基于K均值聚类的中国夏季降水日变化空间分布模式

为了获取降水日变化的空间分布模式,本文采用K均值聚类算法对中国陆地区域的夏季逐时格网降水数据进行了聚类。首先,采用K均值聚类算法对每个格网上的逐时降水数据进行聚类。然后,根据每一聚类的降水日变化峰值,将具有相似峰值时间的聚类合并成为一个分类。合并后的分类对应一种降水日变化类型,分类中的格网边界则构成了该类降水日变化的空间分布模式。研究结果表明,中国大部分地区的降水量日变化由降水频率日变化主导。此外,一些盛行夜雨区域在空间分布上表现出从西向东的分布模式,且降水日变化峰值时间表现出了从西向东逐渐延迟的现象。结合地形分析,研究发现一些夜雨区的降水峰值延迟现象与MPS环流效应导致的雨带移动现象较为一致,得出MPS(Mountain-Plain Solenoid)环流效应是导致这些地区盛行夜雨的结论。本文研究结果可为探索降水日变化的形成机理提供线索,也可为研究其他地区降水日变化提供参考。     

Preliminary Study of the Ability of Large-scale Deformation Observed by Lunar Based InSAR—Taking Vertical Displacement of Solid Earth Tide as an Example

Based on the principle of InSAR (Interferometirc Synthetic Aperture Radar) characterized by large-scale, continuity, permanency and dynamic, we took vertical displacement of solid Earth tide as an example to simulate the large-scale deformation observed by lunar based InSAR for the first time in the study and the observation ability was analyzed. Solid Earth tide has a feature of a large-space distribution range and the lunar based InSAR exhibits a feature of an ultra-wide swath imaging. According to these features, a simplified observation geometry model was established and a mid-low latitudes area with 50 degrees span in both longitude and latitude was selected as the simulation area. Then the revisit time intervals of the lunar based SAR for the selected area and the tidal vertical displacements at the points scanned by the radar were calculated. The time differentials were further computed to get the relative vertical deformation of the solid Earth tide. The simulation results show that the revisit period of the lunar based radar is about 24.8 hours and the maximum vertical displacement in 30 days is up to 30 cm. Since the designed accuracy of the lunar based InSAR reaches several centimeters, the observing of the vertical displacement of the solid Earth tide by using the lunar based InSAR is feasible in theory as the maximum magnitude of the vertical displacement is 1 order of magnitude larger than the designed accuracy. Theoretically ,solid Earth tide is observable by using lunar based InSAR in a sizable area.We can also use the observation data to study the temporal and spatial variation characteristics when observation time lasts two revisit periods or more. On the other hand,the result of the study also provides references for the parameter designing of other observations using the lunar based InSAR, especially for observing large-scale geodynamic phenomena.     

北京城郊山地森林游憩机会谱构建

20世纪中叶,到森林中休闲游憩的人数剧增,为了保护生态环境,同时为游客提供高质量的游憩体验,美国林务局的管理者和专家发展了游憩机会谱(ROS)理念和管理框架,其主要以游憩需求为导向,依据"自然环境"、"社会环境"和"管理环境"指标对游憩区进行分类分级,编制游憩机会清单,对资源进行清查、规划和管理。本文在介绍ROS理论的基础上,结合北京市民森林游憩的需求特征和森林游憩区当前的管理体制和开发利用现状,筛选出"自然程度"、"偏远程度"、"游客密度"和"管理强度"4个评价指标,分析提出了北京山地森林游憩机会谱,将北京城郊山地森林游憩区分为城郊开发区域、城郊自然区域、乡村开发区域、乡村自然区域和半原始区域五个游憩机会等级,并结合目前的北京市游憩资源的利用和管理现状,用GIS作图直观展示了各游憩机会的分布,分析比较了各游憩机会的供需状况,为北京城郊森林游憩的规划和管理提出了合理化建议。     

渤海湾盆地大型基岩潜山储层特征及其控制因素 ——以渤中19-6凝析气田为例

渤中19-6气田是渤海湾盆地近期发现的规模最大的深层变质基岩凝析气田,探明储量超过千亿立方米,气柱高度超1000 m,现今埋深大于4000 m,储层规模大但非均质性强.基于三维地震、钻井、测井以及薄片资料,明确了基岩潜山储层的发育特征,并探讨了优质储层形成的主控因素.结果表明:基岩潜山以太古宇变质花岗岩为主要的储集岩性...     

地震模拟振动台初始状态调节和控制参数的匹配

本文介绍正在研制的三向六自由度电液伺服地震模拟振动台的控制策略和有电反馈三级伺服阀的电液伺服系统初始状态的调节方法，控制参数的匹配原理及其在地震模拟台性能高度中的应用。文中进行了理论分析和实验研究。     

南北地震带强震迁移特征及其预测意义

在分析南北构造带构造体系的基础上，研究了该带强震的时空动态图象演化，结果表明，南北带的地震活动有如下特征：（１）经向迁移，其空间演化有步进型和步进折返型两种形态；（２）远程的快速响应；（３）诱发地震的链锁分布，该特征反映了强震间的相互耦合，对未来强震具有示踪意义，（４）时空可公度性，该结果对分析判定本带的地震趋势从而实现正确的预测具有实际意义。     

Gutenberg-Richter公式和灰色理论GM模型在地震预测中的联合应用

以华北地区 (33°～ 4 3°N ,10 9°～ 12 4°E)地震为例 ,用Gutenberg -Richter公式研究了地震均匀分布情况。结果表明 :自 1970年到 2 0 0 1年以来 ,本地区 2 0≤M <4 0的地震偏少、 4 0≤M <6 0的地震偏多、 6 0≤M<7 0的地震偏少、M≥ 7 0的地震偏多 ;然后择其将导致本地区较大社会影响、人员伤亡、经济损失的偏少地震——— 6 0≤M <7 0级地震进行灰色理论GM模型预测。通过上面的应用 ,使两理论优点在地震预测中得到结合 ,地震预测更有的放矢 ,预测结果更可信、更有效。     

Spatial Disparity of Slope Farmland and Food Security in Three Gorges Area

As an important measure of ecoenvironmental construction, the process of de-farming in slope farmland is being undertaken gradually in the whole China. Meanwhile, the problem of reducing in food yield in de-farming areas can not be neglected any more. It is especially the case in areas with concentrated slope farmland and inconvenient transportation. In this paper, we analyze the causes of hidden troubles in food security, and the spatial relationship between farmland and slope farmland in the reservoir area of Three Gorges, and unveil the spatial disparity of contradictions between food supply and demand. Finally, combining the accessibility of areas, three different spatial types of food security, food security area, food alert area, and food crisis area, are divided.     

A STUDY ON REGIONAL DIFFERENCE OF CHINA＇S PAID URBAN LANDUSE SYSTEM AND GRADING

董黎明，李向明，冯长春ＡＳＴＵＤＹＯＮＲＥＧＩＯＮＡＬＤＩＦＦＥＲＥＮＣＥＯＦＣＨＩＮＡ＇ＳＰＡＩＤＵＲＢＡＮＬＡＮＤＵＳＥＳＹＳＴＥＭＡＮＤＧＲＡＤＩＮＧ￥ＤｏｎｇＬｉｍｉｎｇ；ＬｉＸｉａｎｇｍｉｎｇ；ＦｅｎｇＣｈａｎｇｃｈｕｎ（ＰｅｋｉｎｇＵｎｉ...     

Geminga脉冲星的COS-B和HEAO-B卫星资料分析

本文利用COS-B和HEAO-B卫星资料对Geminga脉冲星进行了守时性分析和谱分析,结果进一步证实了Geminga脉冲星是一颗具有强γ辐射,弱X辐射的γ射线脉冲星.