西南区域中尺度数值模式预报性能及其与天气过程关系初探

本文以探空站和自动站实测资料为检验参考,通过主客观检验GRAPES和WRF模式在西南地区的初始分析场和预报场,一定程度揭示出模式在西南地区的初值质量、动力框架性能和降水参数化效果。GRAPES在西南地区的位势高度、风速、风向初值质量都不同程度好于WRF,但进入预报阶段,GRAPES位势高度、温度均方根误差以比WRF更高的斜率随时效增长,GRAPES对西南地区的500 hPa高度场预报呈现系统性偏低,而WRF对西南地区高度预报的正误差概率比较高;分类天气过程检验表明,GRAPES对低涡、切变过程的初始分析质量好于WRF,但进入预报阶段,WRF对低槽、低涡和切变三类天气过程的低值系统预报正确率都高于GRAPES,这一定程度反映出WRF的模式性能好于GRAPES;分类天气过程降水预报检验表明,低涡过程降水预报难于低槽过程。GRAPES对低涡过程的降水预报能力较低,WRF预报能力最低的是切变过程。这与模式对分类天气过程中低值系统预报能力一致,这一定程度表明两个模式的降水参数化效果水平相当。     

浅谈我国高校开设民俗类公共选修课的意义

在分析民俗类公共选修课在高校中受欢迎的原因的基础上,探讨了高校开设民俗类公共选修课的意义:(1)学习民俗文化是高校毕业生参与未来国际竞争的需要;(2)让学生了解民俗文化潜在的强制性、规范性和宣泄性;(3)增强学生的民族自豪感和荣誉感;(4)培养高校学生的“和合”观念;(5)帮助学生形成正确的世界观、人生观和价值观等。     

Composition and exhalation flux of gases from mud volcanoes in Taiwan

Many mud volcanoes are distributed along the tectonic sutures in southern Taiwan and can be divided into five zones based on their relative positions in different tectonic domains. Most active mud volcanoes are exhaling methane-dominated gases. Nevertheless, some gases show unusual carbon dioxide-dominated and/or nitrogen-excess compositions. This implies that there are multiple sources for the gas compositions of mud volcanoes in Taiwan.For better understanding the total amount of exhalation gases and its flux, the gas flow and compositions were continuously measured in the interval of two minutes at Chung-lun (CL) bubbling mud pool for a few months. The major compositions of gases exhaling from this site were 75~90% of CO₂ and 5~12% of CH₄. The amount of gases exhaling from the mud pool can be estimated to be about 1.4 ton/year for CH₄ and 28 ton/year for CO₂, respectively. The preliminary results of exhaling gas flux from the major vents of representative active mud volcanoes, yielded an estimated total CH₄ output of the mud volcanoes in Taiwan of ca. 29 ton/year during quiescent period.     

信息技术对海道测量发展的影响分析

介绍分析了现代信息技术——ECDIS、3S技术、Internet技术在海道测量领域的应用与发展现状,旨在对未来海道测量领域的信息化建设进行探索。     

第二次土地调查数据库成果在土地勘测定界中的应用

介绍了第二次土地调查数据库成果在勘测定界中的应用,进一步规范了土地勘测定界成果资料,确保了成果质量,真正做到了图、数与实地一致,并通过生产实际探讨了县级土地勘测定界内外业工作方法。     

浅谈全数字摄影测量从业人员的培训

随着计算机技术的发展和性能的提高以及全数字摄影测量工作站功能的完善,数字摄影测量的应用领域已远远超出传统的摄影测量范围。通过对测绘生产单位目前从事全数字摄影测量工作的人员的年龄、文化及专业知识结构的分析,提出相应的培训方法、时间与培养目标,为各测绘生产单位在培训全数字摄影测量从业人员时提供参考。     

新疆新一代区域数值预报业务系统客观检验分析

运用MET检验工具,对新一代乌鲁木齐区域数值预报业务系统(RMAPS-CA)和目前业务运行系统(DOGRAFS)各季节业务模式预报性能进行对比检验分析.结果表明,相较于DOGRAFS系统,RMAPS-CA系统具有更高的空间分辨率和预报检验评分,预报能力明显提高.具体表现为:(1)对于高空要素预报,RMAPS-CA系统温...     

Relationship of the interannual variability of the Indonesian Throughflow with the IOD over the tropical Indian Ocean

Based on the Simple Ocean Data Assimilation (SODA) reanalysis product, the interannual variability of the upper-ocean ITF volume transport from 1958 to 2001 is investigated. The wavelet analysis shows a second prominent interannual oscillation with a period of about 2–4 years. To reveal any relationship between this band-scale oscillation of the upper-ocean ITF and Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD), correlation and wavelet analyses are used. The correlation coefficient between the upper-ocean ITF and IOD reaches –0.35 with the upper-ocean ITF lagging the IOD index by 8 months. The dipole structure of IOD event is reproduced by the correlation with the upper-ocean ITF lagging the SST anomaly over the tropical Indian Ocean by 8 months from 1958 to 2001. The upper-ocean ITF and IOD show high coherency from about 1975 to 2001. The fact that the wavelet power spectrum of the upper-ocean ITF shows similar structure to that of IOD index supports this high coherency. These analyses suggest that the 2–4-year band-scale oscillation of the upper-ocean ITF is uniquely related to IOD over the tropical Indian Ocean.     

背景场资料与参数化方案对暴雨预报的影响

利用GRAPES—meso模式和T213资料,对2007年7月18日发生在我国四川盆地和华东地区一次大暴雨过程进行多组数值试验,以分析侧边界资料、驱动资料的垂直分辨率、模式积分区域、云物理参数及边界参数对GRAPES—nleso模式降水预报影响。试验结果表明：（1）侧边界资料对模式降水预报结果影响较小,驱动GRAPES—meso的全球模式产品质量提高,降水预报结果越好;（2）驱动资料垂直分辨率的高低对降水预报结果影响较大,分辨率越高,预报能力越强,反之越弱;（3）模式积分区域对降水预报结果也有明显影响,区域越大,降水预报未必总是最好;（4）物理过程和边界参数试验表明,WSM6方案与KFeta方案组合的24小时降水预报与实况更接近。     

采用绘图法获取避雷针最小高度的方法

给定保护物高度和保护物高度处的保护半径,求取避雷针的最小高度通常只能通过国标中给出的计算式进行反算。以单支避雷针为例介绍了采用AutoCAD软件绘图获取避雷针最小高度的方法。