Emission metrics under the 2 °C climate stabilization target

In multi-gas climate policies such as the Kyoto Protocol one has to decide how to compare the emissions of different greenhouse gases. The choice of metric could have significant implications for mitigation priorities considered under the prospective negotiations for climate mitigation agreements. Several metrics have been proposed for this task with the Global Warming Potential (GWP) being the most common. However, these metrics have not been systematically compared to each other in the context of the 2 °C climate stabilization target. Based on a single unified modeling framework, we demonstrate that metric values span a wide range, depending on the metric structure and the treatment of the time dimension. Our finding confirms the basic salient point that metrics designed to represent different aspects of the climate and socio-economic system behave differently. Our result also reflects a complex interface between science and policy surrounding metrics. Thus, it is important to select or design a metric suitable for climate stabilization based on an interaction among practitioners, policymakers, and scientists.     

Estimation of groundwater recharge in sandy till with two different methods using groundwater level fluctuations

Two methods for estimation of groundwater recharge, both based on groundwater level fluctuations, were applied in a moraine area in southeastern Sweden. The first method utilized a onedimensional soil water model which was tested against observed groundwater levels. The boundary conditions were defined by using standard meteorological data and submodels for precipitation, snow dynamics, interception, evapotranspiration and horizontal groundwater outflow. The second method directly transformed groundwater level fluctuations to equivalent amounts of water from a constructed recession curve and the specific yield concept. Conceptually the two methods could be characterized as inflow and response methods respectively.

A good fit between observed and simulated groundwater levels was obtained by the soil water modelling. The results were, however, shown to be rather insensitive to displacement in the water balance between evapotranspiration and groundwater outflow, giving a good fit for a simulated net groundwater recharge ranging between 134 and 197 mm. The results from the attempts to use groundwater level fluctuations directly were discouraging. Compared to the soil water simulations the results were unstable and quite different for different years. It was impossible to use a constant specific yield or even different specific yields depending on depth.

The conclusion was that the possibilities to use groundwater level data for quantitative water balance studies are limited under the studied climatical and hydrogeological conditions. The modelling effort clearly demonstrated the need for a better quantitative knowledge on soil properties if water balance information is to be deduced. The soil water model though, could be a valuable tool studying variations within and between different years as well as processes and single events.     

An assessment of estimates of integrated water vapor from ground-based GPS data

Summary A network of ground-based Global Positioning System (GPS) receivers is used to continuously obtain information on variations in the integrated water vapor (IWV) in the atmosphere. We use GPS data from 1996–1998 to compare the IWV estimates with radiosonde data. The spatial correlation of estimation errors is important when the GPS results are to be used in assimilation models. We study and model this effect by comparing the horizontal correlations of the IWV time series derived from the radiosonde network and the GPS data analysis. Under ideal conditions this method separates the IWV features from the underlying correlation function for the estimation errors in the GPS data. A sparse radiosonde network limits the quality of the obtained results. We foresee continued studies including more data and simulations of the errors associated with the GPS technique. Received November 21, 2000 Revised April 2, 2001     

Community structure in boreal lakes with recurring blooms of the nuisance flagellate Gonyostomum semen

Blooms of the nontoxic raphidophyte Gonyostomum semen have shown a recent increase in frequency and distribution in the Fennoscandian region. Due to large cell size and several grazer-avoidance strategies, G. semen is hypothesized to be inedible for most zooplankton species and therefore may constitute a bottleneck for the transfer of energy and nutrients in pelagic food webs. Repression of other phytoplankton through increased competition and induced mortality could further exacerbate this effect. In a field study of four lakes with recurring blooms of G. semen and four lakes without blooms, we found significant differences in community structure between the two lake groups during the bloom period. Bloom-lakes had lower biovolumes of small chrysophytes and chlorophytes and zooplankton assemblages were predominated by small, potentially bacterivorous cladocerans, suggesting a limited availability of edible phytoplankton and an increased importance of microbial pathways during G. semen blooms. Low biovolumes of large cladocerans in bloom-lakes may be due to interference of G. semen with filter feeding. Moreover, high abundances of the phantom midge Chaoborus flavicans in bloom-lakes suggest that the flow of energy and nutrients is directed more towards this invertebrate predator than fish. This could have negative impacts on fish populations, especially if bloom periods are prolonged.     

Shock Wave Interactions in Rock Blasting: the Use of Short Delays to Improve Fragmentation in Model-Scale

A series of detailed small-scale tests have been made to investigate the use of short delays to promote better fragmentation caused by shock wave interactions. The block design had a size of 650/660 × 205 × 300 mm (L × W × H) and two rows with five Ø 10-mm blastholes in each row. The spacing (S) and burden (B) were 110 and 70 mm, respectively, giving an S/B ratio of 1.6. The results showed no distinct differences or high improvements of the fragmentation when the delays were in the time range of interactions compared with no shock wave interactions. The decrease of x ₅₀ (mean size) was around 20 % at a delay time ~1.1 ms/m burden compared with longer delays like 2 ms/m. A statistical analysis of the results has been made to evaluate the minimum at short delays and it is not significant.     

Design Methodology for Grout Curtains Under Dams Founded on Rock

Geotechnical and Geological Engineering - Grout curtains are commonly constructed under dams to reduce the seepage through the rock foundation. In the design of grout curtains, empirical methods...     

On the cratonization of the Arabian-Nubian Shield:Constraints from gneissic granitoids in south Eastern Desert,Egypt

The Shaitian granite complex(SGC) spans more than 80 Ma of crustal growth in the Arabian–Nubian Shield in southeast Egypt.It is a voluminous composite intrusion(60 km~2) comprising a host tonalite massif intruded by subordinate dyke-like masses of trondhjemite,granodiorite and monzogranite.The host tonalite,in turn,encloses several,fine-grained amphibolite enclaves.U-Pb zircon dating indicates a wide range of crystallization ages within the SGC(800 ± 18 Ma for tonalites;754 ± 3.9 Ma for trondhjemite;738 ± 3.8 Ma for granodiorite;and 717 ± 3.2 Ma for monzogranite),suggesting crystallization of independent magma pulses.The high positiveεNdi(+6–+8) indicate that the melting sources were dominated by juvenile material without any significant input from older crust.Application of zircon saturation geothermometry indicates increasing temperatures during the generation of melts from 745 ± 31 ℃ for tonalite to 810 ± 25 ℃ for trondhjemite;840 ± 10 ℃ for granodiorite;and 868 ± 10 ℃ for monzogranite.The pressure of partial melting is loosely constrained to be below the stability of residual garnet(10 kbar) as inferred from the almost flat HREE pattern((Gd/Lu)N= 0.9–1.1),but 3 kbar for the stability of residual amphibole as inferred from the significantly lower NbNand TaNcompared with LREENand the sub-chondrite Nb/Ta ratios exhibited by the granitic phases.The inverse relation between the generation temperatures and the ages estimates of the granitoid lithologies argue against a significant role of fractional crystallization.The major and trace element contents indicate the emplacement of the SGC within a subduction zone setting.It lacks distinctive features for melt derived from a subducted slab(e.g.high Sr/Y and high(La/Yb)Nratios),and the relatively low MgO and Ni contents in all granite phases within the SGC suggest melting within the lower crust of an island arc overlying a mantle wedge.Comparison with melts produced during melting experiments indicates an amphibolite of basaltic composition is the best candidate as source for the tonalite,trondhjemite and granodiorite magmas whereas the monzogranite magma is most consistent with fusion of a tonalite protolith.Given the overlapping Sm-Nd isotope ratios as well as several trace element ratios between monzogranite and tonalite samples,it is reasonable to suggest that the renewed basaltic underplating may have caused partial melting of tonalite and the emplacement of monzogranite melt within the SGC.The emplacement of potassic granite(monzogranite) melts subsequent to the emplacement of Na-rich granites(tonalitetrondhjemite-granodiorite) most likely suggests major crustal thickening prior arc collision and amalgamation into the over thickened proto-crust of the Arabian-Nubian shield.Eventually,after complete consolidation,the whole SGC was subjected to regional deformation,most probably during accretion to the Saharan Metacraton(arc–continent collisions) in the late Cryogenian-Ediacaran times(650–542 Ma).     

Double-layer structure in the boundary layer over the baltic sea

Double-layered structures found over the Baltic Sea are investigated using radiosoundings and lidar measurements. Situations with double-layer structures are also simulated with the regional model REMO in a realistic manner. The double layer consists of two adjacent well-mixed layers, with a sharp inversion in between.Results from radiosoundings show that the double-layer structure over the Baltic Sea mainly occurs during the autumn with thermally unstable stratification near the surface. The structure is present in about 50 % of the radiosoundings performed during autumn. The presence of the double-layer structure cannot be related to any specific wind direction, wind speed or sea surface temperature.The lidar measurements give a more continuous picture of the time evolution of the double-layer structure, and show that the top of the lower layer is not a rigid lid for vertical transport. Two possible explanations of the double-layer structure are given, (i) the structure is caused by `advection' of land boundary-layer air over the convective marine boundary layer or, (ii) by development of Sc clouds in weak frontal zones connected to low pressure systems. Also the forming of Cu clouds is found to be important for the development of a double-layer structure.