近47年武川县气候变化趋势及R／S分析

利用气候倾向率、滑动平均、累积距平及Mann--Kendall突变分析和R／S等分析方法,分析近47年武川县气候变化的趋势性及持续性,并对未来的气候变化趋势进行了预测。结果表明：（1）近47年武川县年、四季平均气温升高显著。（2）近47年武川县夏季降水量明显减少,春季、冬季降水量呈略增多趋势,秋季、全年降水量呈减少趋势。（3）近47年武川县冬季和全年相对湿度明显减少,春、夏、秋季相对湿度呈微弱减少趋势。（14）近47年武川县四季及全年日照时数减少均不明显,未通过0．05的信度检验。年日照时数突变发生在1992年和2007年。预测未来的变化趋势均与以前一致,并将有持续减少的趋势。     

Toxicological effects of PBDEs on <Emphasis Type="Italic">carassius aurats</Emphasis>

In this study the effects of polybrominated diphenyl ether compounds (PBDEs), BDE-47 and BDE-99 on carassius aurats were discussed. The reproductive capacity viability and proliferation percent decreased with increasing BDE-47and BDE-99 concentrations (p<0.05), presenting a dose-dependent manner. Physiological biomarkers such as cholesterol (CHL), acetylcholinesterase (AChE), ethoxyresorufin-O-deethylase (EROD) and vitamin were studied to reveal the toxicological effects of BDE-47 and BDE-99 exposure. CHL levels generally decrease with increasing BDE-47 exposure. However, there were no significant differences between the samples and the control. As to BDE-99, the CHL level decreased as compared with the control level when the BDE-99 concentrations reached 20 μg/L (p<0.05). The degree of inhibition of the AChE increased with the increase of DE-47and BDE-99 concentrations. The EROD activity during 72 hours' exposure significantly increased to 20 μg/L for BDE-47 (p<0.05), however, EROD activity was not significantly different at different concentrations of BDE-99 (p<0.05). Carassius aurats hepatocytes reacted to the BDE-47 exposure with increasing EROD activities in the dose dependent manner. Although at lower concentrations, the induced effects of BDE-47 and BDE-99 were not significantly different, though BDE-47 showed strong induced effects on the EROD activity with increasing concentrations in carassius aurats hepatocytes. In contrast, BDE-99 did not influence EROD activity consistently. The VA level of carassius aurats was significantly different from that of the controls for BDE-99 (p<0.001), as far as the VA level was significantly lower of carassius aurats than the controls for BDE-47 (p<0.001). CHL, AChE, EROD, and VA levels in carassius aurats were differently affected by BDE-47 and BDE-99 exposures, therefore, they would be good indicators for exposure.     

2011年8月大气环流和天气分析

2011年8月环流特征如下：极涡呈现2个中心,强度偏弱。北半球中高纬度环流呈4波型分布,副热带高压脊线偏南,中旬西伸脊线点偏西,强度略偏强。2011年8月,全国平均气温为21.3℃,较常年同期（20.3℃）偏高1.0℃。全国平均降水量为85.7 mm.平均降水量偏少16.5%。月内出现了10次降水过程,西北太平洋有4个热带风暴活动,其中＂南玛都＂登陆我国台湾省和福建省,超强台风梅花对我国东部大范围沿海造成了较大影响。江南大部、华南北部及重庆、四川东部等地持续高温天气。     

中强地震活动区地震年平均发生率确定方法的比较

目前确定地震活动性参数的方法有2种,即潜在震源区划分法和格点空间光滑法.本文针对格点空间光滑法,重点介绍了高斯空间光滑法及其改进后的方法,并对比分析了这些方法的优缺点及适用性;然后以华中为研究区,分别采用高斯空间光滑法和潜在震源区法建立地震活动性模型计算地震年平均发生率,并利用概率地震危险性分析方法计算地震危险性,对比两种方法所得区划结果的差异并分析了引起差异的原因.结果表明:空间光滑法适用于中强地震活动区地震危险性或由背景地震引起的地震危险性的计算;潜在震源区划分法适用于考虑明确的发震构造的地震危险性.将2种方法相结合,综合考虑地震和已知构造信息是判断中强地震活动区地震危险性的可行方法.     

运城东郭流体观测井震兆特征及映震灵敏性分析

对东郭流体观测井在山西地震带几次4级以上地震前的异常特征及映震灵敏性进行分析,认为震前多以短临异常为主,异常持续时间具有随震级增大而增加的特点;异常形态水位以突降为主,水温则以突升为主,异常幅度表现为随震级增大而增大、随震中距减小而增大的特点;除汶川地震外,东郭井水位、水温所对应的地震均发生在山西地震带上;东郭流体观测...     

音频大地电磁测深在成矿规律研究中的应用

为研究长江中下游地区的成矿规律和地下中浅部精细的电性信息,使用美国EMI公司生产的EH4音频大电磁测深仪,在安徽泥河示范矿区周围及地下中部进行勘探工作,使用非线性共轭梯度方法进行资料反演工作,获得较好结果.经过钻井验证,地电剖面圈定的异常、层位与地下矿体、层界面对应良好,误差小,揭示了成矿位置以及矿体周围的电性结构,为...     

黄河源地区磁组构特征及其地质意义

黄河源区位于青藏高原东北部,区内主要为三叠系沉积地层,发育一系列由北向南的推覆构造带,间有早期近直立的韧性剪切带。笔者对黄河源地区巴颜喀拉山群沉积岩进行了磁组构分析,结果显示岩石磁化率各向异性度P值和磁化率百分率各向异性度H值均不大,反映该地区总体韧性变形较弱,较强韧性变形仅发育于局部地段;岩石磁组构具有磁面理发育、磁线理不发育、磁化率椭球呈压扁形椭球体的特点,反映在挤压应力作用下,岩石发生了压扁变形,主应力方位主要为NNE-SSW(近SN)向,其次为NE-SW向。根据岩石磁组构分析认为黄河源地区存在两条韧性剪切带,韧性剪切带与现今湖泊水体的展布有一定的耦合关系;北部韧性剪切带沿现今黄河河谷分布,控制着扎陵湖、鄂陵湖和玛多"四姐妹湖"的展布;南部韧性剪切带沿岗纳格玛错—野牛沟一线展布,控制着岗纳格玛错和尕拉拉错等残余湖泊的分布。     

济东煤田埠村煤矿瓦斯涌出量研究

煤矿瓦斯不仅关系到能否起到利用价值,同时也关系到众多矿工的安全问题,鲁中地区是山东重要的煤炭资源基地,埠村煤矿作为其中重要的一部分,其瓦斯研究价值不言而喻。运用沉积学、构造地质学、煤地质学,数学分析等相关学科和方法,从影响瓦斯涌出量的地质构造、顶底板岩性、岩浆岩、水文地质条件、上覆基岩厚度等地质因素进行综合分析,对埠村煤矿瓦斯涌出量进行量化预测,并作出其全井田瓦斯涌出量的等值线图。研究表明,埠村井田属低瓦斯矿井,瓦斯涌出量存在东高西低的趋势,主要受埠村向斜的控制,矿井瓦斯涌出量的预测分析可以对以后生产防治作出指导作用。     

Seismic characteristics and development of the Xisha carbonate platforms,northern margin of the South China Sea

The Xisha carbonate platforms, which include the modern-day Xisha Atoll, occur upon the northern continental margin of the South China Sea (SCS). In this study, we identify the seismic characteristics about various sedimentary facies of the carbonate platform and different types of reef in this area, based on the 2-D seismic data, reefs show high-amplitue moundy continuous reflection at the top and weak chaotic reflections inside. Carbonate platforms show high-amplitude continuous reflection at the top and high reflection alternative with weak reflection. The above analysis provided information about the influence of fluctuations in relative sea level, tectonic movements, paleotopography and the development mechanism of the carbonate platform. Based on the seismic data and data from drillholes (Xichen-1, Xiyong-1), we propose a schematic sedimentary model of the Xisha carbonate platforms at the northern margin of the SCS and outline five stages of development for the carbonate platform. Its sedimentary evolution consists of Initial establishment stage, development stage, exposure stage, drowning stage and large atoll reefs development stage. We also propose that several phases tectonisms supply proper environment and structural position for carbonate platform development, they can also destroyed the exist platforms. Besides, eustasy change was also the main influential factor on the development of the platforms.     

渤中13—1油田薄层生屑云岩分布特征及成因分析

渤中13—1油田古近系沙河街组沙一段顶部发育一套薄层生屑云岩油气藏。由于该储层具有厚度薄、埋藏深、横向变化快、预测难度大等特点,给油田钻探部署带来了极大的困难。运用类比分析及相控储层预测技术,对薄层生屑云岩的分布特征和成因进行了系统分析,并预测生屑云岩储层有利区带,优化钻前井位部署。经钻探证实均获良好效果,钻探成功率达100％,经投产测试均获高产油气流,为相似油藏的开发部署提供了良好的借鉴和指导作用。