沉积型铝土矿原位溶浸技术可行性分析及开采设想

沉积型铝土矿是我国主要的铝土矿类型,经过几十年的开发,储采比逐渐下降,深部难动用资源的绿色开发迫在眉睫. 通过开展静态溶浸实验和电极加热仿真模拟,结合原位溶浸技术在铀矿和稀土矿开采中的成功经验,总结出该技术在固体矿产开采中应用的适用条件包括:矿物可溶性、矿体分布稳定性、顶底板条件、矿体渗透性. 我国北方铝土矿资源与以上条件切合程度高,适合采用原位溶浸技术进行开采. 本次研究还提出了沉积型铝土矿原位溶浸开采的工艺方案,为下一步开展先导试验提供了设计思路.     

The Optimal Precursors for ENSO Events Depicted Using the Gradientdefinition-based Method in an Intermediate Coupled Model

The predictability of El Ni?o?Southern Oscillation (ENSO) has been an important area of study for years. Searching for the optimal precursor (OPR) of ENSO occurrence is an effective way to understand its predictability. The CNOP (conditional nonlinear optimal perturbation), one of the most effective ways to depict the predictability of ENSO, is adopted to study the optimal sea surface temperature (SST) precursors (SST-OPRs) of ENSO in the IOCAS ICM (intermediate coupled model developed at the Institute of Oceanology, Chinese Academy of Sciences). To seek the SST-OPRs of ENSO in the ICM, non-ENSO events simulated by the ICM are chosen as the basic state. Then, the gradient-definition-based method (GD method) is employed to solve the CNOP for different initial months of the basic years to obtain the SST-OPRs. The experimental results show that the obtained SST-OPRs present a positive anomaly signal in the western-central equatorial Pacific, and obvious differences exist in the patterns between the different seasonal SST-OPRs along the equatorial western-central Pacific, showing seasonal dependence to some extent. Furthermore, the non-El Ni?o events can eventually evolve into El Ni?o events when the SST-OPRs are superimposed on the corresponding seasons; the peaks of the Ni?o3.4 index occur at the ends of the years, which is consistent with the evolution of the real El Ni?o. These results show that the GD method is an effective way to obtain SST-OPRs for ENSO events in the ICM. Moreover, the OPRs for ENSO depicted using the GD method provide useful information for finding the early signal of ENSO in the ICM.     

雷达径向速度资料同化中不同坐标转换方案的对比试验

利用江苏省气象局与美国强风暴实验室联合开发的高精度数值分析及预报系统(Precision Weather Analysis and Forecast System,PWAFS)对雷达资料同化中径向速度资料的两种坐标转换方案进行对比分析。Grid方案将雷达径向速度资料通过最小二乘法从极坐标映射到模式三维网格;Tilt方案将雷达径向速度资料通过双线性插值在水平方向插值至标量水平网格,但在垂直方向不进行插值,保留在雷达仰角对应的高度上。两种方案对反射率资料的处理均是插值到模式三维网格点。Grid方案在近雷达处进行平滑,在远雷达处进行插值,会导致低层数据平滑,Tilt方案减少了雷达径向风观测垂直插值引发的误差,更多的保留了雷达观测的特性。本研究分别通过龙卷、大风及梅雨锋暴雨个例对这两种方案的同化结果进行对比分析。龙卷个例中Grid方案得到了部分虚假的较大的同化风场,Tilt方案结果清楚展示了龙卷发生位置的回波及流场的精细结构。大风个例中两种方案得到的最大风速值差3 m·s^-1,Tilt方案的结果更接近观测最大风速值,且得到的大风速区分布更符合观测。梅雨锋暴雨个例中Grid方案对东北及西南两个区域的大风速区均未能很好的反映,Tilt方案得到的水平风速大值区范围明显优于Grid方案。在靠近雷达中心的低层,观测资料密集,Tilt方案能够更好的反应实际大气状态。但是因为缺乏其他观测资料进行验证,两种方案的效果还需要利用数值预报或其他方法进行对比。     

INTELLIGENT ALGORITHMS FOR SOLVING CNOP AND THEIR APPLICATIONS IN ENSO PREDICTABILITY AND TROPICAL CYCLONE ADAPTIVE OBSERVATIONS

Some intelligent algorithms (IAs) proposed by us, including swarm IAs and single individual IAs, have been applied to the Zebiak-Cane (ZC) model to solve conditional nonlinear optimal perturbation (CNOP) for studying El Ni?o – Southern Oscillation (ENSO) predictability. Compared to the adjoint-based method (the ADJ-method), which is referred to as a benchmark, these IAs can achieve approximate CNOP results in terms of magnitudes and patterns. Using IAs to solve CNOP can avoid the use of an adjoint model and widen the application of CNOP in numerical climate and weather modeling. Of the proposed swarm IAs, PCA-based particle swarm optimization (PPSO) obtains CNOPs with the best patterns and the best stability. Of the proposed single individual IAs, continuous tabu search algorithm with sine maps and staged strategy (CTS-SS) has the highest efficiency. In this paper, we compare the validity, stability and efficiency of parallel PPSO and CTS-SS using these two IAs to solve CNOP in the ZC model for studying ENSO predictability. The experimental results show that CTS-SS outperforms parallel PPSO except with respect to stability. At the same time, we are also concerned with whether these two IAs can effectively solve CNOP when applied to more complicated models. Taking the sensitive areas identification of tropical cyclone adaptive observations as an example and using the fifth-generation mesoscale model (MM5), we design some experiments. The experimental results demonstrate that each of these two IAs can effectively solve CNOP and that parallel PPSO has a higher efficiency than CTS-SS. We also provide some suggestions on how to choose a suitable IA to solve CNOP for different models.     

石灰改良红层无侧限抗压强度试验研究

红层是一种特殊岩土,作为路基材料时,常会导致不均匀沉陷、翻浆冒泥等病害。为改善其力学性质,工程上通常掺入一定剂量的石灰（Ca（OH）₂）进行改良。由于降水-蒸发的周期性变化,运营期间反复干湿循环作用对路基土的工程性质造成较大影响。基于此,结合室内无侧限抗压强度试验,研究了干湿循环作用对不同掺量的石灰改良红层无侧限抗压强度的影响。结果表明：在最佳含水率下,石灰改良红层的无侧限抗压强度随石灰掺量的增加而增大;干湿循环作用对改良红层无侧限抗压强度的影响与石灰掺量有关,石灰掺量较低时,改良红层的抗压强度随干湿循环次数的增加而减小,石灰掺量较高时,改良红层的无侧限抗压强度随干湿循环次数的增加而显著增大;未改良红层塑性较大,试样均为塑性鼓胀破坏,掺入石灰后,红层强度增大,脆性增强,呈脆性剪切破坏,经历干湿循环作用后,石灰改良红层试样呈多缝锥形破坏。     

煤矿井下套铣打捞技术研究与应用

基于煤矿开采深度的增加,在复杂地层中进行定向钻孔施工发生卡钻事故的风险也在急剧增加。采用套铣打捞技术进行卡钻事故处理,能够提高事故处理的成功率,并起到保护原钻杆的作用,降低经济损失。文章分析研究了套铣打捞钻具的选择、冲洗液选择、工艺参数以及工艺方法,结合在玉溪矿和临涣矿打捞实例,优化了套铣打捞工艺及相关参数。     

东海海啸反问题预报模式研究——以日本“3·11”海啸为例

采用COMCOT数值模式,将日本东海岸划分为18个单位震源,建立了日本东海岸海啸数据库并用非负约束的最小二乘法建立反问题预报模式。将本模式应用于日本"3·11"海啸,计算所得的海啸初始水位有10 m的抬高与3 m的降低,与前人研究结果基本一致,预报的浮标水位与实测资料符合良好。对比浙江省近岸潮位站实测海啸波高,预报值与实测值偏差较大。若采用反问题反演的震源,通过COMCOT非线性模式求解近岸水位,可以大幅提高预报精度。     

海洋污染环境保障系统构建以及中子活化分析方法的可能应用

介绍了针对中国海域海洋污染环境保障系统的研究进展,并阐述中子活化分析(Neutron Activation Analysis,NAA)方法在其中的可能作用。该系统基于对海洋三维流场的预报与分析,对海洋污染物可能的扩散路径与影响区域、污染源头的可能位置进行推测,并结合GIS技术整合相关的环境敏感信息,为将污染物造成的危害降到最低提供决策支持。基于该系统技术的渤黄海海洋污染物预测预警系统已经实现业务化运行多年,并在中国沿海污染事故应急中多次获得成功的经验。目前,针对重金属与放射性污染物的环境保障系统正处于理论实验阶段,由于NAA方法特别适合用于对部分重金属及放射性物质的检测,因此NAA方法对实现海洋重金属及放射性污染物的监测及预测预警具有非常重要的实用价值。     

2020年新疆于田MS6.4地震的地震迁移趋势

根据大空间尺度上存在特殊的地震迁移并具有规律性的现象, 在回顾2020年于田M_S6.4地震的震前异常和1900年以来于田地区“始发地震—迁移地震”序列的基础上, 分析了于田M_S6.4地震的发震构造和动力学背景, 讨论了于田地区 “始发地震—迁移地震”的时空分布及其趋势。 本文侧重于对近些年于田地区地震迁移现象(如迁移方向、 时间间隔)的统计, 统计结果显示地震迁移可以作为该区域中长期地震危险性分析的方法之一, 并尝试应用于未来地震迁移趋势分析。 地震迁移现象的成因及动力机制有待于深入研究。     

基于地形图矢量化数据利用MapMatrix进行DEM生产

MapMatrix是基于航空卫星遥感等数据进行多源空间信息综合处理的平台,功能设计合理,使用方便灵活。介绍基于地形图矢量数据,利用全数字摄影测量软件MapMatrix进行DEM制作的方法,相对于利用ArcInfo进行地形图矢量化DEM生产的传统方法,该方法优化了生产工艺,提高了生产效率。