Evaluation of radar and automatic weather station data assimilation for a heavy rainfall event in southern China

To improve the accuracy of short-term(0–12 h) forecasts of severe weather in southern China, a real-time storm-scale forecasting system, the Hourly Assimilation and Prediction System(HAPS), has been implemented in Shenzhen, China. The forecasting system is characterized by combining the Advanced Research Weather Research and Forecasting(WRF-ARW)model and the Advanced Regional Prediction System(ARPS) three-dimensional variational data assimilation(3DVAR) package. It is capable of assimilating radar reflectivity and radial velocity data from multiple Doppler radars as well as surface automatic weather station(AWS) data. Experiments are designed to evaluate the impacts of data assimilation on quantitative precipitation forecasting(QPF) by studying a heavy rainfall event in southern China. The forecasts from these experiments are verified against radar, surface, and precipitation observations. Comparison of echo structure and accumulated precipitation suggests that radar data assimilation is useful in improving the short-term forecast by capturing the location and orientation of the band of accumulated rainfall. The assimilation of radar data improves the short-term precipitation forecast skill by up to9 hours by producing more convection. The slight but generally positive impact that surface AWS data has on the forecast of near-surface variables can last up to 6–9 hours. The assimilation of AWS observations alone has some benefit for improving the Fractions Skill Score(FSS) and bias scores; when radar data are assimilated, the additional AWS data may increase the degree of rainfall overprediction.     

Exploring the dynamics of the disaggregated intercity corporate network in the Yangtze River Delta,China: a relational event approach

Journal of Geographical Systems - There has been a proliferation of studies trying to explain the driving forces behind the formation and evolution of intercity corporate networks. Previous...     

Spatial optimization of rural settlement relocation by incorporating inter‐village social connections under future policy scenarios

Social connections between villages can represent farmers’ interests and thus benefit participatory rural relocation planning. With rural development, however, these connections will change and may weaken the adaptation of relocation plans to future rural systems. As yet, most studies still use empirical social connections to guide relocation planning, while a few have incorporated predicted connections in the context of rural development into relocation decisions. Meanwhile, spatial optimization approaches have seldom been adopted to solve this geographical decision issue. Accordingly, our study proposes a novel spatial relocation framework that incorporates changed inter‐village social connections under future rural development scenarios. Empirical inter‐village connections and their policy‐induced changes in central China were explored using social network analysis. An integration of particle swarm optimization and geographic information systems was adopted to identify the relocation solutions with maximum inter‐village connections and maximum spatial land use compactness, and to examine how connection changes under different policy scenarios influenced relocation outcomes. The results demonstrate the significance of incorporating policy‐induced social connections into relocation plans, and most importantly, show the negative relations between changed social connections and the migration distance/direction of relocated settlements. Our study is expected to improve the adaptation of relocation plans to future rural development.     

香港地区活动断裂的初步探讨

香港地区的断裂构造颇为发育,主要有北东、北东东和北西向三组断裂。在现今构造应力场作用之下,北东东和北西向断裂组成共轭断裂系统。由于本地区地震活动水平不高,尚难确定哪组断裂与地震活动密切相关。断层泥的热释光资料表明,断裂的最新活动应在晚更新世,断裂的复发周期应在１０万年左右。目前尚不能肯定哪条断裂为活动断裂。     

Early-fusion based pulsar identification with smart under-sampling

The discovery of pulsars is of great significance in the field of physics and astronomy.As the astronomical equipment produces a large number of pulsar data,an ...     

中国对虾染色体制备及染色体形态的研究

以中国对虾原肠期胚胎为材料，采用整体低渗法和管渗法均制备了染色体。通过比较发现，管渗法制备的染色体比整体低渗法的形态好。本文对制备中国对虾染色体技术方面的问题进行了探讨。通过作者的观察，了解到中国对虾染色体徐正常特征外，还存在较特别的形态特征，如主缢痕增强，次缢痕变化，同源配对等。并对产生这些形态特征的原因进行了解释。     

电磁感应研究的进展与展望

最近几年国内外电磁感应研究在以下几方面取得迅速发展:国际和区域合作大尺度电磁感应研究;海洋电磁测深;能源、资源勘探和环境监测等应用研究;理论分析和实验研究;数据采集系统.     

格运算的扩张定理与落影函数定理

讨论了格上可测结构的封闭性以及此结构上落影函数的有关问题。指出并证明了逐次扩张与同时扩张的充要条件 ,以及落影函数与模糊集的关系     

原始数据误差对放样点精度影响的探讨

本文在文献[3]的基础上,进一步探讨了工程测量中原始数据误差对放样点精度影响的问题。首先,讨论了施工控制网中原始数据误差存在的形式、特点以及它们对放样点精度影响的传播规律,并建立了关于相对放样点位精度的矩阵公式。在此基础上,对现有的几种常用放样方法中原始数据误差的影响进行了分析和计算。结果表明,在施工放样测量工作中,应该密切注视原始数据误差的影响,并对此问题提出一些合理的建议。