一种基于二次灰关联分析的数列预测法

数列预测一直是评价决策中最常见而又信于把握的问题之一。本文在总结现有预测方法的基础上，结合前铛预报思想和灰色预测理论，依据数据求同原则，提出了运用二次灰关联分析，建立组合模型的预测方法，该方法易于计算机实现，并已实际应用于油气储量预测研究中。     

Properties of wave velocity for two types of granitoids at high pressure and temperature and their geological meaning

The wave velocity for two types of granitoids was measured using the analytic method of full-wave vibration at high pressure and high temperature. The laws of velocity changes for them differ with the pressure boost and temperature rise, and the velocity change of S-type is more violent than that of I-type. The “softening point” of compressional wave velocity (V μ) is also revealed during the measurement for two types of granitoids imitating the pressure and temperature at a certain depth. But the depth of “softening”, V_p after “softening” and the percentage of V_p’s drop around the “sofrening point” for two types of granitoids are obviously different. The depth of “softening” is 15 km approximately and V_p after “softening” is 5.62 km/s for S-type granitoid. But for I-type granitoid the depth of “softening” is 26 km approximately and V_p after “softening” is 6. 08 km/s. Through careful analysis of rock slices after the experiment, it was found that the “softening” of elastic-wave velocity is caused by the partial melting of granite. Combined with the results of geophysical prospecting, these results suggest that the low-velocity layers developing in the interior of Earth crust are related to thc partial melting of different types of granitoids. The formation of the low-velocity layer in the upper-middle Earth crust is closely related to the development of S-type granitoid, but that in the lower Earth crust is closely related to the development of I-type granitoid.     

中国大陆及邻区大尺度浅源强震空间分布的不均匀性和板块耦合的力学机制

对近代中国大陆及其邻区板内浅源强震空间分布的大尺度不均匀性进行研究，得出：（１）该区存在４个主要的高地震活动区，即华北地震区（３０°～４２°Ｎ）、东南沿海地震区（１９°～２５°Ｎ）、南北地震区（缅甸—中国—蒙古）和中亚地震区（帕米尔—天山—贝加尔湖）；（２）这４个地震区与该区周围板块（欧亚板块与北美—太平洋—菲律宾海—印度板块）之间边界上地震耦合强度大的段落大致垂直；（３）作用于板块边界不同段落上的应力水平差异，可能是中国大陆及其邻区板内近代大尺度强震活动空间分布不均匀性的控制因素     

一种新的流动注射在线共沉淀技术的研究及应用

建立了应用流动注射在线共沉淀分离富集火焰原子吸收法测定天然水样中痕量铬的价态分析方法。利用铬（Ⅲ）在碱性条件下与氢氧化镧形成共沉淀而与共存离子分离并得到富集，沉淀不需过滤，直接用稀盐酸从编织反应器（ＫＲ）中溶解并洗脱下来，用原子吸收测定。本体系的浓集倍率２２，检出限（３σ）０．８μｇ／Ｌ，相对标准偏差（ｎ＝１１）２．７２％，用水标样考察，分析结果与推荐值相符。该方法成功地用于天然水中铬的快速测定。     

地质样品中微量金银的在线分离富集方法

提出用ＶＳ－Ⅱ型强碱性阴离子交换纤维定量富集、硫脲解脱，流动注射在线分离富集—火焰原子吸收光谱法测定地质样品中痕量金银的分析方法。该方法检出限低，金为１．４μｇ／ｍＬ，银为０．３５μｇ／ｍＬ，相对标准偏差均小于２％，采样频率为１２０次／ｈ，用于地质样品中痕量金银的直接测定，结果令人满意。     

由震源机制和地震波各向异性探讨青藏高原岩石圈变形

本文据青藏高原天然地震震源参数和地震波各向异性资料，讨论了高原岩圈不同圈层的变形特性。     

巷道围岩松动圈的地质雷达探测及应用

在简述地质雷达探测原理的基础上, 分析了巷道围岩松动圈雷达探测的可行性。结合华丰矿巷道围岩松动圈探测实例, 提出了松动圈雷达探测方法、图像分析及探测结果应用。结果表明, 采用地质雷达探测巷道围岩松动圈是可行的, 可以用于指导巷道围岩的锚杆支护设计。     

石门地区煤矿地质特征及其资源预测探讨

石门地区煤矿，主要为早二叠世栖霞早期煤层。全县共有７个赋煤区，本文对主要赋煤区的特征列表概要论述，并认为它属地台型含煤建造。指出３个“成煤带”的煤层均呈大透镜体产出，其间为无煤区。作者在煤矿资源预测中，对３个“成煤带”作了远景区划分，圈定与靶区预测，对石门地区的煤矿勘查和开发，具有指导意义。     

区域构造形变不均匀分布与强震地点

强震的孕育、发生涉及大尺度的地壳运动和构造形变的分布.中国大陆西部现今构造形变强烈,一些强烈活动的深大断裂的分布,把地壳分割成了若干活动地块.GPS观测获得的大范围的水平运动速度场分布具有较好的空间有序性和协调性.大区域水平相对运动和变形的协调与平衡,主要是通过一些大的断裂带(活动地块的边界带)的剧烈运动和变形来调整实现的.大区域的继承性构造运动决定了这些大的活动断裂带的相对运动与变形的性质及其空间分布趋势.强震前局部区域的相对运动和变形的异常是与大区域的地壳运动和整体变形相联系的.强震活动引起的调整总体上是维护大区域地壳运动和变形的协调与平衡的趋势.研究大断裂带构造变形的趋势背景和识别异常区段,是预测未来强震地点的重要途径.     

Study on distribution characteristics of strong earthquakes in Sichuan-Yunnan area and their geological tectonic background

Introduction Both Sichuan and Yunnan are provinces with more earthquakes. Based on catalogue of strong earthquakes in China compiled by the Prediction Department of China Earthquake Administration, there are 639 M5.0 earthquakes during 26 B.C.~A.D. 2001. Among them, 475 are M=5.0~5.9 events, 124 are M=6.0~6.9 events, 39 are M=7.0~7.9 events, and one is M=8 event occurred in Sichuan and Yunnan area. Here is one of the areas where seismic activities are most active in China. Sichuan-Yun…