Hot/Cold Spots in Italian Macroseismic Data

Site effect is usually associated with local geological conditions, which increase or decrease the level of shaking compared with standard attenuation relations. We made an attempt to see in the macroseismic data of Italy some other effects, namely, hot/cold spots in the terminology of Olsen (in Bull. Seismol. Soc. Am. 90, 6B, 577?C594, 2000), which are related to local fault geometry rather than to soil conditions. We give a list of towns and villages liable to amplify (+) or to reduce (?C) the level of shaking in comparison with the nearby settlements. Relief and soil conditions cannot always account for the anomalous sites. Further, there are sites where both (+) and (?C) effects are observed depending on the earthquake. The opposite effects can be generated by events from the same seismotectonic zone and along the same direction to the site. Anomalous sites may group themselves into clusters of different scales. All isolated anomalous patterns presented in this paper can be used in hazard analysis, in particular, for the modeling and testing of seismic effects.     

Shape of Empirical and Synthetic Isoseismals: Comparison for Italian <Emphasis Type="Italic">M</Emphasis> ≤ 6 Earthquakes

We present results from a comparative analysis of empirical and synthetic shapes for isoseismals of low intensity (I = IV–VI on the MCS scale) for six Italian earthquakes of ML = 4.5–6. Our modeling of isoseismals is based on a plane-stratified earth model and on the double–couple point source approximation to calculate seismograms in the frequency range f 1 Hz. With a minimum of parameter variation we demonstrate that the low intensity isoseismals provide information on source geometry. We strive to avoid subjectivity in isoseismal constructions by using the new Diffuse Boundary method, which visualizes isoseismals with their uncertainty. Similar results in this direction are known for large earthquakes (M_L 6 or greater) with extended sources and for the higher isoseismals (I VI on the MM scale). The latter studies disregard the earth structure, use a greater number of parameters, and therefore have greater possibilities for fitting the data than our approach.     

Three Decades of Seismic Activity at Mt. Vesuvius: 1972–2000

We analyse the seismic catalogue of the local earthquakes which occurred at Somma-Vesuvius volcano in the past three decades (1972–2000). The seismicity in this period can be described as composed of a background level, characterised by a low and rather uniform rate of energy release and by sporadic periods of increased seismic activity. Such relatively intense seismicity periods are characterised by energy rates and magnitudes progressively increasing in the critical periods. The analysis of the b value in the whole period evidences a well-defined pattern, with values of b progressively decreasing, from about 1.8 at the beginning of the considered period, to about 1.0 at present. This steady variation indicates an increasing dynamics in the volcanic system. Within this general trend it is possible to identify a substructure in the time sequence of the seismic events, formed by the alternating episodes of quiescence and activity. The analysis of the source moment tensor of the largest earthquakes shows that the processes at the seismic source are generally not consistent with simple double-couples, but that they are compatible with isotropic components, mostly indicating volumetric expansion. These components are shown to be statistically significant for most of the analysed events. Such focal mechanisms can be interpreted as the effect of explosion phenomena, possibly related to volatile exsolution from the crystallising magma. The availability of a reduced amount of high quality data necessary for the inversion of the source moment tensor, the still limited period of systematic observation of Vesuvius micro-earthquakes and, above all, the absence of eruptive events during such interval of time, cannot obviously permit the outlining of any formal premonitory signal. Nevertheless, the analysis reported in this paper indicates a progressively evolving dynamics, characterised by a generally increasing trend in the seismic activity in the volcanic system and by a significant volumetric component of recent major events, thus posing serious concern for a future evolution towards eruptive activity.     

Modeling of the thermal structure of continental lithosphere

The thermal structure of continental lithosphere (the temperature, heat flows, and heat generation in the crust and lithosphere) is reconstructed from geothermal, seismic, and petrologic data. The first step is the determination of the temperature profile from absolute P and S wave velocities (T _{P, S} ). The T _{P, S} profile is then adjusted to a thermophysical model of conductive transfer. In addition, the surface heat flow and the T _{P, S} profile are used to determine heat generation, thicknesses of crustal layers, and heat flow components in the crust and lithosphere. A feature inherent in the solution of the thermophysical inverse problem obtained in this paper is the use of constraints derived from the temperature reconstruction by seismic data inversion. As a result, the analytical dependence of the temperature on depth, the intensity of radiogenic heat sources in the crust, and heat flow components in the crust and lithosphere are determined.     

Models of the Internal Structure of Callisto

Models of the internal structure of Callisto were constructed and the extent of its differentiation was determined based on geophysical information from the Galileo spacecraft (the mass, the radius, the mean density, and the moment of inertia), geochemical data (the chemical composition of meteorites), and the equations of state of water, ices, and meteoritic material. The thickness and the phase state of the water-ice shell were defined as well as the ice concentrations in the rock-ice mantle and the bulk concentration of H₂O. The constraints on the density distribution in the mantle and the size of the rock-iron core were derived. We considered models of the internal structure of Callisto in which the presence of a continuous ice shell was assumed (models without ocean) and models with an internal ocean. We demonstrated that it is possible to apply three-layer models with an icy shell up to 320 km in thickness and a rock-iron core in different combinations with a rock-ice mantle. These models do not reject a two-layer structure of Callisto (an ice lithosphere plus a rock-ice mantle or a rock-ice mantle plus a rock-iron core) and a one-layer model of the satellite composed only of a rock-ice mantle with an ice concentration that is variable in depth. Taking into account the chemically bound water, the bulk content of H₂O in the satellite is found to be 49–55 wt %. For the model with an internal ocean, the geophysically allowed thickness of the water-ice shell of Callisto was estimated to be 270–315 km with thicknesses of the icy crust and the underlying water layer of 135–150 and 120–180 km, respectively. The results of reconstruction of the composition and structure of the regular satellites of Jupiter allow us to conclude that they were possibly formed from material whose composition was close to ordinary L/LL chondrites at relatively low temperatures, lower than the temperature of evaporation of iron and Fe-Mg silicates.__________Translated from Astronomicheskii Vestnik, Vol. 39, No. 4, 2005, pp. 321–341.Original Russian Text Copyright © 2005 by Kuskov, Kronrod.     

Matching of Models of the Internal Structure and Thermal Regime of Partially Differentiated Titan with Gravity Field

Solar System Research - The problem of matching models of the internal structure of partially differentiated Titan with experimentally measured values of Love number k2 (Iess et al., 2012; Durante...     

Geochemical Constraints on the Cold and Hot Models of the Moon’s Interior: 1–Bulk Composition

The variations of the bulk composition of the silicate Moon (crust + mantle = Bulk Silicate Moon, BSM) depending on the thermal state are explored based on the joint inversion of gravitational, seismic, and petrologic data within the Na₂O–TiO₂–CaO–FeO–MgO–Al₂O₃–SiO₂ system. The mantle bulk temperature T_mean determining the mineral composition and physical properties of the Moon is adopted as the integral characteristic of thermal state. By parameter T_mean, all thermal models of the Moon can be conventionally broken down into the “cold” with T_mean ~ 690–860°C and the “hot” with T_mean ~ 925–1075°C. The estimations of refractory oxide abundance in lunar rocks depending on the thermal state are included in two different groups. Cold models of BSM are comparable by the bulk content of Al₂O₃ ~ 3.0–4.6 wt % to those for the silicate Earth (Bulk Silicate Earth, BSE), while hot models of BSM are significantly enriched with Al₂O₃ ~ 5.1–7.3 wt % (Al₂O₃ ~ 1.2–1.7 × BSE) as compared with BSE. On the contrary, independent of the temperature distribution, both types of BSM models are characterized by nearly constant values of bulk concentrations of FeO ~ 12–13 wt % and magnesian number MG# 80–81.5 (MG# = [MgO/(MgO + FeO) × 100]), which differ markedly from those for BSE (FeO ~ 8% and MG# 89). It means that for all possible temperature distributions, the silicate fraction of the Moon is FeO-enriched and MgO-depleted in relation to BSE. These arguments discard the possibility of the Moon’s formation out of the material of the Earth’s primitive mantle. In spite of the almost complete coincidence of the isotopic systems, this apparently undeniable fact has no adequate explanation in the existing canonical models of the Moon’s origin and should result in additional constraints on the dynamic processes in models of the formation of the Earth–Moon system. However, the problem of the similarity of and/or difference between compositions of the Moon and the Earth regarding the abundance of refractory elements, which is very important for the geochemistry of the Moon and the Earth’s mantle, remains unresolved and requires further study.