PMC方法在江苏测震台网监测能力评估中的应用

江苏测震台网经近20年的高速发展,已拥有75个数字测震台站,针对江苏台网监测能力的评估需求,同时为进一步优化台网布局,提高江苏测震台网监测能力提供参考意见,本文使用基于概率的完整性震级方法,利用江苏台网2009—2021年正式编目观测报告数据,对江苏台网进行监测能力评估。研究结果表明,江苏台网监测能力较好的地区为北部连云港周边地区,监测能力达到了$ {M}_{\mathrm{L}}\geqslant 1.0 $;其次为南部南京、镇江、常州及周边地区,监测能力达到了$ {M}_{\mathrm{L}}\geqslant 1.5 $;监测能力较差的地区为中部地区及近海海域,监测能力达到了$ {M}_{\mathrm{L}}\geqslant 2.0 $。整个江苏台网基本实现了$ {M}_{\mathrm{L}}\geqslant 2.0 $的监测能力,周边地区及中部近海海域基本实现了$ {M}_{\mathrm{L}}\geqslant 2.5 $的监测能力。     

小高宽比隔震结构双向输入振动台试验研究及数值分析

本文对高宽比为2.5的普通钢框架隔震结构模型,采用多种不同的地震动进行了水平向和竖向双向地震输入的振动台试验研究,并利用时程分析法完成了模型结构地震反应的数值分析。试验结果表明,高宽比隔震结构在水平向和竖向双向输入情况下隔震层基本上不会进入拉伸应力状态,即使在9度大震E l Centro和Hach inohe波输入时,隔震层支座仍以受压为主。因此小高宽比隔震结构在场地好的情况下,结构不会出现倾覆,仅需考虑软弱土场地的受拉情况。试验发现竖向地震输入对小高宽比隔震结构水平反应的影响相当小;对小高宽比隔震结构进行水平向地震反应分析时,可以忽略竖向地震对结构的影响。     

Characteristics of turbulence over the semi-fixed desert area north of Xinjiang,China

As the largest fixed and semi-fixed desert in China, the Gurbantünggüt Desert undergoes a long period of snow cover in the winter and the rapid growth of ephemeral plants in the spring, presenting obvious seasonal changes in the underlying desert surface type, which can lead to variation in the turbulence of the near-surface boundary layer turbulence over the desert. In this study, gradient tower data and eddy covariance data from 2017 were analysed to investigate the turbulence characteristics of the different surface boundary layers in the hinterland of the Gurbantünggüt Desert. The results indicate that stable atmospheric conditions in the desert occur exclusively during the early morning and at night in the desert, and the onset and duration of this stable state varies seasonally. Two regimes of intermittent turbulence occur during the night, a weak turbulent regime that occurs when the wind speed is less than the threshold and a strong turbulent regime when the wind speed exceeds the threshold, and different wind speed thresholds were observed at each level. These parameters follow a seasonal pattern of summer (July) > spring (April) > autumn (October) > winter (January) in terms of magnitude. The mean turbulence intensities of the along-wind, cross-wind and vertical wind are 0.5, 0.47 and 0.14, respectively, with I_u > I_v > I_w. The normalized standard deviation of the wind velocity components (σ_u, σ_v and σ_w) generally satisfies a 1/3 power-law relation. Our results show that the night-time turbulence regime classification for the Gurbantünggüt Desert strongly depends on meteorological and orographic features, and the intermittent turbulent events have the non-stationarity of the flow in common. The results can contribute to the study of land surface processes, climate change and desertification in inland arid desert areas.     

Drip irrigation enhances shallow groundwater contribution to crop water consumption in an arid area

Shallow groundwater plays a key role in agro‐hydrological processes of arid areas. Groundwater often supplies a necessary part of the water requirement of crops and surrounding native vegetation, such as groundwater‐dependent ecosystems. However, the impact of water‐saving irrigation on cropland water balance, such as the contribution of shallow groundwater to field evapotranspiration, requires further investigation. Increased understanding of quantitative evaluation of field‐scale water productivity under different irrigation methods aids policy and decision‐making. In this study, high‐resolution water table depth and soil water content in field maize were monitored under conditions of flood irrigation (FI) and drip irrigation (DI), respectively. Groundwater evapotranspiration (ET_g) was estimated by the combination of the water table fluctuation method and an empirical groundwater–soil–atmosphere continuum model. The results indicate that daily ET_g at different growth stages varies under the two irrigation methods. Between two consecutive irrigation events of the FI site, daily ET_g rate increases from zero to greater than that of the DI site. Maize under DI steadily consumes more groundwater than FI, accounting for 16.4% and 14.5% of ET_a, respectively. Overall, FI recharges groundwater, whereas DI extracts water from shallow groundwater. The yield under DI increases compared with that under FI, with less ET_a (526 mm) compared with FI (578 mm), and irrigation water productivity improves from 3.51 kg m^?3 (FI) to 4.58 kg m^?3 (DI) through reducing deep drainage and soil evaporation by DI. These results highlight the critical role of irrigation method and groundwater on crop water consumption and productivity. This study provides important information to aid the development of agricultural irrigation schemes in arid areas with shallow groundwater.     

强震观测辅助教学与数据分析系统开发

强震观测是防震减灾工作中的重要环节,该项工作中涉及的部分概念相对比较抽象,对于本科教学而言,难度较大。为了提高教学效果,本研究基于MATLABGUI,开发了可视交互式的辅助教学与数据分析系统。算例表明,该系统可较好的满足强震观测相关的辅助教学和常规数据分析工作的需要。     

Development and validation of p‐y modeling approach for seismic response predictions of highway bridges

This study aims to realistically simulate the seismic responses of typical highway bridges in California with considerations of soil–structure interaction effects. The p‐y modeling approaches are developed and validated for embankments and pile foundations of bridges. The p‐y approach models the lateral and vertical foundation flexibility with distributed p‐y springs and associated t‐z and q‐z springs. Building upon the existing p‐y models for pile foundations, the study develops the nonlinear p‐y springs for embankments based on nonlinear 2D and 3D continuum finite element analysis under passive loading condition along both longitudinal and transverse directions. Closed‐form expressions are developed for two key parameters, the ultimate resistant force p_ult and the displacement y₅₀, where 0.5p_ult is reached, of embankment p‐y models as functions of abutment geometry (wall width and height, embankment fill height, etc.) and soil material properties (wall‐soil friction angle, soil friction angle, and cohesion). In order to account for the kinematic and site responses, depth‐varying ground motions are derived and applied at the free‐end of p‐y springs, which reflects the amplified embankment crest motion. The modeling approach is applied to simulate the seismic responses of the Painter Street Bridge and validated through comparisons with the recorded responses during the 1992 Petrolia earthquake. It is demonstrated that the flexibility and motion amplification at end abutments are the most crucial modeling aspects. The developed p‐y models and the modeling approach can effectively predict the seismic responses of highway bridges. Copyright © 2016 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

黄淮海平原冬小麦最大可能蒸散的估算

作物最大可能蒸散考虑了作物及当地地表状况,为当地地表实际覆盖情况下实际蒸散的理论上限值,能客观分析作物对水分的需求程度和农业干旱状况。基于遥感（叶面积指数和地表反照率）数据和逐日气象数据,利用Penman-Monteith公式,计算黄淮海平原小麦种植区27个气象站冬小麦生育期2000-2015年逐日蒸散,提取得到冬小麦生育期逐日最大可能蒸散数据集,并分析其时空变化特征及成因。结果表明:与联合国粮农组织（FAO）单作物系数法计算的最大可能蒸散E_k对比,区域平均最大可能蒸散E_c的时间变化趋势与E_k一致,空间分布上E_c符合客观实际。黄淮海平原冬小麦全生育期、越冬期和返青-拔节期E_c均呈北低南高的分布特征,日平均值分别为1.99 mm,0.44 mm和2.75 mm;其余3个生育期（越冬前、抽穗期、乳熟-成熟期）在空间分布上差异不大,日平均值分别为1.23 mm,4.71 mm和3.74 mm。冬小麦不同生育期（含全生育期）E_c的空间分布主要受叶面积指数分布特征的影响,二者呈显著正相关关系。     

农林重大病虫害和农业气象灾害的预警及控制技术研究

1 农业气象灾害预警技术研究 对华北农业干旱、东北作物低温冷害、江淮小麦油菜渍害、华南经济林果寒害和水产寒害等农业气象灾害分别建立了统计预测模型和机理预测模型相结合、长中短不同预报时效相结合的预警预测模型.其中作物生长模型与区域气候模式相结合的新一代农业气象灾害预测技术在实现区域尺度预测应用上取得重要进展;各类预测模型在灾害指标、预测方法上取得新的突破,预报准确率进一步提高.在此基础上,成功研制出包含多种预测方法、不同预报时效、可供准业务运行的农业气象灾害多灾种综合预测预警系统.课题研制的模型进行了业务试验,部分成果如广东经济林果寒害预警已投入业务运行.课题于2005年12月顺利通过项目主持单位农业部组织的专家验收.该课题成果代表了我国目前农业气象灾害预警预测研究的最新进展和水平,对于进一步开展和提高其他地区、其他灾害的预报能力具有一定的推广借鉴作用和应用前景.     

山西省2001年干旱影响分析

对山西省2001年春夏连旱，河川径流锐减，水资源短缺以及干旱给农业生产造成的影响进行了分析，同时围绕抗旱减灾，搞好水利工程，提出了一些看法和建议。     

Exhumation history and preservation of the Jiaojia giant gold deposit,Jiaodong Peninsula

Science China Earth Sciences - The Jiaojia giant gold deposit is the largest gold deposit in China, with a total gold reserve of approximately 1200 t. Until now, the knowledge of the exhumation...