对“评‘两次希腊大地震的预测’”的答复

我们欢迎来自Papadopoulos的批评。但我们必须指出,这些批评大部分都是不正确的。     

A NUMERICAL STUDY ON THE FORMATION AND DEVELOPMENT OF ISLAND-INDUCED CYCLONE AND ITS IMPACT ON TYPHOON STRUCTURE CHANGE AND MOTION

In this paper,the impact of the Taiwan Island topography on the structure change and motion ofTyphoon Dot(9017)during its crossing the Taiwan Island is studied with a modified version of aJMA operational regional model(Japan spectral model,JSM).A series of sensitivity experiments areconducted to detect the forming and developing mechanism of an island-induced cyclone.Results showthat lee side low pressure center plays a very important role in the formation of the induced-cyclonewhile a typhoon is approaching a large island with high mountains.The position and intensity of theinduced cyclone is sensitive to the height and location of island mountain,intensity of TC and under-lying surface topography distribution as well.A preliminary formation criterion of the island-inducedcyclone is obtained.     

东海与黑潮海水中宇宙射线成因核素10Be的研究

讨论了中日东海MASFLEX合作计划中调查的东海及冲绳海槽海水中溶解态10Be浓度水平及垂直剖面的结果，在这个海区，影响10Be浓度的因素主要有生物生产力，悬浮颗粒物的再溶解，以及长江水与黑潮水的混合程度。在样品采集期间（夏季和秋季），东海水柱呈分层状态，通常10Be的垂直剖面可以分成三层，即表面混合层，10Be释放层和底层，表层水10Be的浓度众长江口到黑潮逐渐增大，在黑潮的边缘则剧烈增大，10Be的垂直分布表明，在夏季10Be富集在长江口附近和大陆架中部的底层水中，这两个富集海区是分开的，很可能是由大陆沿岸水所隔开，在秋季，10Be在底层水中的富集仅仅出现在东海大陆架的西部，这个现象是和受季风影响的东海海流的变化相一致的，黑潮分支在台湾东北外海向东海南部侵入对10Be的影响要比黑潮主干流本身更加重要显著，由箱式模型所得到的10Be质量平衡计算结果表明，来自黑潮的10Be输入要比长江及大气沉降的输入更为重要，输入东海的10Be大约81％进入到沉积物中，而19％的10Be则通过海流和水交换流出东海，在东海的10Be沉积通量是10Be全球平均大气生产率的5倍左右，因而东海是10Be的一个重要汇集地。     

Equatorial field-aligned irregularities deduced from the echo-train and hybrid whistlers

Summary Equatorial field-aligned irregularities have been studied by using low-latitude echotrain and hybrid whistlers observed at Sakushima Station (geomag. lat. 24°). The structure is discussed in relation to the propagation mode trapped by field-aligned irregularities. We then find that the field-aligned irregularities responsible for the trapping of low latitude whistlers are of such small dimension as the HF ducts.     

Deep-sea coral geochemistry: Implication for the vital effect

Deep-sea corals hold a great potential as a key to important aspects of paleoceanography for at least two reasons, 1) they offer temporal high resolution records of deep-sea environment, because they have growth banding structures, 2) and they are well suited for studying vital effects, because the deep-sea environment does not change over short time scales. However, the relationship between the chemical composition of deep-sea coral skeletons and environmental factors is not well understood. In this study, the chemical composition of deep-sea corals was measured in bulk individuals and along skeletal micro-structures. Among the bulk individuals, δ¹⁸O value and Sr / Ca ratio show a negative but weak correlation with ambient temperature. On the other hand, the Mg / Ca ratio has a positive, weak correlation with the temperature. Large variations were found among samples collected from similar temperature. The variation is up to 3.8‰ for δ¹⁸O, 0.9 mmol/mol for Sr / Ca ratios, and 0.78 mmol/mol for Mg / Ca ratios among samples with ambient average temperature within 1 °C. This variation may be due to a large vital effect. The centers of calcification (COCs), which were formed at high calcification rate, have lower Sr / Ca, U / Ca and higher Mg / Ca ratios than surrounding fasciculi. This chemical distribution supports the model that elemental incorporation depends on calcification rate. This suggests that calcification rate is a very important factor for the chemical composition in deep-sea corals and is one of the most significant mechanisms of the vital effect. Because of this large vital effect, further investigations are essential to use the deep-sea coral as a temperature proxy.     

Analysis of tubular steel bridge piers

A one‐dimensional model is proposed for the static and dynamic analysis of tubular steel bridge piers subjected to strong ground motions. The present formulation does not require experimental results nor shell analysis to obtain the constitutive equation of the model, which shows strength deterioration. The material properties and dimensions of bridge piers are required for static and dynamic analysis of the present model. The present analysis consists of two steps. The first step is to obtain the stress and strain relationship of the base plastic‐hinge region, where local inelastic buckling is observed. The modified Shanley's model and fiber elements are used to establish the compressive skeleton curve. The strength deterioration is taken into account in the resulting constitutive model. The second step is to analyze static and dynamic responses of tubular steel bridge piers. For overall analysis, the base plastic‐hinge region is discretized in the circumferential direction by using fiber elements whose constitutive equation was obtained in the first step. The validity of the present model has been confirmed through comparisons with existing experimental results. Copyright © 2005 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

S, O and Sr isotope systematics of active vent materials from the Mariana backarc basin spreading axis at 18°N

Stable isotope ratios of S, O and Sr have been measured for active vent materials which were first found and sampled in April 1987 from the Mariana backarc spreading axis at 18°N. Chimneys consisted mostly of barite with a lesser proportion of sulfide minerals such as sphalerite, galena, chalcopyrite and pyrite. Theδ³⁴S values of sphalerite and galena taken from several chimneys and various parts of a chimney showed a narrow range from 2.1 to 3.1‰, suggesting uniform conditions of fluid chemistry during chimney growth. The sulfur isotopic results imply a contribution of hydrogen sulfide reduced from seawater sulfate in the deep hydrothermal reaction zone, considering that fresh glasses of the Mariana Trough basalts haveδ³⁴S= −0.6 ± 0.3‰. Sulfur isotopic compositions of hydrogen sulfide in the high temperature vent fluids (δ³⁴S= 3.6–4.8‰) which are higher than those of the sulfide minerals suggest the secondary addition of hydrogen sulfide partially reduced from entrained seawater SO₄²⁻ at a basal part of the chimneys. This interpretation is consistent with theδ³⁴S values of barite (21–22‰) that are higher than those of seawater sulfate. The residence time of the entrained SO₄²⁻ was an order of an hour on a basis of oxygen isotopic disequilibrium of barite. Strontium isotopic variations of barite and vent waters indicated that Sr in barite was mostly derived from the Mariana Trough basalts with a slight contribution from Sr in circulating sea-water, and that 10–20% mixing of seawater with ascending hydrothermal fluids induced precipitation of barite at the sea-floor.     

Strontium, oxygen, and hydrogen isotope geochemistry of hydrothermally altered and weathered rocks in DSDP Hole 504B, Costa Rica Rift

DSDP Hole 504B was drilled into 6 Ma crust, about 200 km south of the Costa Rica Rift, Galapagos Spreading Center, penetrating 1.35 km into a section that can be divided into four zones—Zone I: oxic submarine weathering; Zone II: anoxic alteration; Zones III and IV: hydrothermal alteration to greenschist facies. In Zone III there is intense veining of pillow basalts. Zone IV consists of altered sheeted dikes. Isotopic geochemical signatures in relation to the alteration zones are recorded in Hole 504B, as follows:

Zone	Depth(m)	Average87Sr/86Sr	Average δ18O (%o)	Average δD (%o)
I	275–550	0.7032	7.3	−63
II	550–890	0.7029	6.5	−45
III	890–1050	0.7035	5.6	−31
IV	1050–1350	0.7032	5.5	−36

Full-size table

Alteration temperatures are as low as 10°C in Zones I and II based on oxygen isotope fractionation. Strontium isotopic data indicate that a circulation of seawater is much more restricted in Zone II than in Zone I. Fluid inclusion measurements of vein quartz indicate the alteration temperature was mainly 300 ± 20°C in Zones III and IV, which is consistent with secondary mineral assemblages.The strontium, oxygen, and hydrogen isotopic compositions of hydrothermal fluids which were responsible for the greenschist facies alteration in Zones III and IV are estimated to be 0.7037, 2‰, and 3‰, respectively. Strontium and oxygen isotope data indicate that completely altered portions of greenstones and vein minerals were in equilibrium with modified seawater under low water/rock ratios (in weight) of about 1.6. This value is close to that of the end-member hydrothermal fluids issuing at 21°N EPR.Basement rocks are not completely hydrothermally altered. About 32% of the greenstones in Zones III and IV have escaped alteration. Thus 1 g of fresh basalt including the 32% unaltered portion are required in order to make 1 g of end-member solution from fresh seawater in water-rock reactions.     

Incorporation of Be isotopes and other trace metals into marine ferromanganese deposits

Two-to threefold inward increase of ¹⁰Be, ⁹Be, Cu and Ni have been found in surface layers of marine ferromanganese deposits. We interpret this phenomenon as reflecting the manner in which the Be isotopes and probably other trace metals (e.g. Cu and Ni) are incorporated. On reaching the sea floor exchangeable Be is released from its carrier phase to the pore water of the ferromanganese deposits, diffuses inward and gets fixed into the deposits. The fixation process may be related to the mineralogical reorganizations suggested by previous studies. We have modeled this concept and applied it to a Mn crust on which detailed analyses of Cu, Ni and natural decay-series nuclides, as well as Be isotopes are made. Post-depositional fixation of Th isotopes may also occur. The redistributions of Be and Th isotopes are confined to regions very close to the surface of the deposits. For all practical purposes, they will not affect growth rate determinations conventionally done using these isotopes. The “linearly” extrapolated ${}^{10}\text{Be}{}^9\text{Be}$ ratio to the surface from deep layers of a Mn deposit does not necessarily represent that ratio in sea water.     

Gender analysis of fear and mobility in the context of ethnic conflict in Kayah State,Myanmar

Kayah State has faced prolonged conflict for the past six decades. The conflict has affected all the people of Kayah, though the nature and extent of the impact varies by age, gender and class. Caught between the ethnic armed groups and military and brutalized by both, the people of Kayah have struggled to survive. The conflict has further restricted the mobility of an already isolated people. This lack of mobility has affected every aspect of their lives including livelihood, access to education and markets, and religious and social networks. Women's mobility is more restricted than that of men, and the different levels of mobility have in turn led to different strategies to survive the conflict. While men can leave the area for work and education, women cannot. Staying in the conflict zone increases both their vulnerability and isolation. The increased isolation affects their position within the family and community, as they have less confidence, voice and decision‐making power. Women use silence and submissiveness to escape from both the military and the ethnic armed groups. However, such strategies, in the long term, continue to perpetuate women's subordinate position in society. They also reinforce women's powerlessness and maintain the current power structures and hierarchies.