Automatic Recognition of Landslides Based on Neural Network Analysis of Seismic Signals: An Application to the Monitoring of Stromboli Volcano (Southern Italy)

In the last 9 years, the amount and the quality of geophysical and volcanological observations of Stromboli's' activity have undergone a marked increase. This new information highlighted that the landslides on the Sciara del Fuoco flank are tightly linked to the volcanic activity. Actually, at the beginning of the December 28, 2002, effusive eruption, the seismic monitoring network was less dense than now, and therefore it is not known if there was an increase in the landslide rate before the eruption. Despite this, it is known that a big landslide occurred 2 days after the beginning of the eruption which caused a tsunami (December 30, 2002). More recently, the effusive eruption in February 2007 was preceded by an increase in landslides on the Sciara del Fuoco flank, which were recorded by the seismological monitoring system that had been improved after the 2002–2003 crisis. These episodes led us to believe that monitoring the Sciara del Fuoco flank instability is an important topic, and that landslides might be significant short-term precursors of effusive eruptions at the Stromboli volcano. To automatically detect landslide signals, we have developed a specialized neural algorithm. This can distinguish between landslides and the other types of seismic signals usually recorded at the Stromboli volcano (i.e., explosion quakes and volcanic tremor). The discrimination results show an average performance of 98.67 %. According to the experience of the crisis of 2007, to identify changes that can be considered as precursors of effusive eruptions, we set up an automatic decision-making method based on the neural network responses. This method can operate on a continuous data stream. It calculates a landslide percentage index (LPI) that depends on the number of records that are classified by the net as landslides over a given time interval. We tested the method on February 27, 2007, including the beginning of the effusive phase. The index showed an increase as early as at 09:00 UTC on that day and reached its maximum value (100 %) at 12:00, about 40 min before the onset of the eruption. After the beginning of the effusive phase, the index remains high due to the blocks that roll down along the slope from the front of the lava flow. On the basis of these tests, we propose a decision-making method that is able to recognize a trend in the LPI similar to that of 2007 eruption, allowing the identification of precursors of effusive phases at the Stromboli volcano.     

Scaling characteristics of SEGMA magnetic field data around the Mw 6.3 Aquila earthquake

We apply detrended fluctuation analysis (DFA) on fluxgate and search-coil data in ULF range (scales 10–90 s or 0.1–0.011 Hz) for the months January–April 2009 available from the South European GeoMagnetic Array stations: Castello Tesino (CST), Ranchio (RNC), and L’Aquila (AQU) in Italy; Nagycenk (NCK) in Hungary; and Panagyuriste (PAG) in Bulgaria. DFA is a data processing method that allows for the detection of scaling behaviors in observational time series even in the presence of non-stationarities. The H and Z magnetic field components at night hours (00-03 UT, 01–04 LT) and their variations at the stations CST, AQU, NCK, and PAG have been examined and their scaling characteristics are analyzed depending on geomagnetic and local conditions. As expected, the scaling exponents are found to increase when the K _p index increases, indicating a good correlation with geomagnetic activity. The scaling exponent reveals also local changes (at L’Aquila), which include an increase for the Z (vertical) component, followed by a considerable decrease for the X (horizontal) component in the midst of February 2009. Attempts are made to explain this unique feature with artificial and/or natural sources including the enhanced earthquake activity in the months January–April 2009 at the L’Aquila district.     

832 Karin: Absence of rotational spectral variations

832 Karin is the largest member of the young Karin cluster that formed 5.75±0.05 Myr ago in the outer main belt. Surprisingly, recent near-IR spectroscopy measurements [Sasaki, T., Sasaki, S., Watanabe, J., Sekiguchi, T., Yoshida, F., Kawakita, H., Fuse, T., Takato, N., Dermawan, B., Ito, T., 2004. Astrophys. J. 615 (2), L161-L164] revealed that Karin's surface shows different colors as a function of rotational phase. It was interpreted that 832 Karin shows us the reddish space-weathered exterior surface of the parent body as well as an interior face, which has not had time to become space-weathered. This result is at odds with recent results including seismic and geomorphic modeling, modeling of the Karin cluster formation and measurements of the space weathering rate. Consequently, we aimed to confirm/infirm this surprising result by sampling Karin's spectrum well throughout its rotation. Here, we present new visible (0.45-0.95 μm) and near-infrared (0.7-2.5 μm) spectroscopic observations of 832 Karin obtained in January and April 2006, covering most of Karin's longitudes. In the visible range, we find that Karin shows no rotational spectral variations. Similarly, we find that Karin exhibits very little (to none) spectral variations with rotation in the near-IR range. Our results imply that 832 Karin has a homogeneous surface, in terms of composition and surface age. Our results also imply that the impact that generated the family refreshed entirely Karin's surface, and probably the surfaces of all members.     

Hydrological processes of a closed catchment‐lake system in a semi‐arid Mediterranean environment

Data collected in 4 years of field observations were used in conjunction with continuous simulation models to study, at the small‐basin scale, the water balance of a closed catchment‐lake system in a semi‐arid Mediterranean environment. The open water evaporation was computed with the Penman equation, using the data set collected in the middle of the lake. The surface runoff was partly measured at the main tributary and partly simulated using a distributed, catchment, hydrological model, calibrated with the observed discharge. The simplified structure of the developed modelling mainly concerns soil moisture dynamics and bedrock hydraulics, whereas the flow components are physically based. The calibration produced high efficiency coefficients and showed that surface runoff is greatly affected by soil water percolation into fractured bedrock. The bedrock reduces the storm‐flow peaks and the interflow and has important multi‐year effects on the annual runoff coefficients. The net subsurface outflow from the lake was calculated as the residual of the lake water balance. It was almost constant in the dry seasons and increased in the wet seasons, because of the moistening of the unsaturated soil. During the years of observation, rainfall 30% higher than average caused abundant runoff and a continuous rise in the lake water levels. The analysis allows to predict that, in years with lower than the average rainfall, runoff will be drastically reduced and will not be able to compensate for negative balance between precipitation and lake evaporation. Such highly unsteady situations, with great fluctuations in lake levels, are typical of closed catchment‐lake systems in the semi‐arid Mediterranean environment. Copyright © 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

Monitoring the Dynamics of the Ionosphere–Plasmasphere System by Ground-Based ULF Wave Observations

Cross-spectral analysis of ULF wave measurements recorded at ground magnetometer stations closely spaced in latitude allows accurate determinations of magnetospheric field line resonance (FLR) frequencies. This is a useful tool for remote sensing temporal and spatial variations of the magnetospheric plasma mass density. The spatial configuration of the South European GeoMagnetic Array (SEGMA, 1.56 <  L <  1.89) offers the possibility to perform such studies at low latitudes allowing to monitor the dynamical coupling between the ionosphere and the inner plasmasphere. As an example of this capability we present the results of a cross-correlation analysis between FLR frequencies and solar EUV irradiance (as monitored by the 10.7-cm solar radio flux F10.7) suggesting that changes in the inner plasmasphere density follow the short-term (27-day) variations of the solar irradiance with a time delay of 1–2 days. As an additional example we present the results of a comparative analysis of FLR measurements, ionospheric vertical soundings and vertical TEC measurements during the development of a geomagnetic storm.     

The hypsometric curve of Mars

For the construction of the hypsometric curve of Mars the topographic map of the planet produced by the U.S.G.S. has been utilized. All the areas delimited by isolines and geographic grid have been measured, then summing all the contributions given by the areas included between the same isolines. Such measurements have been effected by means of a solid-state optical image analyzer.A comparative study of the hypsometric curves of the Earth and the Moon shows that, on Mars, several processes of vertical differentiation of the crust started, but did not develop completely owing to the exhaustion of the endogenic forces which determine the surficial dynamics of a planet.A model of the evolution of the Martian crust is discussed in order to justify the shape of the hypsometric curve.Paper presented at the European Workshop on Planetary Sciences, organised by the Laboratorio di Astrofisica Spaziale di Frascati, and held between April 23–27, 1979, at the Accademia Nazionale del Lincei in Rome, Italy.     

Silicate-silicate liquid immiscibility and graphite ribbons in Libyan desert glass

Transmission electron microscopic (TEM) investigation of the dark (brown or bluish) streaks occurring in Libyan Desert Glass reveals the common presence of small glass spherules. The spherules, mostly 100 nm in size, are homogeneously dispersed within the silica-glass matrix. The complete absence of electron diffraction effects confirms their amorphous nature. The spherules are Al-, Fe- and Mg-enriched with respect to the surrounding silica matrix and their (Mg + Al + Fe) : Si ratio is close to 1.The silica-glass matrix and amorphous spherules form an emulsion texture (i.e., globules of one glass in a matrix of another glass), which originates from silicate-silicate liquid immiscibility. This texture has also been observed in other impact-derived glasses.The silica glass also contains carbonaceous inclusions consisting of 5-50 nm thick, polygonalized graphite ribbons that form closed structures up to 200 nm in diameter.These observations are in agreement with an impact origin for Libyan Desert Glass.