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Variability of tropical cyclone in high frequent occurrence regions over the western North Pacific

In this study, three high frequent occurrence regions of tropical cyclones(TCs), i.e., the northern South China Sea(the region S), the south Philippine Sea(the region P) and the region east of Taiwan Island(the region E), are defined with frequency of TC's occurrence at each grid for a 45-year period(1965–2009), where the frequency of occurrence(FO) of TCs is triple the mean value of the whole western North Pacific. Over the region S, there are decreasing trends in the FO of TCs, the number of TCs' tracks going though this region and the number of TCs' genesis in this region. Over the region P, the FO and tracks demonstrate decadal variation with periods of 10–12 year, while over the region E, a significant 4–5 years' oscillation appears in both FO and tracks. It is demonstrated that the differences of TCs' variation in these three different regions are mainly caused by the variation of the Western Pacific Subtropical High(WPSH) at different time scales. The westward shift of WPSH is responsible for the northwesterly anomaly over the region S which inhibits westward TC movement into the region S. On the decadal timescale, the WPSH stretches northwestward because of the anomalous anticyclone over the northwestern part of the region P, and steers more TCs reaching the region P in the greater FO years of the region P. The retreating of the WPSH on the interannual time scale is the main reason for the FO's oscillation over the region E.     

CFD-based numerical analysis of a variable cross-section cylinder

Using ANSYS-CFX, a general purpose fluid dynamics program, the vortex-induced vibration (VIV) of a variable cross-section cylinder is simulated under uniform current with high Reynolds numbers. Large eddy simulation (LES) is conducted for studying the fluid-structure interaction. The vortex shedding in the wake, the motion trajectories of a cylinder, the variation of drag and lift forces on the cylinder are analyzed. The results show that the vortices of variable cross-section cylinder are chaotic and are varying along the cylinder. In places where cross-sections are changing significantly, the vortices are more irregular. The motion trail of the cylinder is almost the same but irregular. The drag and lift coefficients of the cylinder are varying with the changes of diameters.     

上思县油茶栽培气候生态条件分析

通过对上思县及全国其它适宜种植区的油茶栽培中油茶开花授粉、果实膨大、油脂积累等重要生长发育期的气象条件分析,找出上思县适宜发展油茶种植的科学依据,为当地发展油茶业提出建议,为当地林业可持续发展提供参考。     

百色双套自动气象站雷击故障维修的方法

通过对百色双套自动气象站遇到历史罕见的强雷暴袭击出现故障维修,摸索出了检修双套新型自动站的通信、电源供应、主机HY3000、接口RS232、分采仪器等模块的方法,供同行借鉴.     

运用气象影视节目强化气象科普宣传

通过对目前气象科普知识宣传现状的分析,找出存在的问题和电视气象节目气象科普宣传的优势,提出强化电视气象节目气象科普宣传的建议,为我们搞好气象科技服务打下良好的社会基础.     

基于GIS的广东冬种辣椒气候适宜性区划

基于广东省86个气象站1980-2012年气候资料和1991-2010年冬季寒害灾情资料,采用冬季(12月一翌年2月)≥15℃有效积温作为冬种辣椒的气候资源指标,选取寒害过程中最低气温＜10℃的天数、日最低气温＜10.0℃积寒量构建冬种辣椒的寒害风险指标,完善了冬种辣椒的种植气候适宜性指标.构建指标的空间分析模型,采用ArcGIS的空间分析和多层复合方法,对广东冬种辣椒的气候适宜性进行了区域划分.结果表明,冬种辣椒的气候最适宜种植区主要分布在雷州半岛、茂名、阳江等地区,适宜种植区主要分布在南部沿海地区和中部偏南地区,次适宜种植区主要分布在中部偏北地区和北部偏南地区,不适宜种植区主要分布在肇庆、清远、韶关、河源及梅州等地的北部.     

2013年12月广西一次暴雨落区变化原因分析

利用micaps常规观测资料和NCEP再分析资料,对2013年12月13日～17日广西出现持续性强降雨天气的物理量场的分析得出：强降雨主要是由低层切变线和南支槽共同作用引起,各层天气系统对每天强降雨的贡献不尽相同,第一天高空南支槽还比较浅薄,强降雨主要由低层切变线和超低空东南急流引起;第二、第三天强降雨则是由加深东移的南支槽和北抬又南压的低层切变线共同作用引起;第四天降雨中低层转北风,只有500hPa南支槽和700hPa切变线共同影响.     

中国近海浮游桡足类中华哲水蚤（Calanussinicus Brodsky）的分子系统地理学和种群遗传结构研究

Planktonic copepod Calanus sinicus is the dominant meso-zooplankton in the Northwest Pacific Ocean. To better understand its population dynamics and phylogeographic patterns, 243 C. sinicus individuals were collected from seven locations across the shelf waters of China and its population genetics was studied by mitochondrial DNA cytochrome oxidase I(mtCOI) sequences analyses. Thirty-nine different sequences, or haplotypes, were detected with moderate haplotype diversity(h=0.749) and low nucleotide diversity(π=0.003) for all populations. The evolutionary divergence between geographic populations varied from 0.24% to 0.37%, indicative of very limited genetic differentiation. Visualized minimum spanning network(MSN) and phylogenetic analysis of all the detected haplotypes did not reveal any clear phylogeographic pattern. Furthermore, AMOVA data showed no significant spatial population differentiation existed among the individuals collected across China shelf waters. Pairwise FST values showed that population collected from northwest of the East China Sea(ECS) displayed a low difference to other populations. Mismatch distribution analyses and neutrality tests indicated that C. sinicus might undergo a demographic/population expansion. No significant population genetic structuring was detected, indicating an extensive gene flow among the C. sinicus populations. Our results provide molecular evidence for the hypothesis that C. sinicus in the northwestern South China Sea in winter is transported from the East China Sea and the Yellow Sea by the China Coastal Current during the northeast monsoon period.     

Variability of Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation in FGOALS-g2简

The variability of Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation （AMOC） in the pre-industrial control experiment of the Flexible Global Ocean-Atmosphere-Land System model, Grid-point Version 2 （FGOALS-g2） was investigated using the model outputs with the most stable state in a 512-yr time window from the total 1500-yr period of the experiment. The period of AMOC in FGOALS-g2 is double peaked at 20 and 32 years according to the power spectrum, and 22 years according to an auto-correlation analysis, which shows very obvious decadal variability. Like many other coupled climate models, the decadal variability of AMOC in FGOALS-g2 is closely related to the convection that occurs in the Labrador Sea region. Deep convection in the Labrador Sea in FGOALS-g2 leads the AMOC maximum by 3-4 years. The contributions of thermal and haline effects to the variability of the convection in three different regions [the Labrador, Irminger and Greenland-Iceland- Norwegian （GIN） Seas] were analyzed for FGOALS-g2. The variability of convection in the Labrador and Irminger Seas is thermally dominant, while that in the colder GIN Seas can be mainly attributed to salinity changes due to the lower thermal expansion. By comparing the simulation results from FGOALS-g2 and 11 other models, it was found that AMOC variability can be attributed to salinity changes for longer periods （longer than 35 years） and to temperature changes for shorter periods.