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291.
Using whole-ecosystem dynamic simulation models fitted to local data, two coastal communities are described (temperate, northern British Columbia, Canada; tropical, Raja Ampat, Indonesia) where relatively poor fishers’ livelihoods are threatened by climate change and overfishing. A novel theoretical minimum bycatch scenario, the ‘maximum dexterity fleet’, is combined with a search algorithm specifying optimal fisheries to achieve economic and biodiversity goals. Potential gains made by approaching an optimal fleet configuration prove robust against increased risks from climate variability. Although fish, gear and way of life differ greatly, in both communities it is suggested that dexterity (adroitness in adapting fishing gear) could lead to improved benefits from fishing.  相似文献   
292.
Glaciovolcanic deposits are critical for documenting the presence and thickness of terrestrial ice-sheets, and for testing hypotheses about inferred terrestrial ice volumes based on the marine record. Deposits formed by the coincidence of volcanism and ice at the Mount Edziza volcanic complex (MEVC) in northern British Columbia, Canada, preserve an important record for documenting local and possibly regional ice dynamics. Pillow Ridge, located at the northwestern end of the MEVC, formed by ice-confined, fissure-fed eruptions. It comprises predominantly pillow lavas and volcanic breccias of alkaline basalt composition, with subordinate finer-grained volcaniclastic deposits and dykes. The ridge is presently  4 km long,  1000 m in maximum width, and  600 m high. Fifteen syn- and post-eruptive lithofacies are recognized in excellent exposures along the glacially dissected western side of the ridge. We recognize five lithofacies associations: (1) poorly sorted tuff breccia and dykes, (2) proximal pillow lava, dykes and tuff breccia, (3) distal pillow lava, poorly sorted conglomerate and well-sorted volcanic sandstone, (4) interbedded tuff, lapilli tuff, and tuff breccia units, and (5) heterolithic volcanogenic conglomerate and sandstone. Given the abundance of pillow lavas and the lack of surrounding topographic barriers capable of impounding water, we agree with Souther [Souther, J.G., 1992. The late Cenozoic Mount Edziza volcanic complex. Geol. Soc. Can. Mem., vol. 420. 320 pp] that the bulk of the edifice formed while confined by ice, but have found evidence for a more complex and variable eruption history than that which he proposed. Preliminary estimates of water-ice depths derived from FTIR analyses of H2O give ranges of 300 to 680 m assuming 0 ppm CO2, and 857 to 1297 m assuming 25 ppm CO2. Variations in depth estimates among samples may indicate that water/ice depths changed during the evolution of the ridge, which is consistent with our interpretations for the origins of different lithofacies associations. Given that the age of the units are likely to be ca. 0.9 Ma [Souther, J.G., 1992. The late Cenozoic Mount Edziza volcanic complex. Geol. Soc. Can. Mem., vol. 420. 320 pp], Pillow Ridge may be the best documentation of a regional high stand of the Cordilleran Ice Sheet (CIS) in the middle Pleistocene, and an excellent example of the lithofacies and stratigraphic complexities produced by variations in water levels during a prolonged glaciovolcanic eruption.  相似文献   
293.
Theories of meridional circulation and differential rotation in stellar convective zones predict trends in surface flow patterns on main-sequence stars that are amenable to direct observational testing. Here I summarise progress made in the last few years in determining surface differential rotation patterns on rapidly-rotating young main-sequence stars of spectral types F, G, K and M. Differential rotation increases strongly with increasing effective temperature along the main sequence. The shear rate appears to increase with depth in the sub-photospheric layers. Tidal locking in close binaries appears to suppress differential rotation, but better statistics are needed before this conclusion can be trusted. (© 2007 WILEY-VCH Verlag GmbH & Co. KGaA, Weinheim)  相似文献   
294.
A detailed chemical study has been carried out of 1794 gold grains from 55 sites within an area approximately 7 km by 18 km around Leadhills in the turbidite-facies, wacke-dominant Southern Uplands terrane of Scotland, formed as an accretionary thrust complex at the Laurentian continental margin during Ordovician and Silurian subduction of the Iapetus Ocean. The Leadhills area has had a long history of alluvial gold working, since at least 1510, and probably much earlier, but few bedrock sources of mineralisation have been located. Quantitative electron microprobe point analyses were obtained of sectioned and polished gold grains and of the associated microscopic inclusions, which in total comprised 35 types of opaque minerals. Microchemical X-ray maps were also obtained using a fully automated electron microprobe to show internal chemical compositional variation, to resolve the components of multiple and composite inclusions and to help in the identification of the smallest examples. Silver is present within most grains but Cu, Hg and Pd were only detected in about 3% of the grains. The shapes of cumulative frequency plots of the Ag contents of grains from different sites allow recognition of populations from different sources and enables comparison and differentiation between sites. In one of the main rivers, the Shortcleugh Water, the nature of the gold is generally similar, both in terms of Ag content and inclusion type, but a further type of gold, relatively rich in Ag and containing distinctive Ni and Sb-rich inclusions, is also present in 4 adjacent samples in one sector of the watercourse. This component of the samples reflects downstream dispersion, of up to 400 m, of gold grains from a mineralised structure cutting the river almost perpendicularly. Elsewhere abrupt changes in the nature of the alluvial gold within streams reflect a series of different sources and indicate limited glacial and alluvial dispersion. Four main types of gold which are considered to be derived from different varieties of source mineralisation can be recognised on the basis of composition and inclusion assemblage. The commonest type (ca. 70%) contains 8.4–13.1% Ag and inclusions, mostly of arsenopyrite, pyrrhotite, pyrite, chalcopyrite, galena, sphalerite and cobaltite, characteristics typical of mesothermal gold from shear-zones within a turbidite environment, suggesting sources within the local Lower Palaeozoic sedimentary rocks. The second type is richer in Ag (15.8–31.3%) with a basic igneous signature indicated from inclusions of Sb-rich gersdorffite, pyrite, Ni arsenide and other Ni-rich minerals, and shows some spatial association with discordant Tertiary basaltic dykes which cut the sedimentary rocks. The third type, mostly found in an area mantled by glacial drift, is poor in Ag (<1.2%) but frequently Cu-bearing and with inclusions of platinoids and Cu oxide. Associated with this type of gold are grains of the intermetallic compound Au3Cu and platinoids such as isoferroplatinum and a complex Ir-rich phase. Its source is problematical and could partly reflect detrital material associated with ophiolitic debris, which is common in the northernmost turbidites, and partly a local source of lode gold. The fourth gold type is also Ag-poor (<3.2%), but frequently contains Pd, up to 6.3%, while the inclusions comprise selenides of Pb, Hg and Cu. In nearby areas this type of gold is associated with Permian red beds and associated basaltic volcanics and also structures in the Lower Palaeozoic into which oxidising solutions derived from the red bed sequence have penetrated.  相似文献   
295.
Leveling geochemical data between map sheets   总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1  
Geochemical surveys are frequently assembled into larger, regional compilations. In some cases a boundary shift in the values for one or more elements may be observed at the join of adjacent surveys. This indicates that data for the affected elements are not consistent between the surveys. Where the same sampling medium has been used, the shift may be due to different crews/organizations, who varied in their sampling techniques. However, most commonly the shift is due to imperfect calibration of the analytical method used for samples from the different surveys. For example, there may have been a lack of proper analytical standardization between survey programs. To carry out leveling, bands are established on either side of the boundary between two surveys that show a shift. It is desirable that the bands have a close match in terms of geology and physiography. A quantitative method is presented to estimate the optimum width for these bands. Quantiles of the data within each band are calculated. The quantile pairs are plotted in XY space and a line fitted to express the relationship between the pairs of quantiles. The equation of this line is used to correct the shift between the two surveys. This method is tested on data for Mo in stream sediments, and pH of stream water, from two National Geochemical Reconnaissance Surveys in British Columbia.  相似文献   
296.
This article is an analysis of observed changes in the level of fishing effort and the spatial distribution of fishing effort following implementation of a marine reserve off the California coast. The Rockfish Conservation Area (RCA) closes the area between depth contour based boundaries to commercial trawl fishing. In this analysis, commercial fishing vessels are grouped based on their level of fishing effort within the closed area prior to the closure in order to compare changes in effort levels between groups. The results suggest that the RCA may have had a small effect on the level of fishing effort in the California groundfish trawl fishery. Spatial distribution of fishing effort before and after implementation of the marine reserve is also compared. Some concentration of effort occurred along parts of the closed area boundaries. This pattern suggests the “fishing the line” behavior noted in the marine reserve literature, but other possible explanations exist including the effects of coincident changes in other regulations and changing bioeconomic conditions.  相似文献   
297.
298.
Comparison of an ice core glaciochemical time-series developed from thePenny Ice Cap (PIC), Baffin Island and monthly sea-ice extent reveals astatisticallysignificant inverse relationship between changes in Baffin Bay spring sea-iceextent andPenny Ice Cap sea-salt concentrations for the period 1901–1990 AD.Empiricalorthogonal function analysis demonstrates the joint behavior between changesin PICsea-salt concentrations, sea-ice extent, and changes in North Atlanticatmosphericcirculation. Our results suggest that sea-salt concentrations in snowpreserved on thePIC reflect local to regional springtime sea-ice coverage. The PIC sea-saltrecord/sea-ice relationship is further supported by decadal and century scalecomparisonwith other paleoclimate records of eastern Arctic climate change over the last700 years. Our sea-salt record suggests that, while the turn of the century wascharacterized bygenerally milder sea-ice conditions in Baffin Bay, the last few decades ofsea-ice extentlie within Little Ice Age variability and correspond to instrumental recordsof lowertemperatures in the Eastern Canadian Arctic over the past three decades.  相似文献   
299.
Records of Australian palaeoclimate beyond the last glacial cycle are rare, limiting detailed analysis of long-term climate trends and associated ecosystem responses. This study analyses a discontinuous pollen and charcoal record from Fern Gully Lagoon, North Stradbroke Island (Minjerribah), subtropical Queensland, Australia, which covers much of the last ~210 ,000 years. Climate variation is inferred from changes in vegetation, while analysis of micro- and macrocharcoal is used to infer fire activity. Pollen assemblages consist of ~40% rainforest taxa during marine isotope stage (MIS) 7a–c and early MIS 5. These are inferred to result from high rainfall in the Australian subtropics, which was also evident in north-east and central Australia. Human impact from 21 ,000 years ago likely supressed post-MIS 2 rainforest expansion to some extent. However, the increased Holocene abundance of herbs and grasses and reduced representation of aquatic taxa suggest that the Holocene was relatively dry when compared with early MIS 5 and MIS 7a–c. Similar MIS 5 and early MIS 7a–c climates, in contrast to a notably drier Holocene, suggest that the progressive interglacial drying trend most strongly recorded in central Australia was not a major feature of subtropical eastern Australian climates.  相似文献   
300.
Excessive heat significantly impacts the health of Californians during irregular but intense heat events. Through the 21st century, a significant increase in impact is likely, as the state experiences a changing climate as well as an aging population. To assess this impact, future heat-related mortality estimates were derived for nine metropolitan areas in the state for the remainder of the century. Here in Part I, changes in oppressive weather days and consecutive-day events are projected for future years by a synoptic climatological method. First, historical surface weather types are related to circulation patterns at 500mb and 700mb, and temperature patterns at 850mb. GCM output is then utilized to classify future circulation patterns via discriminant function analysis, and multinomial logistic regression is used to derive future surface weather type at each of six stations in California. Five different climate model-scenarios are examined. Results show a significant increase in heat events over the 21st century, with oppressive weather types potentially more than doubling in frequency, and with heat events of 2?weeks or longer becoming up to ten times more common at coastal locations.  相似文献   
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