Farmers＇ vulnerability to flood risk： A case study in the Poyang Lake Region

This paper quantitatively explores farmers＇ vulnerability to flood in the Poyang Lake Region （PLR） with the supports of GIS spatial functions. The analysis consists of three major steps, which is based on the spatial unit of township. Firstly, the spatial extent and characteristics of flood risk areas were determined using a digital elevation model （DEM） derived from the 1：50,000 topographic map. Secondly, for each of the township, six indices indicating the economic activities of local farmers were calculated. These indices are： rural population proportion, cultivated land proportion, GDP per unit area, employment proportion of primary industry, net rural income per capita and agricultural income proportion. These six indices were then normalized and used for later vulnerability assessment. Thirdly, the normalized indices （as GIS data layers） were overlaid with the flood risk areas to produce the risk coefficient for each township and to calculate the overall vulnerability for each township. The analysis results show that in the PLR there are high flood risk areas where the farmers＇ livings are seriously influenced or threatened. About 55.56% of the total 180 townships in the flood risk areas have a high degree of flood vulnerability. The townships under flood risk are mainly distributed in the areas around the Poyang Lake and the areas along the ＂five rivers＂.     

测站降雹和区域降雹气候特征对比分析

应用1960～2001年测站降雹和区域降雹(包括非测站资料)两种资料,对山东省降雹气候特征进行了对比分析,计算分析了山东省两种降雹资料气候图的相似离度。分析结果表明,区域降雹比测站降雹明显偏多,但时间和空间分布趋势基本一致,相似度在86％%以上,应用测站降雹资料制作的气候图具有86％的代表性。     

基于干涉仪原理的甚高频雷电单站预警

针对目前闪电单站探测与预警装置的局限性,设计了一套基于闪电宽带干涉仪原理的甚高频单站雷电预警装置.该装置通过测量雷电(包括云闪与地闪)起始时刻的辐射信号到达竖直天线阵列的相位差,计算得到该信号的仰角,根据仰角估算雷电的距离,进而根据雷电的距离和活动特征进行雷电报警.单站测距误差分析结果表明,单站系统对半径50 km范围内闪电测距误差在25％以内,半径100 km范围内的闪电测距误差在30％以内.雷电单站预警装置对一次雷暴过程进行了观测,观测结果表明,该装置能有效探测半径100 km范围内的闪电活动状况,探测到的闪电频次分布、闪电距离与多站闪电定位结果保持较好一致性,证明其能有效探测周围闪电活动状况,起到提前预警雷暴的作用.     

区域大气环境应急响应数值预报系统

介绍了针对国内有毒气体泄漏等突发性大气中污染物扩散问题建立的区域精细大气环境应急响应数值预报业务系统。该系统基于污染扩散模式HYSPLIT_4,利用中尺度模式WRF为其提供气象场,对污染扩散的路径和浓度以及地面沉降进行计算,系统后端开发了基于GIS的产品制作平台对模式产品进行叠加地理信息的处理。为实现快速应急响应的功能,模式业务系统始终处于热准备状态,并可在接到指令后迅速完成产品制作。文中给出一个大气环境应急响应演习应用实例,显示该模式系统对影响范围较大的有毒气体泄漏事件应急响应工作具备一定的指导意义和应用前景。     

热带印度洋海温与西北地区东部降水关系研究

利用西北地区东部1961 2009年99个气象测站逐月降水量资料,以及Hardley中心逐月海表面温度(SST)资料,采用最大协方差分析(MCA)、相关、回归等统计方法,考虑扣除ENSO(El Ni珘noSouthern Oscillation)影响后,分析了西北地区东部降水量和热带印度洋SST之间年际、年代际变化关系。结果表明:前期冬、春季持续异常的热带印度洋海盆模与西北地区东部5月降水异常主模态存在显著正相关关系,通常超前1~2个季节的暖(冷)海盆模对应5月西北地区东部降水偏多(少),并且这种显著关系存在年代际差异,20世纪70年代中期之前两者关系不显著,之后两者关系加强,通过了0.05显著性水平检验。热带印度洋海盆模对西北地区东部5月降水的影响可能是热带印度洋海盆模"电容器"效应的一种具体体现。     

影响卢氏县的气象灾害防御措施

影响卢氏山区的气象灾害有暴雨、暴雪、寒潮、大风、高温、干旱、雷电、冰雹、大雾、道路积冰等.其中暴雨、冰雹出现频率较高,且危害最大.为防御气象灾害,气象部门应提高灾害性天气预报准确率;政府及有关单位要及时把灾害性天气预报信息通过各种渠道,及时传播至千家万户;加强防灾减灾宣传,提高民众自救能力;建立和完善灾害性天气预警应急预案.     

庐山-彭山地区伸展构造演化及其对矿产形成的制约

庐山-彭山地区原是一个经受印支早期伸展机制下所形成的变质核。它在后期又经受了挤压和伸展的多期构造叠加,致成今日面貌。印支早期所形成的伸展拉覆断层为庐、彭及其相关地区的燕山期矿液活动提供了良好的导矿和储矿空间,对矿产的形成与分布起着重要制约。     

Exfoliation of kaolinite by urea-intercalation precursor and microwave irradiation assistance process

A type of exfoliated kaolinite was produced by urea-intercalation and original microwave irradiation assisted method. The product was investigated by Fourier transformation infrared (FT-IR) spectroscopy, X-ray diffraction (XRD), scanning electronic microscopy (SEM), Brunauer-Emmett-Teller (BET) and laser particle analysis techniques. FT-IR spectra show that NHCO molecule exists in the intercalated kaolinite. XRD analyses indicate that the kaolinite sheet-like structure was disordered after microwave irradiation. The urea decomposition process and explosion effect between the sheet-like structures of kaolinite under microwave irradiation were discussed. The SEM and BET analyses reveal that the end product is exfoliated kaolinite with thin particles and increased surface area. Size and zeta potential analyses show that the particle size distribution is between 250 nm and 550 nm with normal distribution and the particle is negatively charged. In comparison with the conventional grind method, the process adopted appears to be economic and the exfoliated kaolinite end product may display a significantly enhanced performance in industrial applications.     

我国热带亚热带部分地区花岗岩和片麻岩中黑云母风化研究

综合应用Ｘ射线衍射、扫描电镜、透射电镜及偏光显微镜等技术手段研究了我国热带、亚热带部分地区花岗岩和片麻岩中黑云母的风化现象。结果表明，化学风化产物主要有黑云母／蛭石不规则间层矿物、水黑云母、蛭石、０．７ｎｍ埃洛石及铁的氢氧化物（氧化物）等。影响黑云母风化及次生产物形成的主要因素包括黑云母的晶体结构和化学成分、气候、风化壳母岩的矿物成分等。     

2011年度地球物理与空间物理学科项目评审与资助成果

12011年度项目受理与统计分析 1．1项目受理2011年度地球物理与空间物理学科申请项目总计1090项。其中面上项目622项,青年科学基金项目395项,地区科学基金项目16项,国家杰出青年基金项目28项,“华北克拉通破坏”重大研究计划项目8项,联合基金项目2项,“日地空间环境与空间天气”领域重点项目19项。