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在深入分析海域多源重力数据观测技术特性的基础上,提出了基于双权因子的多源数据网格化一步融合处理方法,以及基于分步平差、拟合、推估和内插相结合的多步融合处理方法,并通过实际算例验证了两种解析融合处理方法的有效性。 相似文献
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Yu Zhong Yonghong Hao Xueli Huo Mingkun Zhang Qingyun Duan Yonghui Fan 《水文科学杂志》2013,58(11):2011-2023
ABSTRACTTo acquire better understanding of spring discharge under extreme climate change and extensive groundwater pumping, this study proposed an extreme value statistical decomposition model, in which the spring discharge was decomposed into three items: a long-term trend; periodic variation; and random fluctuation. The long-term trend was fitted by an exponential function, and the periodic variation was fitted by an exponential function whose index was the sum of two sine functions. A general extreme value (GEV) model was used to obtain the return level of extreme random fluctuation. Parameters of the non-linear long-term trend and periodic variation were estimated by the Levenberg-Marquardt algorithm, and the GEV model was estimated by the maximum likelihood method. The extreme value statistical decomposition model was applied to Niangziguan Springs, China to forecast spring discharge. We showed that the modelled spring discharge fitted the observed data very well. Niangziguan Springs discharge is likely to continue declining with fluctuation, and the risk of cessation by August 2046 is 1%. The extreme value decomposition model is a robust method for analysing the nonstationary karst spring discharge under conditions of extensive groundwater development/pumping, and extreme climate changes.
Editor D. Koutsoyiannis; Associate editor J. Ward 相似文献
317.
Orienting the circular and rigid particle medium, the variational inequality-based discontinuous deformation analysis (DDA) is established. In the proposed DDA, the global stiffness matrix, the penalty parameters, and the open-close iteration are successfully avoided. The contact constraint is transferred into the problem of variational or quasi-variational inequalities. And explicit variational expression on the contact force is firstly established. To speed up the rate of solving contact force, on the basis of the two-stage prediction-correction method, we design a compatibility iteration algorithm (PPC-CI). The C++ code is developed in multicore environment through the open multi-processing (OpenMP) in order to take advantage of the parallelizable features of the new DDA. Numerical tests suggest that the presented DDA is effective and promising. 相似文献
318.
宁夏及邻区地震震源参数研究 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
利用宁夏地震台网记录的宁夏及邻区数字地震波资料,采用Brune(1970)模型,通过几何扩散校正、介质衰减校正、仪器校正等将速度记录谱归算为震源位移谱。使用遗传算法计算拐角频率及零频极限,进而计算震源半径、地震矩等小震震源参数,并系统分析了各种参数之间的关系。使用发生于2003年6月—2007年12月ML1.7~4.4的186次地震事件估算的震源参数表明:地震矩、近震震级、破裂半径、拐角频率等之间可以拟合为对数或半对数线性关系。地震应力降、视应力与震源半径没有表现出明显的依赖关系,但与地震矩之间表现出正相关关系。与其他地区相比,此研究区属于低应力释放区域。 相似文献
319.
The paper analyzes the variation characteristics of energy fields of seismicity 2.1≤M L ≤4.5 in Jiangsu and its neighboring areas during the period between January 1970 and December 2007.It also analyzes the variations of time "weight" coefficients of the major typical energy fields,using random function theory with seismic energy fields as a space-time random function field based on Empirical Orthogonal Function (EOF) expansion methods.The results show that the expansion accuracy of the first seven typical fields is 0.9244.The strength of seismic energy varies remarkably in different tectonic blocks in the study area.High value areas are in middle and southern Jiangsu,and the south Yellow Sea.The distribution of the typical fields also shows that it is an area that affects most significantly the seismic energy fields of the study region.The time "weight" coefficients of the first six typical fields vary with time,and the amplitude of the variations has strong temporal correlations with moderate-strong earthquakes in the region. 相似文献
320.
塔里木盆地哈拉哈塘地区具有良好油源地质条件,该地区二叠系火成岩普遍发育,复杂的岩性和剧烈的厚度变化影响下覆油气资源的勘探.为识别该地区英安岩和玄武岩这2种主要分布的火成岩,分析不同岩性的特征响应,选取有效岩性识别参数,进行多参数反演;利用基于D-S证据理论的信息融合技术对多参数反演结果进行融合,挖掘参数反演数据体的优势信息,得到岩性识别的概率体,有效避免传统波阻抗反演结果的局限性.该方法可预测主要火成岩类型在空间上的展布和厚度变化,提高岩性解释精度,在识别火成岩岩性方面取得较好效果. 相似文献