柳林地区煤层渗透率逐步回归分析与预测

渗透率是制约煤层气商业化开发至关重要的因素之一。以柳林地区煤层气勘探阶段获取的试井有效渗透率为基础,分析渗透率与有效应力、储层压力、煤层埋深等影响因素之间的关系,利用多元逐步回归分析方法建立渗透率预测模型。结果显示：柳林地区煤层渗透率回归方程具有较高的拟合度;多元逐步回归分析方法预测渗透率具有一定合理性;有利于煤层气开发的高渗区位于柳林地区中北部。     

莺歌海盆地与琼东南盆地成藏条件的比较及天然气勘探方向

莺歌海盆地和琼东南盆地常被合称为莺琼盆地，但二者的天然气成藏条件明显不同，莺歌海盆地第三－第四系巨厚，老第三纪崖城组和陵水组强烈过成熟，有效源岩为新第三纪三亚组和梅山组，而琼东南盆地的主要源岩为崖城组和陵水组，上第三系的生烃强度较低；尽管莺歌海盆地和琼东南盆地均为超压盆地，但莺歌海盆地强超压和右旋张扭应力场的共同作用导致超压囊顶部破裂并发育底辟，实现了超压流体包括天然气的垂向集中排放，而琼东南盆地总体上仍为侧向分散流体系统。莺歌海盆地的重要勘探领域是与底辟有关的圈闭，而琼东南盆地的主要勘探领域应为与下第三系源岩具有良好输导通道的上第三系岩性－构造复合圈闭或下第三系构造圈闭。     

中国荒漠类自然保护区保护成效评估指标及其应用

自然保护区的保护成效是近年来一个重要科学问题。中国荒漠类自然保护区面积比例较高,而针对其保护成效问题的研究较少。本文以中国荒漠类自然保护区为研究对象,结合国内外自然保护区保护成效的相关研究,构建了荒漠类自然保护区保护成效评估指标体系,包括5个因素层共计20个评估指标,并在安西极旱荒漠国家级自然保护区进行了示范应用。结果表明:本研究构建的指标体系能够反映荒漠类自然保护区主要保护对象的动态变化,从而为科学客观评估荒漠类自然保护区保护成效、提升管理水平提供重要参考依据。此外,通过示范评估可以看出,安西保护区在物种及珍稀濒危生物保护方面取得了一定成效,但在珍稀濒危及特有物种和生态系统服务功能等方面的科研监测尚有待加强。     

中水设施建设适宜性评价:以北京市为例

水资源的缺乏使越来越多的城市和城区开始使用中水作为额外的经济合理的供水水源,并为此制定相应政策。然而,不适宜的中水利用政策往往对用水户使用再生水产生不利影响。本研究目的在于评价中水设施建设适宜性并分析不同行业的中水利用适宜情况,为制定或修订中水利用政策提供参考。本研究以北京市为研究区,在中水生产成本影响因素分析基础上,得到了中水设施建设限制因素和中水设施建设适宜条件,并对北京市机关、高校、饭店的用水户进行了适宜性评价。本研究结果表明,运行水量对中水生产成本有决定性影响。有效原水量对应的给水量、有效中水需求量、建筑面积适合作为中水设施建设影响因素,它们的下限可作为中水设施建设适宜条件。本研究通过分析北京市部分机关、高校、饭店用水户的用水情况,得到这些行业的中水设施建设适宜条件,并用于适宜性评价。评价结果表明,大部分机关用水户和大部分一、二星级饭店不适宜建设中水设施,而大部分高校和大部分三星级以上饭店适宜建设中水设施。     

Oil geologic anomaly in the north edge of the Middle and Lower Yangtze areas based on the evidence weight method

The study of oil geologic anomalies is a new area of petroleum geology. Using the evidence weight method, we selected tectonic, hydrocarbon abundance of source rock, thickness of source rock, level of reservoir, complexity of reservoir, degree of mineralization of formation water as the evidence layer to evaluate the favorable zones of pool forming in the Lower Paleozoic in the north edge of the Middle and Lower Yangtze areas. Finally, we integrated our results with the petroleum geology of this area and concluded that the North Sichuan basin, the western area of Hubei and the eastern area of Chongqing and parts of the Lower Yangtze are the most profitable areas for exploration in the north edge of the Lower and Middle Yangtze areas. __________ Translated from Journal of Jilin University (Earth Science Edition), 2007, 37(3): 458–462 [译自: 吉林大学学报(地球科学版)]     

Experimental study of wave–wave nonlinear interactions using the wavelet-based bicoherence

The wavelet-based bicoherence, which is a new and powerful tool in the analysis of nonlinear phase coupling, is used to study the nonlinear wave–wave interactions of breaking and non-breaking gravity waves propagating over a sill. Two cases of mechanically generated random waves based on Jonswap spectra are used for this purpose. Values of relative depth, k_ph (k_p is the wave number of the spectral peak and h is the water depth) for this study range between 0.38 and 1.22. The variations of wavelet-based total bicoherence for the test cases indicate that the degree of quadratic phase coupling increases in the shoaling region consistent with a wave profile that is pitched shoreward, relative to a vertical axis as seen in the experiments, but decreases in the de-shoaling region. For the non-breaking case, the degree of quadratic phase coupling continues to increase until waves reach the top of the sill. Breaking waves, however, achieve their highest level of quadratic phase coupling immediately before incipient breaking and the degree of phase coupling decreases sharply following breaking. In addition the wavelet-based bicoherence spectra provide evidence of the harmonics' growth which is reflected in the energy spectra. The bicoherence spectra also show that quadratic phase coupling between modes within the peak frequency as well as between modes of the peak frequency and its higher harmonics are dominant in the shoaling region, even though there are relatively high levels of quadratic phase coupling occurring between other frequencies. Furthermore, using the temporal resolution property of the wavelet-based bicoherence, we find that the quadratic wave interactions occur more readily during segments of time with large change of wave amplitude, rather than those segments having large wave amplitudes, but small gradients in amplitude.     

Vulnerability of water resources and its spatial heterogeneity in Haihe River Basin,China

To manage water resources effectively, a multiscale assessment of the vulnerability of water resources on the basis of political boundaries and watersheds is necessary. This study addressed issues on the vulnerability of water resources and provided a multiscale comparison of spatial heterogeneity under a climate change background. Using improved quantitative evaluation methods of vulnerabil- ity, the Theil index and the Shannon-Weaver index, we evaluated the vulnerability of water resources and its spatial heterogeneity in the Haihe River Basin in four scales, namely, second-class water resource regions （Class II WRRs）, third-class water resource regions （Class III WRRs）, Province-Class II WRRs, and Province-Class III WRRs. Results show that vulnerability enhances from the north to south in the different scales, and shows obvious spatial heterogeneity instead of moving toward convergence in multiscale assessment results. Among the Class II WRRs, the Tuhai-Majia River is the most vulnerable area, and the vulnerability of the Luanhe River is lower than that of the north of the Haihe River Basin, which in turn is lower than that of the south of the Haihe River Basin. In the scales of Class III WRRs and Province-Class III WRRs, the vulnerability shows obvious spatial heterogeneity and diversity measured by the Theil index and the Shannon-Weaver index. Multiscale vulnerability assessment results based on political boundaries and the watersheds of the Haihe River Basin innovatively provided in this paper are important and useful to characterize the real spatial pattern of the vulnerability of water resources and improve water resource management.     

青川Ms6.4级地震加速度记录与衰减关系研究

四川汶川Ms8.0级地震后,甘肃省地震局在甘川交界地区布设了多个强震动流动观测站,2008年5月25日记录到了1次最大余震,震级为Ms6.4。27个强震动台站共获得了81条记录。这次强余震记录到的最近震中距为12 km,最远为485 km,其中最大加速度峰值为367.6 cm/s2,最小加速度峰值为0.8 cm/s2。相比较汶川地震的强震动记录,由于流动观测台站的布设使得本次地震的记录具有更好的线性分布,震中距也更为丰富,因而更利于研究这一地区的地震动衰减关系。利用统计方法获得了加速度峰值随震中距的衰减关系,基本服从幂函数衰减关系。这一结果对甘肃东南部地区震害研究和抗震设防具有重要的应用价值。     

交通量、车速及交通密度关系分析

对于典型的流量-速度-密度交通流三维模型,由不同的速度-密度关系式,建立易于理解和接受,且更偏重于安全可靠的流量-密度和流量-速度关系模型,从而为交通分析和控制管理提供依据。