Extreme learning machine for the displacement prediction of landslide under rainfall and reservoir level

Landslide prediction is always the emphasis of landslide research. Using global positioning system GPS technologies to monitor the superficial displacements of landslide is a very useful and direct method in landslide evolution analysis. In this paper, an EEMD–ELM model [ensemble empirical mode decomposition (EEMD) based extreme learning machine (ELM) ensemble learning paradigm] is proposed to analysis the monitoring data for landslide displacement prediction. The rainfall data and reservoir level fluctuation data are also integrated into the study. The rainfall series, reservoir level fluctuation series and landslide accumulative displacement series are all decomposed into the residual series and a limited number of intrinsic mode functions with different frequencies from high to low using EEMD technique. A novel neural network technique, ELM, is employed to study the interactions of these sub-series at different frequency affecting landslide occurrence. Each sub-series extracted from accumulative displacement of landslide is forecasted respectively by establishing appropriate ELM model. The final prediction result is obtained by summing up the calculated predictive displacement value of each sub. The EEMD–ELM model shows the best accuracy comparing with basic artificial neural network models through forecasting the displacement of Baishuihe landslide in the Three Gorges reservoir area of China.     

东天山康古尔金矿床石英位错构造及其动力学意义

康古尔金矿床形成于脆韧性—脆性剪切变形构造演化过程中。应用透射电镜超微技术分析水热成矿期石英位错构造、位错密度及差应力值有助于加深认识剪切构造条件下的成矿动力学机制。石英位错构造特征反映成矿期构造变形环境为中温—中低温、高差异应力、高应变速率。成矿期构造差应力演化呈明显的脉动性,这种脉动性所形成的“应力地震泵吸”机制对金矿成矿至关重要。     

云南天文台1m望远镜卡焦(缩焦)CCD测光系统的初步研究

用云台１ｍ望远镜镜卡焦（缩焦）ＣＣＤ测光系统对测光标准星进行了ＢＶＲＩ四色测光,计算得到了该系统的转换方程及其转换结果,并对计算结果进行了分析讨论．     

陷落柱的探查与综合治理实践

介绍了桃园煤矿井下所见陷落柱的出露特征。为指导巷道施工,消除水患威胁,采取了综合勘探方法查明陷落柱的范围、高度、导水性等情况,并阐述了注浆加固综合治理陷落柱的方法。     

胶东脉型金矿定量统计模型

胶东存在中深成和浅成两类脉型金矿。定量统计模型研究发现，形成于 挤压地球动力学环境的中深成脉型金矿，成矿深度相对深，规模大，矿化强，形成于拉张地球动力学环境的浅成脉型金矿，成矿深度相对浅，规模小，矿化弱。     

Microbial release of potassium from K-bearing minerals by thermophilic fungus Aspergillus fumigatus

A strain of thermophilic fungus Aspergillus fumigatus was cultured with K-bearing minerals to determine if microbe-mineral interactions enhance the release of mineralic potassium. Experiments were carried out in two settings, one with the mineral grains and the fungal cells in direct contact, and the other employing a membrane (pore size 0.22 μm) to separate the two. Measurements over a period of 30 days showed that, irrespective of the experimental setup, the concentration of free K in the culture was drastically higher than those in any of the control experiments where no living organism was present. Moreover, the occurrence of mineral-cell physical contact enhanced potassium release by an additional factor of 3 to 4 in comparison to the separation experiments. For contact experiments, Electron Probe Microanalysis revealed the formation of mycelium-mineral aggregates, and Atomic Force Microscopy imaging further indicated the possible ingestion of mineral particles by the fungus cells. Contrasting to what was observed and expected in control experiments, the potassium solubilization rate showed a positive dependence upon pH when fungi and minerals were mixed directly, and exhibited no correlations with solution acidity if cell-rock contact was restrained. These results appear to suggest that A. fumigatus promoted potassium release by means of at least three likely routes, one through the complexation of soluble organic ligands, another appealing to the immobile biopolymers such as the insoluble components of secretion, and the third related to the mechanical forces in association with the direct physical contact between cells and mineral particles.     

Spatial character of the gaseous and particulate state compound correlation of urban atmospheric pollution in winter and summer

The spatial/temporal variation information of atmospheric dynamic-chemical processes at observation site points of the "canopy" boundary of Beijing urban building ensemble and over urban area "surface", as well as the seasonal correlation structure of the gaseous and particulate states of urban atmospheric pollution (UAP) and its seasonal conversion feature at observation points are investigated, using the comprehensive observation data of the Beijing City Air Pollution Observation Experiment (BECAPEX) in winter and summer 2003 with a "point-surface" combined research approach. By using "one dimension spatial empirical orthogonal function (EOF)" principal component analysis (PCA) mode, the seasonal change of gaseous and particulate states of atmospheric aerosols and the association feature of pollutant species under the background of the complicated structure of urban boundary layer (UBL) are analyzed. The comprehensive analyses of the principal components of particle concentrations,gaseous pollutant species, and meteorological conditions reveal the seasonal changes of the complex constituent and structure features of the gaseous and particulate states of UAP to further trace the impact feature of urban aerosol pollution surface sources and the seasonal difference of the component structure of UAP. Research results suggest that in the temporal evolution of the gaseous and particulate states of winter/summer UAP, NOx, CO, and SO2 showed an "in-phase" evolution feature, however, O3 showed an "inverse-phase" relation with other species,all possessing distinctive dependent feature. On the whole, summer concentrations of gaseous pollutants CO, SO2, and NOx were obviously lower than winter ones, especially, the reduction in CO concentration was most distinctive, and ones in SO2 and NOx were next. However, the summer O3 concentration was more than twice winter one. Winter/summer differences in PM10and PM2.5 particle concentrations were relatively not obvious, which indicates that responses of PM10 and PM2.5 particle concentrations to the difference of winter/summer heating period emission sources are far less distinctive than those of NOx, SO2, and CO. The correlation feature of winter/summer gaseous and particulate states depicts that both PM10 and PM2.5 particles were significantly correlated with NOx, and their correlations with NOx are more significant than those with other pollutants. Through PCA, it is found that there was a distinctive difference in the principal component combination structure of winter/summer PM10 and PM2.5 particles: SO2 and NOx dominated in the principal component of winter PM10 and PM2.5 particles; while CO and NOx played the major role in the principal component of summer PM10 and PM2.5 particles. For winter/summer PM10 and PM2.5 particles, there might exist the gaseous and particulate states correlation structures of different "combinations" of such dependent pollutant species. Research results also uncover that the interaction processes of gaseous and particulate states were also related with the vertical structure of UBL, that is to say, the low value layer of UBL O3 concentration was associated with the collocation of atmospheric vertical structures of the low level inversion,inverse humidity, and small wind, which depicts summer boundary layer atmospheric character, i.e.the compound impact of the dependent factor "combination" of wind, temperature, and humidity elements and their collocation structure on the variations of different gaseous pollutant concentrations. Such a depth structure of the extremely low value of O3 concentration in the UBL accords with its "inverse-phase" relation with other gaseous pollutant species. The PCA of meteorological factors associated with PM10 and PM2.5 concentrations also reveals the sensitivity of PM10 and PM2.5 concentration to the combinatory feature of local meteorological conditions.     

露天矿边坡的位移监测与滑坡预报

对湖北大冶铁矿滑坡区域的长期监测资料进行分析和总结，提出依据位移-时间曲线预报滑坡的方法。     

江苏溧阳地震孕育和发生的地质因素剖析

研究和剖析了两次溧阳地震孕育和发生的主要地质因素，新生代茅东裂陷盆地；茅东与南京－溧阳两玄武岩喷发带的交汇；茅东断裂带最活动的上沛带；震源区地壳层圈构造（深、浅变质岩界面和低速层）与茅东部断裂带中、深脆－韧性剪切段的复合。探讨了控制溧阳震震级的因素；茅东断裂带属Ⅱ级断裂，茅东裂陷盆地属中、小型裂陷盆地，因此，决定溧阳地震震级为5．0－6．0的中强地震。     

三峡地区寒武纪一三叠纪古海水Sm／Nd变化特征：来自牙形石的证据

牙形石作为划分地层的标准化石，具有确切的地层层位和较高的REE含量，并不容易受成岩作用的影响，因此作为研究古海水演化的指示剂引起人们的广泛关注．利用同位素稀释法对扬子克拉通三峡地区寒武纪一三叠纪海相碳酸盐岩中代表古海水化学组成牙形石的Sm／Nd比值进行测定，Sm／Nd比值在0．108-0．348之间，有较大的变化范围．建立Sm／Nd比值随时间的演化曲线，并结合已有沉积地层学和沉积地球化学的成果进行研究，结果表明，古海水Sm／Nd比值变化与海平面升降、古陆块的隆起有明显对应关系，同时，区域性构造运动，如海底地壳拉张产生的幔源组分和地幔柱活动也会影响古海水的Sm／Nd比值．因此，古海水的Sm／Nd比值对海平面的升降、古大陆的风化作用和区域构造事件有指示意义．