基于潮位校正的盐城滨海潮间带遥感监测及变化分析

潮间带是重要的滨海湿地类型之一,在生物多样性保护、全球环境变化等方面具有不可估量的价值。遥感技术已经成为滨海湿地监测的重要手段。针对潮间带遥感监测中存在时相限制的瓶颈问题,本文结合卫星过境时潮位信息,通过建立GIS模型,将利用遥感方法提取出的瞬时水边线校正至平均高、低潮线,改进了通过遥感数据恢复潮间带高程和范围的方法。在此基础上,利用1995年、2000年、2005年、2010年和2015年的多期Landsat TM以及OLI遥感数据,对盐城滨海潮间带进行了遥感监测和分析。结果表明:（1）2015年江苏盐城潮间带面积为809.27 km2,相比1995年减小了47%;（2）1995年以来盐城滨海潮间带面积总体呈减小了趋势,其中1995-2000年潮间带面积减小幅度最大,约为205.67 km2;（3）潮间带主要分布在盐城滨海南部晚庄港-新开港,占全部潮间带面积的66%;同时潮间带面积的减小也主要发生在这个区域,减小的潮间带面积占减小总面积的84%;（4）潮间带范围的变化受人为和自然双重因素影响;海平面上升和滨海湿地的大量围垦,造成了潮间带的挤压效应,使得潮间带面积迅速减小,湿地围垦等人为因素起到主导作用。     

多普勒雷达资料同化在台风“灿都”(2010)预报中的应用研究

文章基于中尺度天气预报模式(WRF)及其三维变分同化系统(WRF-3DVAR), 采用了两部雷达径向风资料, 进行单一时间分析以初始化台风“灿都”(Chanthu), 比较研究了同化雷达径向速度(V_r)对台风“灿都”分析和预报的影响。结果表明: 同化雷达径向风的作用主要体现在台风强度和环流结构的调整, 且在同化达到一定时长后, 对改进同化后的预报分析有积极效应。同化试验改进台风的初始风场以及台风环流中心的热力和动力结构、强度和位置, 进而提高18h预报的台风结构、路径、强度。     

The effect of unstable inertia-gravity wave on the occurrence and the development of typhoon and tropical cyclone

In this paper,the analysis of the occurrence and the development of typhoon and tropical cyclone is made with the unstable theory of wave. The result indicates that the primary wave is the unstable inertia-gravity wave in the process of the occurrence and the deveJopmant of typhoon and tropical cyclone: The existence of the deep moist layer and the heating by moisture condensation can impel and intensify the unstability of the wave and is favourable for the reduction of the wave energy dispersion, therefore, it is good for the formation and the development of typhoon and tropical cyclone, and also can slow down the wave speed. Besides, the condition that the change of the specific volume of the basic state with pressure is less than that of adiabatic state may also lead to the wave unstability, thus may have certain effect on the occurrence and the development of typhoon and tropical cyclone.     

循环流化床燃烧过程自适应双环选择控制系统

本文根据循环流化床燃烧过程的动态特性和现场运行经验 ,提出了 1种符合实际应用的自适应双环选择控制系统。该系统在床层温度不越限的情况下 ,以控制主蒸汽压力稳定为主要目标。当床层温度发生越限时 ,系统自动变换控制策略并调整床层温度恢复到正常 ,这种控制方式有效地减弱了主蒸汽压力与床层温度之间的耦合关系。该系统结构简单、实用 ,具有工程应用价值 ,现场运行收到较好的控制效果     

Tectono-stratigraphic evolution and hydrocarbon exploration in the Eocene Southern Lufeng Depression,Pearl River Mouth Basin,South China Sea

The structural evolution and stratigraphic architecture of the Southern Lufeng Depression in the Pearl River Mouth Basin, South China Sea show two second-order sequences (SSQ1 and SSQ2) and nine third-order sequences (WSQ1-5 and ESQ1-4) within the Eocene rift-related successions. Based on integrated interpretations of seismic reflections, well logs and core data, five distinct tectono-stratigraphic patterns are identified: (1) the initial synrift-I sequence (WSQ1) of low tectonic subsidence, overfilled by alluvial fan or fan-delta deposits and volcanic deposits, with no clear systems tracts; (2) the climax synrift-I sequences (WSQ2–4) developed in response to rapid tectonic subsidence, generally consisting of a low-stand systems tract (LST), transgressive systems tract (TST) and high-stand systems tract (HST); (3) the late synrift-I sequence (WSQ5) characterised by a decreased tectonic subsidence rate, dominated by braided delta, deep and shallow lacustrine sediments, mainly constructed by TST and HST; (4) the early synrift-II sequences (ESQ1–2) rapidly filled by braided deltaic sandstone and mainly composed of TST and HST with less common LST units; and (5) the late synrift-II sequences (ESQ3–4), which are totally filled by braided deltaic system in a shallow-water lake setting, presenting typical imbricate clinoforms or sub-parallel seismic configurations, consisting of only TST and HST components. During the climax stage of synrift-I development, the depositional setting changed from a prominent shallow lake (WSQ2) to a deep-lucustrine with turbiditic deposits (WSQ3) and finally dominated by mostly braided deltaic-shallow lacustrine deposits (WSQ4); the HST occupies an increasing proportion from early to late. Furthermore, the stratigraphic patterns, especially LST units of the climax synrift-I stage, are significantly influenced by topographic variations and slope-break belt types in the hanging dip-slope. This study reveals that the spatial and temporal evolution of lacustrine depositional and stratigraphic patterns were significantly controlled by the interplay of tectonic subsidence and sediment supply, and provides a fundamental basis for predicting the favourable reservoirs and geometry of source rocks related to the general variability of Eocene rift-related tectonic subsidence in the Southern Lufeng Depression of the Pearl River Mouth Basin. Furthermore, the topographic responses of differential active fault-stepped patterns associated with magma intrusions, highlight the variability of relevant sequence architectures in the hanging dip-slope in lacustrine rift basins.     

动态实时洪水风险分析及管理系统

当前洪水风险分析按照典型设计标准洪水进行计算的模式难以满足实际防洪管理需要,为了提高洪水风险分析的实时性以及适应洪水演进的动态性,设计了动态实时洪水风险分析框架。在本框架中,先采用一维和二维动态耦合水动力学数值方法耦合溃堤模型,然后在樵桑联围防洪保护区建立洪水演进模拟模型,通过灵活处理模型计算边界条件以及动态设置溃堤功能,计算不同设计标准洪水发生时,堤防出现单一溃口或者组合溃口后保护区内洪水演进过程。按照上述框架开发了樵桑联围动态实时洪水风险图编制与管理应用系统,并利用历史洪水资料开展模型验证,验证结果表明,2008-06洪水马口站、三水站、大熬站、甘竹（一）站的实测最高水位和模型计算最高水位的绝对误差分别为-0.10、0.10、0.09、0.04 m,均满足洪水模拟精度要求。利用模型计算了西江发生200年一遇的洪水情况下,江根堤防出现溃口后的洪水流量及溃口内外洪水水位变化过程,模拟溃口宽度168 m,最大溃口洪水流量达到5 190 m³,分析了堤防溃决后3、6和24 h洪水漫延导致村落淹没情况,结果表明其满足合理性分析。     

南海珠江口盆地走滑构造与油气成藏机制

受南海海盆演化以及邻区构造事件的联合控制,南海北部珠江口盆地内部构造表现出明显的多期走滑特征.走滑拉分作用控制了珠江口盆地现今的构造格局,在区域地质构造研究的基础上,本文通过重磁资料,在区域内共识别出NW和NE两组走滑断层,并根据阳江东凹最新三维地震资料的精细解析,识别出花状构造、雁列式和羽状等多种具显著走滑特征的构造...     

中国金矿矿产预测评价模型及资源潜力分析

在全国金矿资源潜力评价基础上,将全国金矿矿产评价模型总结为12类：与中深成侵入岩有关的热液型、破碎蚀变岩型、斑岩型、矽卡岩型、海相火山岩型、陆相火山岩型、微细浸染型、变碎屑岩地层中热液型、绿岩建造型、砂金型、风化壳型和砾岩型。其中,以与中深成侵入岩有关的热液型、破碎蚀变岩型、微细浸染型为主,其预测资源量约占总预测资源量的38%,21%和14%。根据资源量的空间分布及成矿地质背景划分了55个金矿成矿区带,通过对不同成矿区带对预测资源量、累计查明资源储量统计分析,金矿主要集中分布于胶东、华北地台南缘、西秦岭、东秦岭、辽东、滇黔桂、哀牢山成矿带等。根据金矿的成矿地质背景,结合金矿资源潜力及近年来金矿勘查进展,对下一步的工作部署提出参考建议。