用地震危险性分析方法预测山东地区震害

依据地震危险性分析的思路，提出一种场地震害预测的方法。依此方法，给出山东地区５０ａ超越概率为１０％的震害预测略图     

Source time functions of the Gonghe,China earthquake retrieved from long-period digital waveform data using empirical Green’s function technique

An earthquake ofM _S=6.9 occurred at the Gonghe, Qinghai Province, China on April 26, 1990. Three larger aftershocks took place at the same region,M _S=5.5 on May 7, 1990,M _S=6.0 on Jan. 3, 1994 andM _S=5.7 on Feb. 16, 1994. The long-period recordings of the main shock from China Digital Seismograph Network (CD-SN) are deconvolved for the source time functions by the correspondent recordings of the three aftershocks as empirical Green’s functions (EGFs). No matter which aftershock is taken as EGF, the relative source time functions (RSTFs) obtained are nearly identical. The RSTFs suggest theM _S=6.9 event consists of at least two subevents with approximately equal size whose occurrence times are about 30 s apart, the first one has a duration of 12 s and a rise time of about 5 s, and the second one has a duration of 17 s and a rise time of about 8 s. Comparing the RSTFs obtained from P- and SH-phases respectively, we notice that those from SH-phases are a slightly more complex than those from P-phases, implying other finer subevents exist during the process of the main shock. It is interesting that the results from the EGF deconvolution of long-period wavform data are in good agreement with the results from the moment tensor inversion and from the EGF deconvolution of broadband waveform data. Additionally, the two larger aftershocks are deconvolved for their RSTFs. The deconvolution results show that the processes of theM _S=6.0 event on Jan. 3, 1994 and theM _S=5.7 event on Feb. 16, 1994 are quite simple, both RSTFs are single impulses. The RSTFs of theM _S=6.9 main shock obtained from different stations are noticed to be azimuthally dependent, whose shapes are a slightly different with different stations. However, the RSTFs of the two smaller aftershocks are not azimuthally dependent. The integrations of RSTFs over the processes are quite close to each other, i. e., the scalar seismic moments estimated from different stations are in good agreement. Finally the scalar seismic moments of the three aftershocks are compared. The relative scalar seismic moment of the three aftershocks deduced from the relative scalar seismic moments of theM _S=6.9 main shock are very close to those inverted directly from the EGF deconvolution. The relative scalar seismic moment of theM _S=6.9 main shock calculated using the three aftershocks as EGF are 22 (theM _S=6.0 aftershock being EGF), 26 (theM _S=5.7 aftershock being EGF) and 66 (theM _S=5.5 aftershock being EGF), respectively. Deducing from those results, the relative scalar sesimic moments of theM _S=6.0 to theM _S=5.7 events, theM _S=6.0 to theM _S=5.5 events and theM _S=5.7 to theM _S=5.5 events are 1.18, 3.00 and 2.54, respectively. The correspondent relative scalar seismic moments calculated directly from the waveform recordings are 1.15, 3.43, and 3.05.     

论地震科技信息的综合价值及发展战略

随着地震科学技术的发展，地震科技信息作为学科窗口而越来越引起人们的重视。该文在阐述地震科技信息重要性的同时，又从本学科的基础、社会的需要、领导层的决策、多学科的利用及后效作用等方面，重点探讨了地震科技信息的综合价值，提出了发展地震科技信息工作的基本思路和地震科技信息逐步社会化的远景。     

新疆头屯河流域水沙特性与减沙治理

本文通过对头屯河流域山区各水文实测水文，泥沙资料的分析比较，揭示了头屯河水沙运移规律，指出了头屯河上游产水，中游产沙，水沙异源的特点，进而地实才考察测量的基础上，结合流域自然特点，提出了工程，生物措施相结合的减沙治理方案和在流域不同地段的具本治理措施。     

论滑坡学

滑坡学可分为理论滑坡学和应用滑坡学．前者的分支有：滑坡发生学、滑坡运动学、滑坡组构学、滑坡形态学、滑坡断代－周期学、滑坡分类学、滑坡分布学、滑坡制图学、滑坡编目学和滑坡数据库系统等．应用滑坡学含滑坡研究方法论、技术手段和滑坡防御工程等．     

浙江山区珍稀濒危植物的分布特征与保护

浙江山区的珍稀濒危植物较为丰富，有６７科、１０８属、１２５种．论述了当地珍稀濒危植物的特点、地理分布、属和种的地理成分，探讨了珍稀濒危植物的就地保护、迁地保护和离体保存．     

递增变质作用过程中化学元素的演化规律———以山西五台群变质同位地层为例

山西五台群文溪组和柏枝岩组岩石学特征和岩石化学、微量元素及稀土元素特征研究表明，这两个组中相应层位地球化学特征基本一致。递增变质作用使岩石贫Ｎａ２Ｏ、Ｋ２Ｏ及大离子亲石元素和相对富集ＦｅＯ、ＭｇＯ及铁族元素。由于变质作用仅使稀土元素总量发生微小变化，而不改变其总体分布型式，所以稀土元素是指示岩石形成与演化的良好指示剂     

THE IMPACT OF NOAA SATELLITE SOUNDING DATA ON THE SYSTEMATIC FORECAST ERROR OF B-MODEL

This paper is to examine the impact of satellite data on the systematic error of operational B-model in China.Em-phasis is put on the study of the impact of satellite sounding data on forecasts of the sea level pressure field and 500 hPaheight.The major findings are as follows.(1)The B-model usually underforecasts the strength of features in the sea level pressure(SLP)field,i.e.pressuresare too low near high pressure systems and too high near low pressure systems.(2)The nature of the systematic errors found in the 500 hPa height forecasts is not as clear cut as that of the SLPforecasts,but most often the same type of pattern is seen,i.e.,the heights in troughs are not low enough and those inridges are not high enough.(3)The use of satellite data in the B-model analysis/forecast system is found to have an impact upon the model'sforecast of SLP and 500 hPa height.Systematic errors in the vicinity of surface lows/500 hPa troughs over the oceansare usually found to be significantly reduced.A less conclusive mix of positive and negative impacts was found for allother types of features.     

中国东南沿海地震带大震重复性和大震减震作用

本文从物质分异的角度出发并利用现代小震活动资料,讨论了东南沿海地震带历史大震震源区及其附近,今后一段历史时期内是否有大震(M≥0)震源区大震重复性和大震减震作用问题。结果表明,这些历史震源区目前还处在减震阶段,今后一段时间只能以小震或中强地震的活动特点来显示这一弱化区。