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151.
A recently developed Bayesian interpolation method (BI) and its application to safety assessment of a flood defense structure
are described in this paper. We use a one-dimensional Bayesian Monte Carlo method (BMC) that has been proposed in (Rajabalinejad
2009) to develop a weighted logical dependence between neighboring points. The concept of global uncertainty is adequately explained
and different uncertainty association models (UAMs) are presented for linking the local and global uncertainty. Based on the
global uncertainty, a simplified approach is introduced. By applying the global uncertainty, we apply the Guassian error estimation
to general models and the Generalized Beta (GB) distribution to monotonic models. Our main objective in this research is to
simplify the newly developed BMC method and demonstrate that it can dramatically improve the simulation efficiency by using
prior information from outcomes of the preceding simulations. We provide theory and numerical algorithms for the BI method
geared to multi-dimensional problems, integrate it with a probabilistic finite element model, and apply the coupled models
to the reliability assessment of a flood defense for the 17th Street Flood Wall system in New Orleans. 相似文献
152.
153.
Natural Hazards - In 2008, Wenchuan earthquake shook Sichuan Province in China. The questions of how to value the economic loss that would result if a catastrophe were to occur in Capital Beijing... 相似文献
154.
Zare MR Mostajaboddavati M Kamali M Abdi MR Mortazavi MS 《Marine pollution bulletin》2012,64(9):1956-1961
The natural radioactivity levels in sediment samples of the northern coast of Oman Sea, covering the coastal strip from Hormoz canyon to Goatr seaport, as the first time has been determined. The results of measurements will serve as background reference level for Oman Sea coastlines. Sediments from 36 coastal and near shore locations were collected for analysis. Analysis on the collected samples were carried out to determine (235)U, (238)U, (232)Th, (40)K and (137)Cs using two high purity germanium detectors with 38.5% and 55% relative efficiencies. The concentration of (235)U, (238)U, (232)Th, (40)K and (137)Cs in sediment samples ranged between 1.01 and 2.87Bq/kg, 11.83 and 22.68Bq/kg, 10.7 and 25.02Bq/kg, 222.89 and 535.07Bq/kg and 0.14 and 2.8Bq/kg, respectively. The radium equivalent activity was well below the defined limit of 370Bq/kg. The external hazard indices were found to be less than 1, indicating a low dose. 相似文献
155.
Nonparametric techniques for estimation of wave dispersion in buildings by seismic interferometry are applied to a simple model of a soil–structure interaction (SSI) system with coupled horizontal and rocking response. The system consists of a viscously damped shear beam, representing a building, on a rigid foundation embedded in a half‐space. The analysis shows that (i) wave propagation through the system is dispersive. The dispersion is characterized by lower phase velocity (softening) in the band containing the fundamental system mode of vibration, and little change in the higher frequency bands, relative to the building shear wave velocity. This mirrors its well‐known effect on the frequencies of vibration, i.e. reduction for the fundamental mode and no significant change for the higher modes of vibration, in agreement with the duality of the wave and vibrational nature of structural response. Nevertheless, the phase velocity identified from broader band impulse response functions is very close to the superstructure shear wave velocity, as found by an earlier study of the same model. The analysis reveals that (ii) the reason for this apparent paradox is that the latter estimates are biased towards the higher values, representative of the higher frequencies in the band, where the response is less affected by SSI. It is also discussed that (iii) bending flexibility and soil flexibility produce similar effects on the phase velocities and frequencies of vibration of a building. Copyright © 2014 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. 相似文献
156.
Surface nuclear magnetic resonance signals recovery by integration of a non‐linear decomposition method with statistical analysis 下载免费PDF全文
Presence of noise in the acquisition of surface nuclear magnetic resonance data is inevitable. There are various types of noise, including Gaussian noise, spiky events, and harmonic noise that affect the signal quality of surface nuclear magnetic resonance measurements. In this paper, we describe an application of a two‐step noise suppression approach based on a non‐linear adaptive decomposition technique called complete ensemble empirical mode decomposition in conjunction with a statistical optimization process for enhancing the signal‐to‐noise ratio of the surface nuclear magnetic resonance signal. The filtering procedure starts with applying the complete ensemble empirical mode decomposition method to decompose the noisy surface nuclear magnetic resonance signal into a finite number of intrinsic mode functions. Afterwards, a threshold region based on de‐trended fluctuation analysis is defined to identify the noisy intrinsic mode functions, and then the no‐noise intrinsic mode functions are used to recover the partially de‐noised signal. In the second stage, we applied a statistical method based on the variance criterion to the signal obtained from the initial phase to mitigate the remaining noise. To demonstrate the functionality of the proposed strategy, the method was evaluated on an added‐noise synthetic surface nuclear magnetic resonance signal and on field data. The results show that the proposed procedure allows us to improve the signal‐to‐noise ratio significantly and, consequently, extract the signal parameters (i.e., and V0) from noisy surface nuclear magnetic resonance data efficiently. 相似文献
157.
P. Hosseinzadeh Talaee Mahdi Kouchakzadeh B. Shifteh Some’e 《Theoretical and Applied Climatology》2014,118(1-2):297-305
Assessment of the reliability and quality of historical precipitation data is required in the modeling of hydrology and water resource processes and for climate change studies. The homogeneity of the annual and monthly precipitation data sets throughout Iran was tested using the Bayesian, Cumulative Deviations, and von Neumann tests at a significance level of 0.05. The precipitation records from 41 meteorological stations covering the years between 1966 and 2005 were considered. The annual series of Iranian precipitation were found to be homogeneous by applying the Bayesian and Cumulative Deviations tests, while the von Neumann test detected inhomogeneities at seven stations. Almost all the monthly precipitation data sets are homogeneous and considered as “useful.” The outputs of the statistical tests for the homogeneity analysis of the precipitation time series had discrepancies in some cases which are related to different sensitivities of the tests to break in the time series. It was found that the von Neumann test is more sensitive than the Bayesian and Cumulative Deviations tests in the determination of inhomogeneity in the precipitation series. 相似文献
158.
Roghayeh Shamshiri Mahdi Motagh Marzieh Baes Mohammad Ali Sharifi 《Journal of Geodesy》2014,88(12):1171-1185
This paper presents deformation analysis of Lake Urmia causeway (LUC) embankments in northwest Iran using observations from interferometry synthetic aperture radar (InSAR) and finite element model (FEM) simulation. 58 SAR images including 10 ALOS, 30 Envisat and 18 TerraSAR-X are used to assess settlement of the embankments during 2003–2013. The interferometric dataset includes 140 differential interferograms which are processed using InSAR time series technique of small baseline subset approach. The results show a clear indication of large deformation on the embankments with peak amplitude of \(>\) 50 mm/year in 2003–2010, increasing to \(>\!\!80\) mm/year in 2012–2013 in the line of sight (LOS) direction from ground to the satellite. 2D decomposition of InSAR observations from Envisat and ALOS satellites that overlap in the years 2007–2010 shows that the rate of the vertical settlement and horizontal motion is not uniform along the embankments; Both eastern and western embankments show significant vertical motion, while horizontal motion plays a more significant role in eastern embankment than western embankment. The InSAR results are then used to simulate deformation using FEM at two cross-sections at the distance of 4 and 9 km from the most western edge of the LUC for which detailed stratigraphy data are available. Results suggest that consolidation due to dissipation of excess pore pressure in embankments can satisfactory predict settlement of the LUC embankments. Our numerical modeling indicates that nearly half of the consolidation since the construction time of the causeway 30 years ago has been done. 相似文献
159.
Rockfill is the most abundant building material. It is often used for water retention under different contexts, such as dams, embankments or drainage systems. Climate change may cause water levels to rise in reservoirs. As rockfill structures are not able to resist strong overtopping flow, rising water levels will constitute a danger for rockfill dam stability as well as for people living nearby. This work is aimed at the development of an empirical formula that enables calculation of the critical water level of overflow at the crest from the geometrical and physical parameters of a dam. To achieve these objectives, several experimental tests on a rockfill dam model with two different impervious cores, moraine with a sand filter and an empty wooden formwork, were conducted in a hydraulic channel at the hydro-environmental laboratory at École Polytechnique de Montréal. The purpose of these tests was to study the initiation of a riprap failure under the influence of different variables, such as rock size, riprap bank, downstream side slope and bed slope. Results showed linear trends between the critical water level and both the downstream side slope and bed slope. Also, a power trend was observed between the critical level and riprap grain size. A formula that gives the critical overtopping water level was developed from these results. 相似文献