气候变暖背景下青藏高原山地灾害及其风险分析

基于青藏高原1930-2010年山地灾害实例,分析了气候变暖对青藏高原山地灾害的影响。结果表明：在气候变暖背景下,冰湖溃决灾害增多,冰川泥石流趋于活跃,特大灾害出现频繁,灾害链生特征明显,表现出时间和空间上的延拓性,巨灾发生概率增大;在藏东南地区表现出雨热同期的气候特征,构成了利于冰川类泥石流形成的条件;波密县城位于两条泥石流危险区的建筑物占地面积由1988年0.014 km²扩展到2012年1.004 km²,人口与经济密集区与灾害高风险区重叠,加之气候变化导致的灾害危险性增加,青藏高原灾害风险显著增大。上述结果提供了气候变化对青藏高原山地灾害影响的证据,初步阐述了其影响特征,有助于山地减灾和进一步认识气候变化对山地灾害的影响机理。     

华北地区地震活动矩加速释放现象的震例研究

通过对华北地区13次Ms5级以上地震在震前不同时间的贝尼奥夫应变释放曲线的特征进行分析,得出大部分中强地震前存在地震矩释放加速现象,同时从空间上分析了应变释放特性与地震的关系,发现很多地震在震前1～2年震中附近区域会出现大范围类椭圆形的低m值区域,这个区域与未来主震的位置有着很好的对应,这为华北地区未来中强地震的危险性判定提供了参考。     

Experimental validation of a signal-based approach for structural earthquake damage detection using fractal dimension of time frequency feature

This article extends a signal-based approach formerly proposed by the authors, which utilizes the fractal dimension of time frequency feature(FDTFF) of displacements, for earthquake damage detection of moment resist frame(MRF), and validates the approach with shaking table tests. The time frequency feature(TFF) of the relative displacement at measured story is defined as the real part of the coefficients of the analytical wavelet transform. The fractal dimension(FD) is to quantify the TFF within the fundamental frequency band using box counting method. It is verified that the FDTFFs at all stories of the linear MRF are identical with the help of static condensation method and modal superposition principle, while the FDTFFs at the stories with localized nonlinearities due to damage will be different from those at the stories without nonlinearities using the reverse-path methodology. By comparing the FDTFFs of displacements at measured stories in a structure, the damage-induced nonlinearity of the structure under strong ground motion can be detected and localized. Finally shaking table experiments on a 1:8 scale sixteen-story three-bay steel MRF with added frictional dampers, which generate local nonlinearities, are conducted to validate the approach.     

Seismic inversion with generalized Radon transform based on local second-order approximation of scattered field in acoustic media

Sound velocity inversion problem based on scattering theory is formulated in terms of a nonlinear integral equation associated with scattered field. Because of its nonlinearity, in practice, linearization algorisms (Born/single scattering approximation) are widely used to obtain an approximate inversion solution. However, the linearized strategy is not congruent with seismic wave propagation mechanics in strong perturbation (heterogeneous) medium. In order to partially dispense with the weak perturbation assumption of the Born approximation, we present a new approach from the following two steps: firstly, to handle the forward scattering by taking into account the second-order Born approximation, which is related to generalized Radon transform (GRT) about quadratic scattering potential; then to derive a nonlinear quadratic inversion formula by resorting to inverse GRT. In our formulation, there is a significant quadratic term regarding scattering potential, and it can provide an amplitude correction for inversion results beyond standard linear inversion. The numerical experiments demonstrate that the linear single scattering inversion is only good in amplitude for relative velocity perturbation ( \( \delta_{c}/c_{0} \) ) of background media up to 10 %, and its inversion errors are unacceptable for the perturbation beyond 10 %. In contrast, the quadratic inversion can give more accurate amplitude-preserved recovery for the perturbation up to 40 %. Our inversion scheme is able to manage double scattering effects by estimating a transmission factor from an integral over a small area, and therefore, only a small portion of computational time is added to the original linear migration/inversion process.     

Radiolarian biostratigraphy in the Southern Bering Sea since Pliocene

Detailed radiolarian biostratigraphy in the Plio-Pleistocene was analyzed by using samples from IODP Site U1340 that was drilled to a core depth of 604 m in the southern Bering Sea. A total of 227 species belonging to 102 genera were identified. Based on the distributions of the radiolarian index species at Site U1340, five radiolarian zones since the Pliocene were established in the southern Bering Sea for the first time, and 25 radiolarian bioevents were recognized. Their ages were estimated on the basis of the age-depth plot that was constructed by the synthetical datum of the effective biostratigraphic and magnetostratigraphic events. The radiolarian zones at Site U1340 were systematically compared with those in its adjacent regions since the late Early Pliocene, which further improved and interpreted the biostratigraphic datum as well as their correlations in the middle-high latitude of the North Pacific. In addition, the comparative results of radiolarian zones show that Botryostrobus aquilonaris Zone emended in this paper is equivalent to the upper part of the same zone defined by Hays, 1970, and Druppatractus irregularis-Dorydruppa bensoni Zone as well as Spongodiscus sp. Zone, newly proposed in this paper, are well correlated with Cycladophora sakaii Zone and Stylatractus universus Zone in the subarctic North Pacific, respectively.     

Life in extreme environments: Approaches to study life-environment co-evolutionary strategies

The term"extreme environments"describes the conditions that deviate from what mesophilic cells can tolerate.These conditions are"extreme"in the eye of mankind,but they may be suitable or even essential living conditions for most microorganisms.Hyperthermophilic microorganisms form a branch at the root of the phylogenetic tree,indicating that early life originated from extreme environments similar to that of modern deep-sea hydrothermal vents,which are characterized by high-temperature and oxygen-limiting conditions.During the inevitable cooling and gradual oxidation process on Earth,microorganisms developed similar mechanisms of adaptation.By studying modern extremophiles,we may be able to decode the mysterious history of their genomic evolution and to reconstruct early life.Because life itself is a process of energy uptake to maintain a dissipative structure that is not in thermodynamic equilibrium,the energy metabolism of microorganisms determines the pathway of evolution,the structure of an ecosystem,and the physiology of cells."Following energy"is an essential approach to understand the boundaries of life and to search for life beyond Earth.     

基于MODIS数据的新疆叶尔羌河流域山区积雪特征分析

科学监测新疆叶尔羌河流域山区积雪面积及其变化特征对该区域的气候研究、雪水资源开发利用、环境灾害预报和生态环境保护等方面有重要意义. 利用2000-2012年近13 a的MOD10A2积雪产品提取研究区域内积雪,结合DEM数据分析研究区内积雪面积的动态变化特征. 结果显示：新疆叶尔羌河流域山区的积雪面积的年际变化幅度较大,其中,2005年和2009年积雪面积较大,2007年则为典型少雪年;年内变化差异显著,总体上呈现“M”型的特点,12月和3月处于高位,2月和8月处于低谷. 叶尔羌河流域山区积雪覆盖率随着海拔的上升逐渐增大,稳定积雪主要分布在海拔5 000 m以上的地区;不同坡向的积雪覆盖率差异比较明显,西北坡、东坡、东北坡的积雪覆盖率比北坡、东南坡、西坡、南坡的积雪覆盖率高,西北坡高达52.8%,南坡仅为20%. 叶尔羌河流域山区的积雪面积与气温呈负相关,与降水量呈正相关,积雪面积变化对气温因素更为敏感.     

上海中山医院基坑逆作法施工时间效应分析

软土具有流变性,因此,分析基坑开挖时需要考虑时间效应。逆作法施工时,由于出土条件和结构施工条件的限制,导致施工周期延长,因此,基坑施工的时间效应尤为显著。以上海中山医院工程为例,考虑软土流变效应,建立有限元模型对逆作法基坑的施工过程进行模拟,分析了施工期间各工况的围护和土体的内力与变形性状,并与实测结果进行了对比分析。结果表明,考虑土体流变的分析方法能较好的模拟逆作法施工的时间效应,并合理地反映基坑开挖过程对围护以及周边环境的影响。逆作法基坑施工过程复杂,开挖周期相对较长,应合理安排施工流程和施工速度,以达到控制围护结构及土体变形、保护周边环境的目的。     

Evolving a core-periphery pattern of manufacturing industries across Chinese provinces

This paper, concerning uneven development in China, empirically analyzes the core-periphery gradient of manufacturing industries across provinces （autonomous regions, municipalities）, and assesses the extent to which these provinces have changed in recent years. Since China＇s reform and opening-up, the spatial structure of the economy has pre- sented a significant core-periphery pattern, the core evidently skewing towards east-coastal areas. With the deepening of market reforms and expansion of globalization, industrial loca- tion is gradually in line with the development advantages of provinces. The core provinces specialize in those industries characterized by strong forward and backward linkages, as well as a high consumption ratio, a high degree of increasing returns to scale, and labor or hu- man-capital intensity. However, it is the opposite with regard to peripheral provinces, in addi- tion, energy intensive industries are gradually concentrating in these areas. To a certain de- gree, the comparative advantage theory and new economic geography identify the underlying forces that determine the spatial distribution of manufacturing industries in China. This paper indicates that the industrialization of regions along different gradients becomes unsynchro- nized will be a long-term trend. Within a certain period, regions are bound to develop indus- trial sectors in line with their respective characteristics and development stage. A core-periphery pattern of industries also indicates that industrial development differentials across regions arise because of not only the uneven distribution of industries but also the inconsistent evolving trends of industrial structure for each province.     

老挝万象省爬立山（PHaLek）铁矿床地质特征及成矿作用分析

爬立山铁矿床位于长山褶皱带北西端,是长山成矿带内与岩浆作用有关的一个大型铁矿床。根据野外地质观察及室内对含矿岩体、赋矿围岩和矿石开展的岩相学和地球化学研究发现：与成矿作用有关的花岗质岩石属钙碱系列准铝质的I型花岗岩,成岩的构造环境为火山弧。矿区内发育致密块状磁铁矿、孔洞状赤铁矿、砂砾土状铁矿等3种铁矿石。结合岩（矿）石微量元素分析,认为爬立山铁矿具有复合成矿作用特征,主要可分为3个成矿阶段：早期以与华力西期岩浆侵入作用有关的接触交代成矿作用为主,形成矽卡岩型磁铁矿;其后,在褶皱造山后形成的断陷盆地中,由于火山喷发（溢）作用形成孔洞状熔岩型赤铁矿;最后随着新生代地壳抬升,发生表生物理化学风化成矿作用,形成如今的砂砾土状型铁矿。