钦-杭结合带南段新元古代俯冲作用:来自粤西贵子混杂岩变基性岩年代学和地球化学的证据

新元古代以来,扬子地块和华夏地块拼贴形成钦-杭结合带。粤西贵子混杂岩为揭示钦-杭结合带南段地质演化提供了一个重要的窗口。贵子混杂岩构造岩块为强烈变形-变质的变基性岩、深海硅质岩,基质为石英岩、云母片岩以及具鲍马序列富锰质硅泥质岩等。对混杂岩中变基性岩年代学和元素地球化学分析显示,锆石U-Pb年龄为948±11Ma,除少部分属低钾(拉斑)外,其余均为钙碱性系列,CIPW标准矿物成分属石英拉斑玄武岩-橄榄拉斑玄武岩组合。变基性岩具有高TiO_2(平均1.85%)、P_2O_5(平均0.21%)的特点;无Eu异常或轻微负异常,配分曲线右倾(球粒陨石标准化(La/Yb)N=2.65~3.89),大离子亲石元素(Rb、Ba、Th、U)富集,高场强元素(Nb、Zr、Hf)轻微亏损,表现为洋壳消减作用下岛弧岩浆岩特征。高的Nb(7.56×10~(-6)~16.11×10~(-6),均大于7×10~(-6))、Nb/U(18.39~25.65)、(Nb/La)N(0.76~0.94,原始地幔标准化)显示为岛弧环境富Nb玄武岩。本研究认为,云开地块出露的这套构造混杂岩,是新元古代古华南洋俯冲在钦-杭结合带南段的记录,可为该带的南东边界提供线索。     

基于TPB拓展模型游艇旅游行为意向影响机制研究

在改进计划行为理论(TPB)模型基础上,引入人口特征和游艇文化变量,构建游艇旅游行为意向的影响机制模型,以实地调研和问卷调查作为数据来源,运用结构方程模型(SEM)实证检验影响旅游者参与游艇旅游行为意向的主要因素及其作用机制。研究表明:当前我国旅游者参与游艇旅游的意向较高;旅游者的行为态度、主观规范、感知行为控制和游艇文化是影响其选择游艇旅游活动的重要因素;旅游者的行为态度、游艇文化2个变量对游艇旅游行为意向具有显著的正向影响;主观规范和感知行为控制均通过行为态度这一中介变量间接影响游艇旅游行为意向。     

天然气水合物开采过程甲烷气泄漏海床基高密度电阻率法监测效果模拟与分析

为实现天然气水合物开采过程沉积物内甲烷气泄漏过程有效监测,设计了一种海床基原位电学监测方法。为界定该方法对不同模式泄露甲烷气的探测能力,以南海神狐海域天然气水合物试采区为研究区,构建相应地质及电阻率模型,模拟利用设计电学系统对其进行监测,计算得到不同采集参数的电阻率剖面,并对其进行对比分析。研究结果表明：海水层会在探测剖面上某深度区间内形成层状低阻异常带,对该深度区间有效电信号形成压制。将该异常带顶界深度定义为系统有效探测深度后,发现该深度受电极距直接影响,10 m极距偶极装置有效探测深度约为50 m。电学探测剖面对有效探测深度内分布的层状和团状甲烷气聚集区、慢速甲烷气泄露区、沿断层泄露的甲烷气区具有良好反映能力,数据处理得到的相对电阻率剖面与电学探测剖面相比能更好地反映甲烷气聚集区边界。该监测方法能够实时监测含气区空间变化。     

Advances of Soil Microbiology in the Last Decade in China

Soils are fundamental to preservation and sustainability of life-support system on Earth. Soils develop as the most dynamic and complex interface linking atmosphere, hydrosphere, lithosphere and biosphere. Soils harbor enormous diversities of microbial communities as the primary driving forces for global exchanges of matter and energy on our planet. Despite of its profound importance, the invisible soil microbes have for long been underappreciated. In the early 2000s, there has been growing awareness that soil microbiology has attracted huge interest from nonsoil scientists due to the introduction of three domain phylogeny. It is also known as tree of life theory which is widely recognized as the most accurate reflection of the relatedness of all organisms and provides us with a tool to classify and elucidate the largely untapped resource of soil microbial communities. In January 2005, the Department of Earth Sciences of National Natural Science Foundation of China organized a workshop of ‘Soil Biology and Soil Processes’ with focused discussion on soil microbiology research frontiers. The workshop outlined research priorities, cross disciplinary research opportunities, technological needs and potential breakthroughs within soil microbiology. This workshop has witnessed the rapid advances of soil microbiology in soil nutrient transformation, global environmental changes and environmental remediation over the last decade in China. This article will give a brief review on soil microbial researches in the past decade in China, present the status quo of funding system and highlight the challenge and opportunities for future soil microbiology in China.     

上海“7·31”局地强对流快速更新同化数值模拟研究

利用雷达、自动气象站、飞机观测(AMDAR)和探空等多种观测资料,采用中尺度数值预报模式WRF和资料同化系统ADAS,对2011年7月31日上海局地强对流过程进行了快速更新同化数值试验。结果表明,数值试验模拟降水的发生时间、落区和随时间演变与实况基本一致,较好再现了海陆热力差异导致上海南北两支海陆风爆发、形成低层辐合线,在热岛效应的叠加下进一步增强,继而引发局地强对流的过程。快速更新同化技术可有效延长此次过程的预警时效,这为城市强对流业务预报提供了新的思路。     

黄土高原一次β中尺度大暴雨特征及成因分析

利用NCEP／NCAR逐日6h分析资料和常规观测资料,分析了2011年2月25日一28日山西连续降雪天气过程（以下简称2．25降雪）。①2．25降雪过程经历了三个阶段：2月25日为回流降雪阶段,26日一27日为倒槽冷锋与回流降雪共同影响降雪阶段,28日为低空切变线影响降雪阶段。②2．25降雪过程涵盖了华北地区大到暴雪的三个类型：回流类降雪、倒槽冷锋类降雪、低空切变线类降雪。③通过温湿场分析得出,对于低空切变线类降雪,对流层中层的湿核对降雪的开始有一定的指示意义。降雪未开始之前对流层中层有湿核,随着时间的推移,湿核向低层扩展,整个对流层中低层变为高湿区,降雪开始。当对流层中层变为干区,并向低层扩展,降雪过程结束。对于回流类降雪,低层回流对回流降雪起到冷垫的作用。④通过涡度场分析得出,对流层低层的负绝对涡度中心对其东侧的降水有指示意义,如果其东侧对流层低层配合有正涡度核,降雪强度较大,维持时间较长。⑤地面层出现的负绝对涡度中心说明近地面层有小高压系统的存在,这是因为低层回流冷垫作用形成的孤立小高压体。⑥28日降雪维持机制是条件性对称不稳定。     

河床透-阻型岩溶塌陷形成机理

由岩溶引发的地面塌陷具有灾害性大,隐蔽性高等特点,为了对其进行有效预报及治理,以某岩溶塌陷强烈发育地区为研究对象,提出采用等值反磁通瞬变电磁法（Opposing Coils Transient Electromagnetics Method,OCTEM）与工程地质钻探相结合的方法,对地层界面进行地球物理方法探测,由覆盖层埋深、电阻率大小、等值线变化等因素确定地层产状,并通过物探反演图及钻孔信息进行验证。结果表明,在岩溶塌陷强烈发育地段,等值反磁通瞬变电磁法可以有效查明地下溶蚀发育情况,在周围环境因素干扰强等常规物探方法无法开展的情况下,可以达到较好的应用效果。等值反磁通瞬变电磁法在岩溶、地面塌陷等地质灾害发育地区提供了有效的预测,为相似情况下的研究分析工作提供理论及实践基础。     

关于GPS载波相位中的野值周跳与模糊度

对于双频ＧＰＳ接收机,Ｇｉｐｓｙ软件可以对单站载波相位测量中野值,周跳进行自动检测与修复,本文用实测数据对Ｇｉｐｓｙ算法的效率进行评估。计算表明,对Ｐ码伪距的情形,该算法对周跳的修复基本无误;对Ｃ／Ａ码的伪距情形,则会有正负几周的误差。本文提出在Ｇｉｐｓｙ算法中加进小波方法,用来估计模糊度,计算表明,可极大地提高Ｇｉｐａｙ算法的效率。     

Operational climate prediction in the era of big data in China: Reviews and prospects

Big data has emerged as the next technological revolution in IT industry after cloud computing and the Internet of Things. With the development of climate observing systems, particularly satellite meteorological observation and high-resolution climate models, and the rapid growth in the volume of climate data, climate prediction is now entering the era of big data. The application of big data will provide new ideas and methods for the continuous development of climate prediction. The rapid integration, cloud storage, cloud computing, and full-sample analysis of massive climate data makes it possible to understand climate states and their evolution more objectively, thus predicting the future climate more accurately. This paper describes the application status of big data in operational climate prediction in China; it analyzes the key big data technologies, discusses the future development of climate prediction operations from the perspective of big data, speculates on the prospects for applying climatic big data in cloud computing and data assimilation, and puts forward the notion of big data-based super-ensemble climate prediction methods and computerbased deep learning climate prediction methods.     

Research progress of socio-economic water cycle in China

China has made great progress in the study of socio-economic water cycle. She has completed national water resources appraisement and medium to long-term water supply planning. She has been engaging in study on water-deficient regions in North China and Northwest China for about half a century. For solving water shortage problem in northern China, she has put forward the famous South-to-North Water Transferring Projects, which has been set as one of the four biggest national projects in the Tenth Five-Year-Plan period although there are still debates. For promoting water use efficiency, China has been reforming her water management system, including water right system and water price system. There has already been a case of water right purchase. China has also done a lot of research on the interaction between human activity, water and ecosystem. For meeting the need of sustainability and coordinating water resources development and environmental protection, the study of ecological water requirement became very hot in recent years. There are three focuses of socio-economic water cycle study now in China: water transfer projects from the south to the north, water resources management and ecological water requirement.