation
was employed to provide a basic document for earthquake-induced landslide hazard assessment at regional scale, according to
a method proposed by Del Gaudio et al. (Bull Seismol Soc Am 93:557–569, 2003), applied to the whole Iranian territory, including Zagros region. This method consists in evaluating the shear resistance
required to slopes to limit the occurrence of seismically induced failures, on the basis of the Newmark’s model. The obtained
results show that the exposure to landslide seismic induction is maximum in the Alborz Mountains region, where critical
accelerations up to ~0.1 g are required to limit the probability of seismic triggering of coherent type landslides within 10% in 50 years. 相似文献
206.
Mahnaz Parvaneh-Nejad SHIRAZI Mohammad BAHRAMI Bahman REZAEE Shahin GHARAMANI 《《地质学报》英文版》2011,85(4):777-783
The middle Cretaceous Kazhdumi Formation,with a thickness of 222 m,belongs to the Bangestan Group and occurs in the Zagros folded zone in southwest Iran.The lower boundary with the Dariyan Formation is disconformable,which is recognized by iron oxides and glauconite.The recognized microfossils are Valvulammina sp.,Scandonea sp.,Daxia cenomana,Choffatela sp., Pseudolituonella reicheli and calcareous algae-Lithocodium aggregation(which belongs to the Sarvak Formation),representing the beginning of Cenomani... 相似文献
207.
Seyyed Mohammad Mousavi Amir Hossein Alavi Ali Mollahasani Amir Hossein Gandomi 《Engineering Geology》2011,123(4):324
In this study, new empirical equations were developed to predict the soil deformation moduli utilizing a hybrid method coupling genetic programming and simulated annealing, called GP/SA. The proposed models relate secant (Es), unloading (Eu) and reloading (Er) moduli obtained from plate load–settlement curves to the basic soil physical properties. Several models with different combinations of the influencing parameters were developed and checked to select the best GP/SA models. The database used for developing the models was established upon a series of plate load tests (PLT) conducted on different soil types at various depths. The validity of the models was tested using parts of the test results that were not included in the analysis. The validation of the models was further verified using several statistical criteria. A traditional GP analysis was performed to benchmark the GP/SA models. The contributions of the parameters affecting Es, Eu and Er were analyzed through a sensitivity analysis. The proposed models are able to estimate the soil deformation moduli with an acceptable degree of accuracy. The Es prediction model has a remarkably better performance than the models developed for predicting Eu and Er. The simplified formulations for Es, Eu and Er provide significantly better results than the GP-based models and empirical models found in the literature. 相似文献
208.
Regional flood frequency analysis (RFFA) is often used in hydrology to estimate flood quantiles when there is a limitation
of at-site recorded flood data. One of the commonly used RFFA methods is the index flood method, which is based on the assumptions
that a region satisfies criterion of simple scaling and it can be treated homogeneous. Another RFFA method is quantile regression
technique where prediction equations are developed for flood quantiles of interest as function of catchment characteristics.
In this paper, the scaling property of regional floods in New South Wales (NSW) State in Australia is investigated. The results
indicate that the annual maximum floods in NSW satisfy a simple scaling assumption. The application of a heterogeneity test,
however, reveals that NSW flood data set does not satisfy the criteria for a homogeneous region. Finally, a set of prediction
equations are developed for NSW using quantile regression technique; an independent test shows that these equations can provide
reasonably accurate design flood estimates with a median relative error of about 27%. 相似文献
209.
Combining AHP with GIS for Predictive Cu Porphyry Potential Mapping: A Case Study in Ahar Area (NW,Iran) 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
Kaveh Pazand Ardeshir Hezarkhani Mohammad Ataei Yousef Ghanbari 《Natural Resources Research》2011,20(4):251-262
Using the analytic hierarchy process (AHP) method for multi-index evaluation has special advantages, while the use of geographic
information systems (GIS) is suitable for spatial analysis. Combining AHP with GIS provides an effective approach for studies
of mineral potential mapping evaluation. Selection of potential areas for exploration is a complex process in which many diverse
criteria are to be considered. In this article, AHP and GIS are used for providing potential maps for Cu porphyry mineralization
on the basis of criteria derived from geologic, geochemical, and geophysical, and remote sensing data including alteration
and faults. Each criterion was evaluated with the aid of AHP and the result mapped by GIS. This approach allows the use of
a mixture of quantitative and qualitative information for decision-making. The results of application in this article provide
acceptable outcomes for copper porphyry exploration. 相似文献
210.
Mohammad Rezaei Masoud Monjezi Saeed Ghorbani Moghaddam Farhad Farzaneh 《Arabian Journal of Geosciences》2011,5(5):1031-1037
Burden prediction is a vital task in the production blasting. Both the excessive and insufficient burden can significantly affect the result of blasting operation. The burden which is determined by empirical models is often inaccurate and needs to be adjusted experimentally. In this paper, an attempt was made to develop an artificial neural network (ANN) in order to predict burden in the blasting operation of the Mouteh gold mine, using considering geomechanical properties of rocks as input parameters. As such here, network inputs consist of blastability index (BI), rock quality designation (RQD), unconfined compressive strength (UCS), density, and cohesive strength. To make a database (including 95 datasets), rock samples are used from Iran’s Mouteh goldmine. Trying various types of the networks, a neural network, with architecture 5-15-10-1, was found to be optimum. Superiority of ANN over regression model is proved by calculating. To compare the performance of the ANN modeling with that of multivariable regression analysis (MVRA), mean absolute error (E a), mean relative error (E r), and determination coefficient (R 2) between predicted and real values were calculated for both the models. It was observed that the ANN prediction capability is better than that of MVRA. The absolute and relative errors for the ANN model were calculated 0.05 m and 3.85%, respectively, whereas for the regression analysis, these errors were computed 0.11 m and 5.63%, respectively. Moreover, determination coefficient of the ANN model and MVRA were determined 0.987 and 0.924, respectively. Further, a sensitivity analysis shows that while BI and RQD were recognized as the most sensitive and effective parameters, cohesive strength is considered as the least sensitive input parameters on the ANN model output effective on the proposed (burden). 相似文献