江西省地震工程地质现状与防灾展望——兼谈汶川地震对江西的启示

(1 概况.江西省位于欧亚板块东南部,跨扬子准地台和华南褶皱系两个地块(24°29′～30°04′N,113°34′～118°29′E).其南部地处华南沿海地震带,主要受河源一邵武断裂带与南岭纬向构造带控制;北部地处长江中游地震带,主要受郯城一庐江断裂带和扬州一铜陵断裂带控制,地质构造复杂,新构造及现代构造运动活跃,历史上曾多次发生破坏性地震.     

Structural analysis and interpretation of the surface deformation associated with the Ning’er, Yunnan Province, China M S6.4 earthquake of June 3, 2007

The seismogenic fault and the dynamic mechanism of the Ning’er, Yunnan Province MS6.4 earthquake of June 3, 2007 are studied on the basis of the observation data of the surface fissures, sand blow and water eruption, land-slide and collapse associated with the earthquake, incorporating with the data of geologic structures, focal mecha-nism solutions and aftershock distribution for the earthquake area. The observation of the surface fissures reveals that the Banhai segment of the NW-trending Ning’er fault is dominated by right-lateral strike-slip, while the NNE-trending fault is dominated by left-lateral strike-slip. The seismo-geologic hazards are concentrated mainly within a 330°-extending zone of 13.5 km in length and 4 km in width. The major axis of the isoseismal is also oriented in 330° direction, and the major axis of the seismic intensity VIII area is 13.5 km long. The focal mechanism solutions indicate that the NW-trending nodal plane of the Ning’er MS6.4 earthquake is dominated by right-lateral slip, while the NE-trending nodal plane is dominated by left-lateral slip. The preferred distribution orientation of the aftershocks of MS≥2 is 330°, and the focal depths are within the range of 3~12 km, predominantly within 3~10 km. The distribution of the aftershocks is consistent with the distribution zone of the seismo-geologic hazards. All the above-mentioned data indicate that the Banhai segment of the Ning’er fault is the seismogenic fault of this earthquake. Moreover, the driving force of the Ning’er earthquake is discussed in the light of the active block theory. It is believed that the northward pushing of the Indian plate has caused the eastward slipping of the Qinghai-Tibetan Plateau, which has been transformed into the southeastern-southernward squeezing of the southwest Yunnan region. As a result, the NW-trending faults in the vicinity of the Ning’er area are dominated by right-lateral strike-slip, while the NE-trending faults are dominated by left-lateral strike-slip. This tectonic     

嘉峪关地震台地电阻率观测效能评价

根据中国地震局电磁学科制定的<地电台站观测效能评估方案>,评估了嘉峪关地震台地电阻率观测效能,得到:嘉峪关地震台台址结构条件、电磁环境、台站观测系统符合地电阻率台站建设规范、观测方法标准等规定的技术要求;数字化地电阻率观测精度不低于3‰测值,保证了准确测量不低于1%地电阻率异常的指标需求;该台地电阻率观测对本区及附近中等以上地震有一定监测能力,并记录了对应远距离大震的1年尺度地电阻率异常,其观测数据在本区及附近地震监测、预报和地震科学研究及相关科学研究中有重要价值.     

分析汶川“5•12”震害探求房屋“大震不倒”途径

本文围绕“大震不倒”主题,对汶川“5．12”特大地震震害进行了分析探究。文中涉及“大震不倒”设防目标、研究方法、房屋倒塌的震害特点等问题;对倒塌房屋分为薄弱层垮塌、沿开问垮塌、不规则体型垮塌3种类型进行了讨论,分析了垮塌的原因并提出了看法;同时还对“强梁弱柱”现象做了分析。最后,扼要对混凝土框架结构和砖混结构提出“大震不倒”的建议性意见。     

邢台震后应力状态余震及频度的关系

通过对邢台及邻区永年台应力的计算和对余震、余震频度关系的分析,表明邢台强烈地震发生后,震中区应力稍小于外区应力;应力的变化和余震频度、强余震关系较明显.     

陇南山区斜坡重力地质作用特征研究

位于地质构造、地层、地貌、气侯和植被五位一体叠加脆弱带的陇南地区是我国主要滑坡、泥石流、崩塌等斜坡重力地质作用区之一。本文简述了斜坡重力地质作用的概念和类型，着重分析了其垂直分带性、区域性、季节性、周期性、阶段性、继承性和共生性等作用特征，揭示了斜坡重力地质作用的活动规律。     

Jacobian matrix for near-infrared remote sensing based on vector radiative transfer model

Due to the polarization effects of the Earth's surface reflection and atmospheric particles' scattering, high-precision retrieval of atmospheric parameters from near-infrared satellite data requires accurate vector atmospheric radiative transfer simulations. This paper presents a near-infrared vector radiative transfer model based on the doubling and adding method. This new model utilizes approximate calculations of the atmospheric transmittance, reflection, and solar scattering radiance for a finitely thin atmospheric layer. To verify its accuracy, the results for four typical scenarios(single molecular layer with Rayleigh scattering, single aerosol layer scattering, multi-layer Rayleigh scattering, and true atmospheric with multi-layer molecular absorption, Rayleigh and aerosol scattering) were compared with benchmarks from a well-known model. The comparison revealed an excellent agreement between the results and the reference data, with accuracy within a few thousandths. Besides, to fulfill the retrieval algorithm, a numerical differentiation-based Jacobian calculation method is developed for the atmospheric and surface parameters. This is coupled with the adding and doubling process for the radiative transfer calculation. The Jacobian matrix produced by the new algorithm is evaluated by comparison with that from the perturbation method. The relative Jacobian matrix deviations between the two methods are within a few thousandths for carbon dioxide and less than 1.0×10~(-3)% for aerosol optical depth. The two methods are consistent for surface albedo, with a deviation below 2.03×10~(-4)%. All validation results suggest that the accuracy of the proposed radiative transfer model is suitable for inversion applications. This model exhibits the potential for simulating near-infrared measurements of greenhouse gas monitoring instruments.     

川滇地区地震活动单键群分析

利用单键群（即ＳＬＣ）分析方法,通过有关ＳＬＣ特征参量的时间滑移分析,结合１９７０年以来的区域地震活动和构造环境,分析了川滇西部地区的地震活动。较之７０年代和８０年代,９０年代的地震活动在总体上是处于中等强度的活动水平。文章认为,ＳＬＣ方法考虑了地震事件的时空关联性,可以用来分析地震活动趋势,是研究地震活动性的有用工具。     

The incorporation of stochasticity in risk analysis and management: a case study

 The selection of optimal management strategies for environmental contaminants requires detailed information on the risks imposed on populations. These risks are characterized by both inter-subject variability (different individuals having different levels of risk) and by uncertainty (there is uncertainty about the risk associated with the Yth percentile of the variability distribution). In addition, there is uncertainty introduced by the inability to agree fully on the appropriate decision criteria. This paper presents a methodology for incorporating uncertainty and variability into a multi-medium, multi-pathway, multi-contaminant risk assessment, and for placing this assessment into an optimization framework to identify optimal management strategies. The framework is applied to a case study of a sludge management system proposed for North Carolina and the impact of stochasticity on selection of an optimal strategy considered. Different sets of decision criteria reflecting different ways of treating stochasticity are shown to lead to different selections of optimal management strategies.     

带电粒子在中性线磁场中的运动

本文利用了小扰动方法、轨道法以及粒子的运动区域,比较系统地研究了带电粒子在中性线磁场中的运动。其结果是: 1.带电粒子的运动轨道可分为漂移轨道、波动轨道与8字形轨道三种形式。小扰动方法不能使用于中性线的区域内,在这个区域出现一个与小扰动漂移运动相反方向的运动。 2.在沿中性线方向的电场的作用下,中性线周围的部分粒子可以聚集到中性线附近。当粒子进入非小扰动区时,它们将被中性线磁场反射,并被电场加速。 3.计算出磁尾中性片的厚度为在这个区域内,大部分带正电的粒子的平均运动是沿晨昏方向,带负电的粒子的运动则相反。磁尾区出现一个等离子体中性片电流。