Relationships between Interannual and Intraseasonal Variations of the Asian-Western Pacific Summer Monsoon Hindcasted by BCC_CSM1.1（m）

Using hindcasts of the Beijing Climate Center Climate System Model, the relationships between interannual variability （IAV） and intraseasonal variability （ISV） of the Asian-western Pacific summer monsoon are diagnosed. Predictions show reasonable skill with respect to some basic characteristics of the ISV and IAV of the western North Pacific summer monsoon （WNPSM） and the Indian summer monsoon （ISM）. However, the links between the seasonally averaged ISV （SAISV） and seasonal mean of ISM are overestimated by the model. This deficiency may be partially attributable to the overestimated frequency of long breaks and underestimated frequency of long active spells of ISV in normal ISM years, although the model is capable of capturing the impact of ISV on the seasonal mean by its shift in the probability of phases. Furthermore, the interannual relationships of seasonal mean, SAISV, and seasonally averaged long-wave variability （SALWV; i.e., the part with periods longer than the intraseasonal scale） of the WNPSM and ISM with SST and low-level circulation are examined. The observed seasonal mean, SAISV, and SALWV show similar correlation patterns with SST and atmospheric circulation, but with different details. However, the model presents these correlation distributions with unrealistically small differences among different scales, and it somewhat overestimates the teleconnection between monsoon and tropical central-eastern Pacific SST for the ISM, but underestimates it for the WNPSM, the latter of which is partially related to the too-rapid decrease in the impact of E1 Nifio-Southern Oscillation with forecast time in the model.     

Origin of the pre-tropical storm Debby (2006) African easterly wave-mesoscale convective system

The origins of the pre-Debby (2006) mesoscale convective system (MCS) and African easterly wave (AEW) and their precursors were traced back to the southwest Arabian Peninsula, Asir Mountains (AS), and Ethiopian Highlands (EH) in the vicinity of the ITCZ using satellite imagery, GFS analysis data and ARW model. The sources of the convective cloud clusters and vorticity perturbations were attributed to the cyclonic convergence of northeasterly Shamal wind and the Somali jet, especially when the Mediterranean High shifted toward east and the Indian Ocean high strengthened and its associated Somali jet penetrated farther to the north. The cyclonic vorticity perturbations were strengthened by the vorticity stretching associated with convective cloud clusters in the genesis region—southwest Arabian Peninsula. A conceptual model was proposed to explain the genesis of convective cloud clusters and cyclonic vorticity perturbations preceding the pre-Debby (2006) AEW–MCS system.     

我国短期气候动力预测模式系统的研究及试验

气候和气候异常对我国的国民经济发展具有重大影响,为提高短期气候预测的准确率,研究动力气候模式短期气候预测新技术至关重要.通过近5年的努力,建立了一套出月动力延伸预报模式,海气耦合的全球气候模式(AGCM+OGCM+海冰+高分辨率印度洋-太平洋海盆模式),区域气候模式季和年际尺度的业务动力模式组成的系统.初步把我国的短期气候预测水平由经验统计方法提高到定量和客观分析的水平上.在此基础上,已建成了一个具有物理基础的统计方法与气候动力模式相结合的综合气候预报系统.     

一次大暴雨过程的物理量诊断分析

本文利用2005年7月16日至18日的高空资料,对7月18日发生在广元的大暴雨天气过程进行了热力学和动力学诊断分析,结果表明:(1)在暴雨出现前,大气有一个能量聚集、湿层增厚的过程;(2)湿Q矢量辐合中心对应暴雨区,越接近强降水出现时间,诊断效果越好。     

一种尚未定名的Ni—As—S—Se矿物相

Ｎｉ－Ａｓ－Ｓ－Ｓｅ矿物相首次发现于西秦岭南亚带拉尔玛－邛莫金－铜－铀建造矿床中。与其共生的矿物有：硒汞矿、硒铅矿、硒梯矿、硒硫锑矿、硒硫锑铜矿、自然金、重晶石、石英等。该矿物颗粒细小，粒度小于１０μｍ。在反光显微镜下呈白色，无内反射现象，为一均质矿物。两个点的电子探针分析结果（ＷＢ％）：Ｎｉ２４．１２３￣２９．３７８，Ａｓ２７．５７４￣３３．８９５，Ｈｇ７．５９１￣５．３５９，Ｓ１３．９３９￣１     

藏东南部泥石流堵河试验研究

通过模型试验对泥石流入汇主河后堵塞坝形成过程以及堵塞坝体溃决后主河河床形态特征进行了研究。实验历时3个月,共13组试验。在支主沟交汇角为90°的情况下,通过改变支沟泥石流容重、支主沟的流量比和动量比,建立了泥石流堵河的判别公式,当r>1 001.16时容易发生堵河现象,并对培龙沟两次泥石流堵河事件进行了判定;定义了主河的束窄率S与主河流速变异系数Fv,并发现了主河的束窄率与支主沟动量比之间存在线性关系;主河稳定后的平均宽度与流速变异系数之间存在幂的关系。该实验能够较好地模拟泥石流堵塞坝形成的过程,结果比较合理,并为泥石流灾害的防治提供了相应的理论基础。     

柴达木盆地东部烃源岩的生源与沉积环境

用色谱-质谱、稳定同位素质谱等分析测试技术，对柴达木盆地东部地区寒武系、奥陶系、泥盆系、石炭系和侏罗系岩样进行地球化学特征分析。从饱和烃生物标志化合物特征、正构烷烃单体碳同位素分布特征等方面入手，对该区的烃源岩的生源与沉积环境作了详细研究。结果表明，柴达木盆地东部地区古生界有机质多为菌、藻类生源，少数有陆源有机质混入（主要是石炭系）。有机质多为强还原环境的海相沉积，少数为海陆过渡相沉积。侏罗系在一些地区和层段并非典型的成煤环境，而是属于滨浅湖相，少数为半深湖-深湖环境，因此具有一定的生烃能力。     

河北秦皇岛斑鬣狗巢穴(灵仙洞)及斑鬣狗的集群死亡与埋藏

河北省秦皇岛灵仙洞发现了一批最后斑鬣狗化石,标本达上千件,至少代表了30个不同个体,包括3具骨架(其中骨架Ⅰ是世界上迄今所发现最完整的1具),还发现了一些其他哺乳动物化石,共计26属27种.根据动物群组成、地质地貌以及堆积物的综合分析判断,它的时代可能属于中更新世晚期至晚更新世早期.动物群的生态组合反映当时处于一个温热偏干、半封闭或开阔的山间草原而周边山上有树林的生态环境.标本(尤其是完整骨架)的保存为典型的原地埋藏,死后未受到包括斑鬣狗自身在内的动物干扰和破坏.斑鬣狗在动物群中占绝对优势以及幼年个体和粪化石的发现,表明灵仙洞是一处斑鬣狗族群的巢穴.与其他斑鬣狗巢穴不同的是:斑鬣狗的猎物稀少,鲜见斑鬣狗的活动痕迹,尤其是幼年斑鬣狗啃咬形成的特定产物“nibbling sticks”,这说明灵仙洞既非用于猎物遗骸的储藏,也非用于幼崽的抚养,而是一处共用巢穴,同时也表明灵仙洞的骨骼聚集与埋藏有着特定的成因和机理.     

塔里木盆地奥陶系萤石脉—油气叠合成藏作用——高分辨率成像测井资料提供的证据

根据高分辨率电阻率成像测井解释,结 合岩心观察及薄片资料,探讨了塔里木盆 地塔中X井下奥陶统灰岩段内罕见的萤石脉—油气叠合成藏现象。萤石脉侵位于二叠纪塔里 木盆地中西部区域性火山活动时期,由上侵至地层浅部的低温岩浆热液沿断层、裂隙发育带 充填而成。萤石脉及其附近灰岩围岩中溶洞的形成为后期油气聚集提供了良好的储集条件, 它与充足的油气来源及上覆巨厚中、上奥陶统泥质岩有利的封盖条件配合,促成了油气在萤 石脉基础上的叠合成藏。该油气藏的发现为塔里木盆地油气勘探开辟了一个新领域,并丰富 了传统的油气成藏理论。