基于1973年炉霍MS7.6地震震后跨断层变形的地震轮回特征

1 研究背景 地震活动断层不同区段和时段均具有不同的力学特性,主要是表现在活动断层上发生地震的断层段所呈现的震前、同震、震后和震间4个时域范围内的滑动行为.换言之,地震活动断层的滑动行为分为震前、同震、震后和震间4个滑动阶段.通过研究活动断层地震破裂段震前、同震、震后和震间滑动,可深入破解沿活动断层破裂段的应力、应变的积累和释放的时空信息变化(Reilinger et al,1999;Yagi et al,2001;Ozawa et al,2004).     

物质点强度折减法边坡失稳判据选择方法

用物质点强度折减法求解边坡安全系数时,需要选择一定的失稳判据,而采用不同的失稳判据获得的安全系数通常存在一定差异.为此,采用物质点强度折减法对两个边坡算例进行了稳定性分析,对比研究了文献中常用的4种边坡失稳判据(计算不收敛、特征点位移突变、塑性应变贯通及界限值判据)在计算边坡安全系数时的合理性及适用性.同时,将Spen...     

基于Web Services和.NET技术的新一代Web GIS研究与开发

分析了当前主流Web GIS中普遍存在的问题,并基于Web Service和．NET技术。提出了新一代的网络地理信息系统技术框架——面向服务的Web GIS软件平台框架,该框架体现了“服务即是软件,软件即是服务”的全新理念。最后介绍了基于Web Service和．NET技术的新一代Web GIS平台——SuperMap IS．NET的设计与实现。     

煤田火区特征的土地覆盖分类方法 ——以乌达煤田火区为例

土地覆盖变化是土地分析与评价和生态环境变化预测的重要科学基础, 通过精确的土地覆盖分类方法 获取高精度的土地覆盖图是研究煤田火区生态环境变化的必要手段。本文以最大似然法、光谱角度法、面向对象 分类法和基于复合分区的分层分类法进行乌达煤田火区土地覆盖分类的方法研究。研究结果表明, 基于复合分区的 分层分类方法分类精度较高, 总体分类精度为92.97%, kappa 系数为0.9155。该方法通过基于地表热辐射特征、热 异常状况、地貌类型, 以及对生态系统扰动状况等的划分, 减少了地物信息的混淆度, 即通过提     

On the Systematic Errors in the Astrometric Catalogues ACR and CMC13 Based on CCD Drift Scanning Observations

Error analyses are made of ACR (Astrometric Calibration Regions along the celestial equator) and CMC13 (Carlsberg Meridian Catalogue 13), two astrometric catalogues compiled on the basis of CCD drift scanning observations and published respectively before and after 2000. Through a comparison with the UCAC2 (the second U.S. Naval Observatory CCD Astrograph Catalogue), the form and size of the errors are analyzed numerically. The main and possible sources of the errors are analyzed from the standpoint of observing mode and data reduction. It is found that there is evident magnitude difference between the ACR and CMC13 in the equatorial direction, and that there exists periodic variation close to the CCD field of view along the right ascension and also a systematic variation close to the size of reduction zone along the declination.     

Variability Study of the SX Phoenicis Star BL Camelopardalis

New time-series photometric observations of BL Cam in the V band and white light were made during 2005 to 2007 at the Xinglong Station of China. The frequency analysis confirms two closely separated frequencies, 25.181 d-1 and 25.571 d-1, but the frequency of 31-32 d-1 reported in the literature was not detected in the new data. New times of maximum light were determined from both our light curves and those available on Internet, allowing a more comprehensive study of the O - C diagram, together with the times of maximum light in the literature. A new interpretation, including the period increasing before 1988 and decreasing since 1992 of BL Cam and the light-time effect in a binary system, looks plausible.     

Formation of Transient Coronal Holes during the Eruption of a Quiescent Filament and its Overlying Sigmoid

By using Hα, He I 10830, EUV and soft X-ray (SXR) data, we examined a filament eruption that occurred on a quiet-sun region near the center of the solar disk on 2006 January 12, which disturbed a sigmoid overlying the filament channel observed by the GOES-12 SXR Imager (SXI), and led to the eruption of the sigmoid. The event was associated with a partial halo coronal mass ejection (CME) observed by the Large Angle and Spectrometric Coronagraphs (LASCO) on board the Solar and Heliospheric Observatory (SOHO), and resulted in the formation of two flare-like ribbons, post-eruption coronal loops, and two transient coronal holes (TCHs), but there were no significantly recorded GOES or Hα flares corresponding to the eruption. The two TCHs were dominated by opposite magnetic polarities and were located on the two ends of the eruptive sigmoid. They showed similar locations and shapes in He Ⅰ 10830, EUV and SXR observations. During the early eruption phase, brightenings first appeared on the locations of the two subsequent TCHs, which could be clearly identified on He Ⅰ 10830, EUV and SXR images. This eruption could be explained by the magnetic flux rope model, and the two TCHs were likely to be the feet of the flux rope.     

旅游地生命周期曲线模拟的初步研究--Logistic曲线模型方法的应用

旅游地生命周期理论已经提出了很多年,这一理论的研究仍然在发展,尤其是对旅游地生命周期曲线的模拟做过很多有益的尝试。该文运用Logistic曲线对旅游地生命周期的发展阶段进行模拟,并应用Stella Ⅱ语言建立了模型,代入一定的数据进行处理,模拟旅游产品生命周期曲线,对这一曲线的主要影响因素进行了讨论。得出旅游市场预测的非线性规律,并讨论回头客对旅游地持续发展的重要性。     

基于Albedo-NDVI特征空间的玛曲县荒漠化时空动态监测

开展荒漠化时空动态监测是荒漠化防治的一项重要基础工作。以地处青藏高原东北缘的甘肃省玛曲县为例,以该县2001年、2005年、2010年的TM影像和2015年的HJ-1影像为数据来源,利用Albedo-NDVI特征空间法,从整体到局部,分别对该县全区域及其黄河沿岸地区不同尺度区域近15年的土地荒漠化进行了监测和时空动态分析。研究结果表明：Albedo-NDVI特征空间法能便捷、有效、精确地对荒漠化信息进行提取和分级,有利于荒漠化的定量分析与监测;玛曲县近15年来实施的生态恢复工程效果显著,该县荒漠化状况有所改善,荒漠化土地的面积持续减小,程度不断降低,主要发生“轻度荒漠化土地向非荒漠化土地”的转移;但是由于沙源丰富、人口密集以及过度放牧等原因,玛曲县黄河沿岸5 km带状区域荒漠化以“非荒漠化土地向轻度荒漠化土地”转移为主,荒漠化状况较全县整体水平严重,并且仍有不断恶化的趋势。     

Energy transition,CO2 mitigation,and air pollutant emission reduction: scenario analysis from IPAC model

The salinization of freshwater-dependent coastal ecosystems precedes inundation by sea level rise. This type of saltwater intrusion places communities, ecosystems, and infrastructure at substantial risk. Risk perceptions of local residents are an indicator to gauge public support for climate change adaptation planning. Here, we document residential perspectives on the present and future threats posed by saltwater intrusion in a rural, low-lying region in coastal North Carolina, and we compare the spatial distribution of survey responses to physical landscape variables such as distance to coastline, artificial drainage density, elevation, saltwater intrusion vulnerability, and actual salinity measured during a synoptic field survey. We evaluate and discuss the degree of alignment or misalignment between risk perceptions and metrics of exposure to saltwater intrusion. Risk perceptions align well with the physical landscape characteristics, as residents with greater exposure to saltwater intrusion, including those living on low-lying land with high concentrations of artificial drainages, perceive greater risk than people living in low-exposure areas. Uncertainty about threats of saltwater intrusion is greatest among those living at higher elevations, whose properties and communities are less likely to be exposed to high salinity. As rising sea levels, drought, and coastal storms increase the likelihood of saltwater intrusion in coastal regions, integrated assessments of risk perceptions and physical exposure are critical for developing outreach activities and planning adaptation measures.