On the long-term joint distribution of characteristic wave height and period and its application

By analysing the scatter diagrams of characteristic the wave height H and the period T on the basis of instrumental data from various ocean wave stations, we found that the conditional expectation and standard deviation of wave period for a given wave height can be better predicted by using the equations of normal linear regression rather than by those based on the log- normal law. The latter was implied in Ochi' s bivariate log-normal model(Ochi. 1978) for the long-term joint distribution of H and T. With the expectation and standard deviation predicted by the normal linear regression equations and applying proper types of distribution, we have obtained the conditional distribution of T for given H. Then combining this conditional P(T / H) with long-term marginal distribution of the wave height P(H) we establish a new parameterized model for the long-term joint distribution P(H,T). As an example of the application of the new model we give a method for estimating wave period associated with an extreme w     

INTEGRAL/XMM views on the MeV source GRO J1411-64

The COMPTEL unidentified source GRO J 1411-64 was observed by INTEGRAL and XMM-Newton in 2005. The Circinus Galaxy is the only source detected within the 4σ location error of GRO J1411-64, but in here excluded as the possible counterpart. At soft X-rays, 22 reliable and statistically significant sources (likelihood >10) were extracted and analyzed from XMM-Newton data. Only one of these sources, XMMU J141255.6-635932, is spectrally compatible with GRO J1411-64 although the fact the soft X-ray observations do not cover the full extent of the COMPTEL source position uncertainty make an association hard to quantify and thus risky. At the best location of the source, detections at hard X-rays show only upper limits, which, together with MeV results obtained by COMPTEL suggest the existence of a peak in power output located somewhere between 300–700 keV for the so-called low state. Such a spectrum resembles those in blazars or microquasars, and might suggest at work by the models accordingly. However, an analysis using a microquasar model consisting on a magnetized conical jet filled with relativistic electrons, shows that it is hard to comply with all observational constrains. This fact and the non-detection at hard X-rays introduce an a-posteriori question mark upon the physical reality of this source, what is discussed here.     

STUDY ON DEVELOPMENT STRATEGY OF SHIPPING CENTERS AND TRANSPORTATION NETWORKS IN THE YELLOW SEA RIM IN THE YELLOW SEA RIM

It is very important to establish cooperative mechanism to guarantee all members to develop their e-conomies in the Yellow Sea Rim. In this paper, the development strategies ofshipplng centers and transportation networkare discussed based on economic giobalization tendency. The results argue that a united transportation network should bebuilt in order to promote the economic competition of Northeast Asia in the world. As a key component of the economiccooperation, a hierarchical shipping centers network should be established with Hong Kong, Shanghai, Pusan, Koho,and Tokyo as cores. The authorities of China, Japan, R. O. Korea and D. P. B. Korea should make more efforts tobuild a set of cooperation institutions based on raising the transportation efficiency.     

国内超声波测距研究应用现状

本文结合超声波测距原理,对超声波回波信号处理、新型换能器研发、发射脉冲选取的国内研究现状,以及该技术在液位测量、移动机器人定位和避障、汽车防撞、曲面仿形检测的应用现状作了综述,分析了超声波测距系统现阶段存在的常见问题,相应提出了解决方案,并对超声波测距的发展与应用趋势进行了展望.     

干湿交替条件下包气带土柱中氮素迁移转化规律实验

干湿交替的回灌方法常被用于解决地面回灌补给地下水的堵塞问题。研究干湿交替条件下地面回灌对地下水的影响对于指导再生水回灌地下水具有重要实际意义。通过室内土柱模拟实验,在入渗强度为10.5 mm/h的条件下,日均进水量3 888 mL;用干湿交替的地面回灌模式持续运行136 d,累计灌入氨氮含量为5 mg/L的模拟再生水23 894 L,研究包气带土柱对氨氮的去除效果及氮素在包气带中的迁移转化规律。研究表明,充分利用包气带的好氧、兼氧和厌氧环境,生物脱氮是地下水回灌过程中脱氮的主要途径。包气带对氨氮的去除机理主要为土壤对氨氮的吸附作用和微生物的降解作用。回灌过程中累积在土颗粒表面的氨氮在干期发生硝化作用,干湿交替会加强氮素在包气带的迁移转化,导致干期后的回灌初期大量硝态氮迁移到饱和带地下水中。     

模块化模糊神经网络的数值预报产品释用预报研究

综合应用预报量自身时间序列的拓展,数值预报产品和模块化模糊神经网络方法,进行了一种新的数值预报产品释用预报研究。将这种新方法与常规的数值预报产品完全预报(PP)方法进行了对比试验。结果表明,这种模块化模糊神经网络数值预报产品释用预报方法比PP预报方法的预报精度显著提高。并且,通过对预报模型“过拟合”现象的研究发现,这种模块化模糊神经网络的数值预报产品释用预报模型具有很好的泛化性能。     

使用GAMIT进行高精度基线向量解算的方法与实践

GAM IT是国际上常用的GPS定位定轨软件,但由于其安装的平台(UN IX/LINUX)与我们通用的W indow s平台有所差异,使得GAM IT的入门较难。因此本文结合具体实例,介绍GAM IT的安装、基本操作以及应用GAM IT进行高精度基线向量解算,供初学者参考。     

甲烷气爆震源性能研究及其在粤港澳大湾区化龙断层探测中的应用

针对近年兴起的甲烷气爆主动震源,设计了不同尺寸震源装置,分别在不同激发环境下,通过比较激发信号能量及频带分布进行了震源性能研究,实现了震源参数优化.同点甲烷气爆和炸药震源成像结果研究表明,甲烷气爆震源引起的地表振动速度更小,更符合安全环保的需求.将优化后的甲烷气爆震源用于粤港澳大湾区的化龙断裂浅部结构勘查,单炮记录结果可见高信噪比初至信号.对10炮激发记录进行初至走时拾取后进行走时层析成像发现,化龙断裂推测位置附近纵波速度在第四系下方200~400 m深度范围明显错断.基于横波/纵波波谱比分析结果（HVSR）,根据经验关系推断了该地区沉积层厚度分布,发现与走时层析成像结果中的第四系沉积底界面位置吻合良好.以上成像结果与该地区已有钻孔及早期反射地震结果高度吻合,证明了此次采用的甲烷气爆主动震源作为炸药震源的替代品,在未来城市地下结构浅勘工作中有广泛的应用前景.

     

Member 1 of Yongji Formation (Ey1) sedimentary characteristics and its origin analysis in Yitong Graben

Ey1 has the unique desultory-weak or gap seismic reflection structure as its one of the most important characteristics. It is very important to clarify sedimentary characteristics and its origin for Yitong Graben and its sedimentary facies and tectonic evolution. On the basis of the research of core analyses, well logging data analyses, sedimentary facies analyses and seismic reflection structure analyses, the authors have concluded the sedimentary characteristics of Ey1, and have carried out Ey1 sedimentary environments and its origin. The result shows that Ey1 desultory-weak or gap seismic reflection may be a series of small scale secondary sediment fans superimposition.     

基于全球通道与本地蜂鸣的张江IC产业集群演化

产业集群演化是全球通道和本地蜂鸣共同作用的结果.在产业集群不同发展阶段,其全球通道和本地蜂鸣的作用方式和效果并不相同.通过调研访谈张江高科技园区集成电路企业及相关机构,分析了产业集群的不同阶段特征和发展轨迹,发现产业集群主要驱动因素由全球通道向本地蜂鸣转变、产业集群由外生向内生演变的发展轨迹.在产业集群孕育期,跨国公司入驻具有决定性作用.在产业集群形成期,跨国公司全球生产网络和跨国技术社区是与外界联系的两种全球通道,也是产业集群发展的关键所在.在产业集群成熟期,全球通道的作用相对下降,本地蜂鸣、创新环境和区域品牌等内生因素作用凸显.为了防止产业集群锁定和衰退,当地政府管理部门需要同时注重本地蜂鸣和全球通道建设.