2011年宁夏川区一次高温天气分析

文章利用Micaps资料及数值预报产品,对2011年6月15日宁夏川区高温天气进行了分析,结果表明:此次高温天气主要影响系统是河西一带产生暖性高压东移形成河套高压。从低层到高层盛行暖平流是高温出现的直接因素,气流的上升下沉加快了暖流扩散。     

The influence of freezing drizzle on wire icing during freezing fog events

Both direct and indirect effects of freezing drizzle on ice accretion were analyzed for ten freezing drizzle events during a comprehensive ice thickness, fog, and precipitation observation campaign carried out during the winter of 2008 and 2009 at Enshi Radar Station (3017'N, 10916'E), Hubei Province, China. The growth rate of ice thickness was 0.85 mm h－1 during the freezing drizzle period, while the rate was only 0.4 mm h－1 without sleet and freezing drizzle. The rain intensity, liquid water content (LWC), and diameter of freezing drizzle stayed at low values. The development of microphysical properties of fog was suppressed in the freezing drizzle period. A threshold diameter (Dc) was proposed to estimate the inuence of freezing drizzle on different size ranges of fog droplets. Fog droplets with a diameter less thanDc would be affected slightly by freezing drizzle, while larger fog droplets would be affected signicantly. Dc had a correlation with the average rain intensity, with a correlation coefficient of 0.78. The relationships among the microphysical properties of fog droplets were all positive when the effect of freezing drizzle was weak, while they became poor positive correlations, or even negative correlations during freezing drizzle period. The direct contribution of freezing drizzle to ice thickness was about 14.5%. Considering both the direct and indirect effects, we suggest that freezing drizzle could act as a catalyst causing serious icing conditions.     

黄金新药源与豫西含金植物

黄金可以入药，历代本草均有记载。但因不溶性金被人体吸收极微，内服有一定毒性，加之其价格昂贵及一些药理学和比较复杂的检测处理与技术加工问题，不能普遍应用。自然界许多动植物都是聚金能手，特别是生长于富金岩石及金矿床风化土壤中的植物含金一般较高，部分动物因以含金植物为食，体内也含一定量的金，并且有些动植物本身就是中药材和食物。据此建议采取一定手段将含金较高、但未达工业品级的岩石，通过生物循环把金聚集至动、植物体内，金与动植物体内蛋白质等有机质结合成金的有机络合物，将此类动植物用于医疗或食疗，既可减小金的毒性，便于人体吸收，又可把未达工业品级的含金岩石利用起来。豫西某构造蚀变岩金矿，其上覆土壤中生长着含金植物，这些植物灰分中含金４×１０－９～９８×１０－９，其中以野苋菜的籽和叶灰分中含金最高（含金７５×１０－９～９８×１０－９），看来在本区用野苋菜籽和叶灰分中金含量进行找矿是可行的     

Estimating nutrient budgets in tropical estuaries subject to episodic flows

Most Australian estuaries are subject to riverine discharge regimes that are highly episodic. This characteristic poses difficulties for estimating nutrient budgets of such systems based on sampling regimes that do not resolve the discharge variation and the changes in nutrient distributions that they cause. This paper presents a method for calculating nutrient budgets in estuaries having episodic hydrology. The method utilises a simple hydrodynamic transport model that is calibrated using measured salinities and which is used to describe the transport properties of the estuary as they respond to river discharge. Using this transport model, the temporal variation in nutrient concentrations within the estuary can be resolved between sampling surveys even when the discharge events are of short duration. An inverse method is then applied to calculate internal fluxes of nutrients from measurements obtained on successive sampling surveys. The approach is demonstrated through an application to the Fitzroy Estuary in Queensland, Australia.     

Geochemistry of the ophiolite and oceanic island basalt in the Kangxian-Pipasi-Nanping tectonic mélange zone,South Qinling and their tectonic significance

Detailed studies indicate that Kangxian-Pipasi-Nanping tectonic zone is a complicated mélange zone which includes many tectonic slabs of different origins. Ophiolite (MORB-type basalt), oceanic island tholeiite and alkaline basalt have been identified. Moreover, this tectonic mélange zone is eastward connected with the Mianlüe suture zone. The deformation characteristics, consisting components and volcanic rock geochemical features for the Kangxian-Pipasi-Nanping tectonic mélange zone are much similar to those of the Mianlüe suture zone and Deerni ophiolite. Therefore, the Kangxian-Pipasi-Nanping tectonic mélange zone should be the westward extension part of the Mianlüe suture zone. It indicates that the Mianlüe suture zone had extended to the Nanping area.     

近40年内蒙古候降水变化趋势

基于1964—2003年内蒙古44个站日降水量数据,进行了前20年 (1964—1983年)、后20年 (1984—2003年) 候降水变化的聚类分析,得到了最佳聚类数和各聚类的台站组成及其空间分布情况,对前20年和后20年候降水中值的变化情况、候最大降水量出现时间、各聚类的整体特征等进行了分析,并进行了候 (5 d) 和11 d降水中值极图的对比。结果表明:内蒙古不同地区的候降水变化格局存在经向地带性,但站点海拔的差异使这种地带性有所模糊;前、后两个20年候降水的变化格局较为复杂,大多数站点在一些候降水有显著变化,既有降水显著增加的候,也有降水显著减少的候;候最大降水出现的时间和量值有一定变化。     

基于模糊支持向量机分类的土地利用时空演变研究

利用1995年、2003年和2008年3个时期徐州市丰县TM/ETM+遥感数据,采用模糊支持向量机方法进行土地利用分类,运用ArcGIS和Matlab编程,分析丰县1995—2008年间的土地利用时空格局演变规律和特点。研究表明,丰县建设用地不断扩展,耕地面积继续减少,林地持续增加,同时,丰县在环境保护方面加大了投入力度,土地利用结构和方式正趋向合理化。     

基于BP神经网络的地质灾害细网格预报模型

地质灾害成因复杂,其中以气象因素、地质地貌因素引发的地质灾害最为常见.以金华地区为例,通过对金华市地质地貌条件及其对地质灾害点的调查,将全区划分为4个地质灾害隐患风险等级的网格区域.在此基础上利用金华中尺度气象资料,采用BP神经网络模型,建立地质灾害细网格预报模型,对该模型进行模拟和预报试验.结果表明,合理的隐患风险等级分区能使预报模型更符合科学规律,而采用分布较细的中尺度资料作为预报因子能进一步提高预报精度.模型的预报结果达到一定的可信度,为防灾减灾工作提供了科学依据.     

基于欧洲中心细网格预报资料和观测资料的浙江省春夏降水性质分类指标

利用浙江省2004~2013年3~8月Micaps（气象信息综合分析处理系统）地面填图数据和T-logP数据研究杭州、衢州和台州三市的阵雨和雷雨个例,同时选取能表征雷雨并能区分阵雨与雷雨的气象预报因子:对流有效位能、850 hPa与500 hPa的温差、K指数、地面2 m温度,用临近探空的分析方法和决策树的分类方法初步建立了一个适用于浙江省春夏季降水性质分类指标。利用欧洲中心（ECMWF）细网格预报资料,对历史样本和2016年春、夏季分别作了检验。结果表明:除去有降水预报误差个例后,指标TS（Threat Score）评分超过0.53,雷雨阵雨综合命中率达到71%,空报率阵雨（10%）小于雷雨（43%）,在不同地区和季节稍有区别;同时对浙江省2016年春夏两次典型大范围阵雨雷雨过程进行预报,效果很好。此方法不仅可以依据预报数据在短期内做出精细化降水性质分类预报,在中长期预报上也有表现力。     

华北回流天气多普勒雷达径向速度分布特征

使用多普勒雷达资料对四次华北回流天气过程进行了分析,结果表明:(1)回波具有较大水平范围的、连绵成片的均匀幕状特征.回波顶较平整,回流降雨过程中还存在零度层亮带.属层状云降水回波.(2)速度图上,在零速度线两侧常分布范围较大数值不等的正负径向速度中心,低空零速度线呈"S"型,风随高度顺时针旋转,有暖平流存在.在强降水时段出现前常伴有区域性的冷平流层.(3)风廓线图上,从低层到高层由东北风转为西南风,风向发生了近180度的顺时针旋转,存在强垂直切变.降水开始与结束时分别表现为低层偏东风与中高层西南气流叠加、低层偏东风与中高层西南气流任何一者消失.边界层顶部出现浅薄的冷平流层是降水强度加强的信号.