Assessment of frozen-ground conditions for engineering geology along the Qinghai–Tibet highway and railway, China

The Qinghai–Tibet Highway and Railway (the Corridor) across the Qinghai–Tibet Plateau traverses 670 km of permafrost and seasonally frozen-ground in the interior of the Plateau, which is sensitive to climatic and anthropogenic environmental changes. The frozen-ground conditions for engineering geology along the Corridor is complicated by the variability in the near-surface lithology, and the mosaic presence of warm permafrost and talik in a periglacial environment. Differential settlement is the major frost-effect problem encountered over permafrost areas. The traditional classification of frozen ground based on the areal distribution of permafrost is too generalized for engineering purposes and a more refined classification is necessary for engineering design and construction. A proposed classification of 51 zones, sub-zones, and sections of frozen ground has been widely adopted for the design and construction of foundations in the portion of the Corridor studied. The mean annual ground temperature (MAGT), near-surface soil types and moisture content, and active faults and topography are most commonly the primary controlling factors in this classification. However, other factors, such as local microreliefs, drainage conditions, and snow and vegetation covers also exert important influences on the features of frozen ground. About 60% of the total length of the Corridor studied possesses reasonably good frozen-ground conditions, which do not need special mitigative measures for frost hazards. However, other sections, such as warm and ice-rich or -saturated permafrost, particularly in the sections in wetlands, ground improvement measures such as elevated land bridges and passive or proactive cooling techniques need to be applied to ensure the long-term stability of thermally unstable, thick permafrost subsoils, and/or refill with non-frost-susceptible soils. Due to the long-history of the construction and management of the Corridor by various government departments, adverse impacts of construction and operation on the permafrost environment have been resulted. It is recommended that an integrated, executable plan for the routing of major construction projects within this transportation corridor be established and long-term monitoring networks installed for evaluating and mitigating the impact from anthropogenic and climatic changes in frozen-ground conditions.     

井下记录的PP和SS震相

本文在系统分析静海台井下地震记录图的基础上,发现并解决了具有一定实际和理论意义的两个问题:其一是证明了最初误认为是干扰的“双脉冲”图形实际上均是微地震。从而指出研究静海周围地区的地震活动性应考虑微震活动问题。其二确认静海周围地区微震波形的4个主要震相是P、PP、S和SS,并对地面反射波PP和SS能够观测到的条件作了初步分析,其结果进一步说明井下地震记录较之地面记录更为“逼真”,复杂和丰富。     

用一个耦合的全球格点大气环流模式-植被模式模拟中全新世气候变化

用一个耦合的全球格点大气环流模式－植被模式模拟中全新世的气候变化，模拟试验中考虑了地球轨道参数的变化，而其他强迫条件均取成现今值。结果表明，耦合的模式能够模拟出较今强的大尺度夏季风，特别是亚洲－非洲季风，而其他季节和区域的变化值一般都比较小。季风环流和季风降水都大幅度地增大了。结果还显示，耦合模式模拟的大尺度季风系统的变化同单纯大气环流模式模拟的结果非常相似，但是，在非洲北部季风区耦合模式模拟的降水和温度变化较单纯大气模式模拟的值要大，而且，耦合模式模拟的冬季降温值要比单纯大气模式模拟的结果小。     

皮肤图像分析系统对祛斑类化妆品功效评价的研究

目的是探索如何获得不同色素性皮肤病的清晰图像，研制出操作简单、自动化与精度高的皮肤图像分析系统。方法：应用多光谱皮肤显微偏振光与数字图像处理技术，测量目标皮损形状、面积、灰度、积分光密度及色素颜色参数的变化等。结果：用祛斑类化妆品和药物治疗136例黄褐斑、经该系统测量分析后各治疗组相关参数随时间的推移呈下降趋势，而药物组与对照组相比各参数值明显下降、与各组相比均有显著差异（P＜0．05），并提出客观的疗效评定单位“ID”值。结论：该系统是一种潜力较大的皮肤表面色素定量工具，客观性和重复性好，灵敏度高，不对观察对象造成损伤，在临床获得满意效果。     

某滑坡坝溃坝可能性以及对下游拟建某电站影响分析

自然形成的滑坡坝很容易发生溃坝。通过对某滑坡坝溃坝情况计算表明：即使在溃坝情况下，也不会对下游人民生命财产和拟建某电站的安全运行构成威胁，也不会诱发别的地质灾害。     

一次低空暖切变线引发的暴雨天气过程分析

对2005年9月18—19日发生在山东省的一次区域性暴雨过程进行了分析。结果表明：该过程是由850hPa暖切变线北上引发的，暴雨主要产生在暖切变线强盛时期和转为冷槽时的变性阶段。西风带小高压在鲁北地区的滞留对稳定和延长暖切变线对暴雨区的影响时间起了关键作用。高空急流与低空较强西南气流的有利配置为暴雨区的对流运动提供了大尺度环境场。0516号台风和副高西北侧的两支偏南气流结合，为暴雨区输送了充足的水汽和不稳定能量。500hPa短波槽和850hPa湿静力能量锋是触发不稳定能量释放的主要系统。     

Sedimentary Facies Architectures of Third-Order Sequences from Early to Middle Triassic in Nanpanjiang Basin

There are complex and regular changes on sedimentary facies from the Early to the Middle Triassic in the Nanpanjiang basin. After the obvious drowned event of carbonate platforms in the transitional period between Permian and Triassic, carbonate platforms have evolved into the ramp type from the rimmed-shelf type. The differentiation of sedimentary facies becomes dearer in space, which are marked by the changes from an attached platform to a turbidity basin and several isolated platforms in the basin. The striking characteristics are the development of oolitic banks on isolated platforms in Nanning and Jingxi and the reef- and bank-limestones in the margin of the attached platform in the Early Triassic. Despite the difference of the time-span and the architectnre of fades succession of third-order sedimentary sequences, the process of the third-order relative sea-level changes reflected by the sedimentary facies succession of the third-order sequences is generally synchronous. Therefore, six third-order sequences could be discerned in the strata from the Early to the Middle Triassic in the Nanpanjiang basin. Using two types of facies changing surfaces and two types of diachronisms in stratigraphic records as the key elements, the sedimentary facies architectures of the third-order sequences that represent sequence stratigraphic frameworks from the Early to the Middle Triassic in the Nanpanjiang basin could be constructed.     

黄河源区土地利用/覆盖变化（LUCC）研究

利用遥感（RS）监测手段和地理信息系统（GIS）技术,获取了黄河源区在1975、1990、和2005年3个时期的土地利用/覆盖数据,并通过叠加分析,获得了该地区土地利用/覆盖的时空转移特征. 此外,通过县级行政区对源区各县域内的土地利用/覆盖变化特征进行了统计分析,以期为该地区的环境管理提供科学依据. 结果表明：在1975-2005年间,黄河源区的环境退化非常明显,土地利用/覆盖变化主要表现为耕地、沙地、滩地和水库、坑塘面积增加;沼泽地面积减小;高覆盖度草地面积减小,中、低覆盖度草地面积增加. 从县级行政区划上来看,耕地的增加主要分布于贵南、同德和泽库三个县;林地面积在玛沁和甘德两县有大面积的减小趋势;新增的沙地主要分布在玛多、共和、曲麻莱和若尔盖县;新增水库、坑塘则主要分布于共和、和贵南两县;沼泽地面积的减少绝大部分发生在若尔盖县;高覆盖度草地在甘德和玛沁两县增加非常明显,但在玛曲、玛多、达日、兴海、阿坝、若尔盖、红原等县均有大面积的减小趋势. 因此,在黄河源区开展环境保护或环境治理工作,应根据不同区域的具体环境问题采取相应的治理措施.     

WRF模式对江苏如东地区风速预报的检验分析

探讨了WRF模式在风电场的风速或者功率预报中应用的可行性, 主要研究和评估了WRF模式对地处东亚季风区及海陆交界的江苏如东地区夏季和冬季风速的短期预报效能。研究发现WRF模式可以比较好地预报如东站冬季的风速, 24 h预报的风速时间序列和观测资料的相关系数可以达到0.61, 通过置信度99%的检验, 48 h和72 h的预报与观测风速相关系数分别为0.54和0.47, 也能通过置信度99%的检验;相对而言, 模式对夏季风速的预报则要差一些, 24 h的相关系数有0.59, 48 h和72 h的相关系数只有0.47和0.30, 但仍能通过置信度99%的检验。在量值上, 模式预报的风速比观测值都略偏大一些。而江苏南通市预报结果显示, 模式的预报效能要比如东稍高一些, 和如东类似, 模式对该地冬季的预报要好于对夏季风速的预报。从更大尺度范围的分析也表明, 模式对不同地区预报的准确度是不一样的, 对海面以及海陆交界的海岸预报精度要高一些, 在平坦的内陆地区预报也比较好, 但在山区预报效能则较差。总体说来, WRF能胜任风速短期预报, 值得进一步研究和应用。     

The Weakening of the Asian Monsoon Circulation after the End of 1970＇s

The transition of the global atmospheric circulation in the end of 1970＇s can clearly be detected in the atmospheric temperature, wind velocity, and so on. Wavelet analysis reveals that the temporal scale of this change is larger than 20 years. Studies in this work indicate that the trend of the transition over the mid-latitude Asia is opposite to that of global average for some variables at the middle troposphere. Another finding of this research is that the African-Asian monsoon circulation is weaker and the trade wind over the tropical eastern Pacific is weaker as well after this transition. Such a signal may be found in the summer precipitation over China as well.