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81.
California Governor’s Executive Order (CGEO) S-3-05 requires that California greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions be reduced to 80 % below 1990 levels by the year 2050. Meeting this target will require drastic changes in transportation technology, fuel, and behavior which will reduce criteria pollutant emissions as well as GHG emissions. The improvement to local air quality caused by the reduced criteria pollutant emissions must be calculated to fully evaluate the overall benefits and costs of CGEO S-3-05. In the present study, seven different transportation scenarios that move towards the goals of CGEO S-3-05 in the transportation sector were examined to determine how they would affect future airborne particulate matter (PM2.5) concentrations in California: (1) hydrogen fuel cells, (2) electric vehicles, (3) high efficiency vehicles, (4) public mass transit, (5) biofuels, (6) biofuels + hybrid electric vehicles, and (7) hydrogen fuel cells + electric vehicles. The air quality implications of each scenario were evaluated using a chemical transport model applied during a wintertime stagnation episode representing future climate in California. Scenarios (6) and (7) reduced population-weighted PM2.5 mass concentrations by ~9 % and PM2.5 elemental carbon (EC) concentrations by ~30 % relative to base-case predictions. 相似文献
82.
Christian Koeberl Jack B. Hartung Michael J. Kunk Jeffrey Klein Jun-Ichi Matsuda Keisuke Nagao Wolf Uwe Reimold Dieter Storzer 《Meteoritics & planetary science》1993,28(2):204-212
Abstract The well-preserved 2.5 km diameter Roter Kamm impact crater is located in the Namib desert in Namibia. The impact has occurred in Precambrian granitic and granodioritic orthogneisses of the 1200–900 Ma old Namaqualand Metamorphic Complex which were partly covered by Gariep metasediments; the granites are invaded by quartz veins and quartz-feldspar-pegmatites. Previous geological field evidence suggested a crater age of about 5–10 Ma. In order to constrain this age, we selected a set of basement rocks (granites, granodiorites) exposed at the crater rim and studied the Rb-Sr, K-Ar, 40Ar-39Ar, and 10Be-26Al isotopic systems as well as apatite fission track ages of these samples. The Rb-Sr isotopic systematics confirm the derivation of these samples from the Namaqualand basement (age about 1.29 Ga), which underwent Damaran orogenesis at about 650 Ma. No basement rocks with Rb-Sr ages younger than about 410 Ma were identified. The K-Ar ages of pseudotachylite and melt breccia samples show that these samples are dominated by incompletely degassed fragments of basement rocks, with some retaining their original metamorphic ages of about 470 Ma. The apatite fission track ages range from 20–28 Ma, which may be interpreted as an extension of the 25 Ma Burdigalian peneplanation event, or as incomplete resetting of the apatite fission tracks during the impact event. The 10Be and 26Al exposure age of a quartz sample isolated from a quartz-pegmatite was found to be 150 ka; it is likely that the exposure of the sample began after material covering it had been removed by erosion 150 ka ago. Two glassy fractions extracted from a rim granite were dated by 40Ar-39Ar analysis. One sample gives practically a plateau age of 3.7 ± 0.3 Ma, while the other gives a minimum age of 3.6 Ma. The best available age estimate for the Roter Kamm crater is therefore 3.7 ± 0.3 Ma. 相似文献
83.
A pragmatic and simple approach for estimating the groundwater recharge of karst aquifers in mountainous regions by extrapolation of the hydrological regimes of gauged and well‐documented systems is presented. Specific discharge rates are derived using annual precipitation and spring measurements by taking into account catchment size and elevation, which are assumed to be the dominant factors. Reference sites with high data reliability are used for calibration and regional extrapolation. This is performed with normalized values employing spatial precipitation deviations and correlation with the elevation of the catchment areas. A tiered step procedure provides minimum and maximum normalized gradients for the relationship between recharge quantity and elevation for karst regions. The normalized recharge can therefore be obtained and extrapolated for any location using the spatial precipitation variability to provide an estimate of annual groundwater recharge. The approach was applied to Switzerland (approximately 7500 km2 of karst terrain situated between 200 and over 4000 m a.s.l.) using annual precipitation data from meteorological stations for the years 2000 to 2011. Results show that the average recharge rates of different Swiss karst domains range from 20 to 46 L/km2s, which corresponds to an infiltration ratio between 0.6 and 0.9 of total precipitation. Despite uncertainties inherent in the approach, these results provide a benchmark for renewable karst groundwater resources in Switzerland of about 8.4 km3/year. The approach can be applied to any other mountainous karst region, that is, where a clear relationship between elevation, precipitation and recharge can be assumed. Copyright © 2015 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. 相似文献
84.
85.
The Karin cluster is one of the youngest known families of main-belt asteroids, dating back to a collisional event only 5.8±0.2 Myr ago. Using the Spitzer Space Telescope we have photometrically sampled the thermal continua (3.5-22 μm) of 17 Karin cluster asteroids of different sizes, down to the smallest members discovered so far, in order to make the first direct measurements of their sizes and albedos and study the physical properties of their surfaces. Our targets are also amongst the smallest main-belt asteroids observed to date in the mid-infrared. The derived diameters range from 17.3 km for 832 Karin to 1.5 km for 75176, with typical uncertainties of 10%. The mean albedo is pv=0.215±0.015, compared to 0.20±0.07 for 832 Karin itself (for H=11.2±0.3), consistent with the view that the Karin asteroids are closely related physically as well as dynamically. The albedo distribution (0.12?pv?0.32) is consistent with the range associated with S-type asteroids but the variation from one object to another appears to be significant. Contrary to the case for near-Earth asteroids, our data show no evidence of an albedo dependence on size. However, the mean albedo is lower than expected for young, fresh “S-type” surfaces, suggesting that space weathering can darken main-belt asteroid surfaces on very short timescales. Our data are also suggestive of a connection between surface roughness and albedo, which may reflect rejuvenation of weathered surfaces by impact gardening. While the available data allow only estimates of lower limits for thermal inertia, we find no evidence for the relatively high values of thermal inertia reported for some similarly sized near-Earth asteroids. Our results constitute the first observational confirmation of the legitimacy of assumptions made in recent modeling of the formation of the Karin cluster via a single catastrophic collision 5.8±0.2 Myr ago. 相似文献
86.
Vadim S. Kamenetsky Alexander Belousov Victor V. Sharygin Liudmila M. Zhitova Kathy Ehrig Michael E. Zelenski Ilya Chaplygin Marina A. Yudovskaya Pavel N. Nesterenko Sergey M. Zakharov 《地学学报》2019,31(6):511-517
Subvolcanic environments in supra‐subduction zones are renowned for hosting epithermal deposits that often contain electrum and native gold, including bonanza examples. This study examined mineral assemblages and processes occurring in shallow‐crust volcanic settings using recent eruption (2012–2013) of the basaltic Tolbachik volcano in the Kamchatka arc. The Tolbachik eruptive system is characterized by an extensive system of lava tubes. After cessation of magma input, the tubes maintained the flow of hot oxidized gases that episodically interacted with the lava surfaces and sulphate‐chloride precipitates from volcanic gases on these surfaces. The gas‐rock interaction had strong pyrometamorphic effects that resulted in the formation of molten salt, oxidized (tenorite, hematite, Cu‐rich magnesioferrite) and skarn‐like silicate mineral assemblages. By analogy with experimental studies, we propose that a combination of these processes was responsible for extraction of metals from the basaltic wall rocks and deposition of Cu‐, Fe‐ and Cu‐Fe‐oxides and native gold. 相似文献
87.
Assessing future risk: quantifying the effects of sea level rise on storm surge risk for the southern shores of Long Island, New York 总被引:1,自引:1,他引:1
Christine C. Shepard Vera N. Agostini Ben Gilmer Tashya Allen Jeff Stone William Brooks Michael W. Beck 《Natural Hazards》2012,60(2):727-745
Sea level rise threatens to increase the impacts of future storms and hurricanes on coastal communities. However, many coastal
hazard mitigation plans do not consider sea level rise when assessing storm surge risk. Here we apply a GIS-based approach
to quantify potential changes in storm surge risk due to sea level rise on Long Island, New York. We demonstrate a method
for combining hazard exposure and community vulnerability to spatially characterize risk for both present and future sea level
conditions using commonly available national data sets. Our results show that sea level rise will likely increase risk in
many coastal areas and will potentially create risk where it was not before. We find that even modest and probable sea level
rise (.5 m by 2080) vastly increases the numbers of people (47% increase) and property loss (73% increase) impacted by storm
surge. In addition, the resulting maps of hazard exposure and community vulnerability provide a clear and useful example of
the visual representation of the spatial distribution of the components of risk that can be helpful for developing targeted
hazard mitigation and climate change adaptation strategies. Our results suggest that coastal agencies tasked with managing
storm surge risk must consider the effects of sea level rise if they are to ensure safe and sustainable coastal communities
in the future. 相似文献
88.
Filippo Bandini Michael Butts Torsten Vammen Jacobsen Peter Bauer‐Gottwein 《水文研究》2017,31(24):4371-4383
Integrated hydrological models are usually calibrated against observations of river discharge and piezometric head in groundwater aquifers. Calibration of such models against spatially distributed observations of river water level can potentially improve their reliability and predictive skill. However, traditional river gauging stations are normally spaced too far apart to capture spatial patterns in the water surface, whereas spaceborne observations have limited spatial and temporal resolution. Unmanned aerial vehicles can retrieve river water level measurements, providing (a) high spatial resolution; (b) spatially continuous profiles along or across the water body, and (c) flexible timing of sampling. A semisynthetic study was conducted to analyse the value of the new unmanned aerial vehicle‐borne datatype for improving hydrological models, in particular estimates of groundwater–surface water (GW–SW) interaction. Mølleåen River (Denmark) and its catchment were simulated using an integrated hydrological model (MIKE 11–MIKE SHE). Calibration against distributed surface water levels using the Differential Evolution Adaptive Metropolis algorithm demonstrated a significant improvement in estimating spatial patterns and time series of GW–SW interaction. After water level calibration, the sharpness of the estimates of GW–SW time series improves by ~50% and root mean square error decreases by ~75% compared with those of a model calibrated against discharge only. 相似文献
89.
Although there is a substantial amount of research on households’ hurricane evacuation decision making, there is much less
research on the logistical issues involved in implementing those evacuations. The limited research on household evacuation
logistics has consistently shown that most evacuees stay in the homes of friends and relatives or in commercial facilities
rather than in public shelters. However, evacuation logistics—which can be defined as the activities and associated resources
needed to reach a safe location and remain there until it is safe to return—encompasses a much broader range of behaviors
than this. The present study extends previous research by reporting data on other aspects of evacuation logistics such as
departure timing, vehicle use, evacuation routes, travel distance, shelter type, evacuation duration, and evacuation cost.
Hurricane Lili evacuation data at the county level are generally consistent with the data from previous hurricanes, but there
is notable variation across counties studied here. There were only modest correlations of demographic and geographic variables
with the evacuation logistics variables, a result that indicates further research is needed to better understand what happens
between the time an evacuation decision is made and the time re-entry is begun. Moreover, research is needed to understand
the logistics of evacuation by special populations such as transients and households with disabled members. 相似文献
90.
Ian Knowles Michael Teubner Aimin Yan Paul Rasser Jong Wook Lee 《Hydrogeology Journal》2007,15(6):1107-1118
A new inverse technique for modelling groundwater flow, based on a functional minimization technique, has been used to calibrate
a groundwater flow model of a subregion of the Port Willunga aquifer within the Willunga Basin in South Australia. The Willunga
Basin is the location of extensive viticulture, irrigated primarily by groundwater, the levels and quality of which have declined
significantly over the last 40 years. The new method is able to generate estimates of transmissivity, storativity and groundwater
recharge over the whole subregion as a time-varying continuous surface; previous methods estimate local discrete parameter
values at specific times. The new method has also been shown to produce accurate head values for the subregion and very good
estimates of groundwater recharge. Its ultimate goal will be to provide a new and invaluable tool for significantly improved
groundwater resource management.
Supported in part by US National Science Foundation grants, DMS-0107492 and DMS-0079478. 相似文献