THE VARIATION OF THE SPRING PRECIPITATION IN GUANGZHOU AND ITS PRECURSORY SIGNALS

Guangzhou spring rainfall mainly exhibits interannual variation of Quasi-biannual and interdecadal variation of 30 yrs, and is in the period of weak rainfall at interdecadal time scale. SST anomalies (SSTA) of Nino3 are the strongest precursor of Guangzhou spring rainfall. They have significant positive correlation from previous November and persist stably to April. Nino3 SSTA in the previous winter affects Guangzhou spring rainfall through North Pacific subtropical high and low wind in spring. When Nino3 SSTA is positive in the previous winter, spring subtropical high is intense and westward, South China is located in the area of ascending airflow at the edge of the subtropical high, and water vapor transporting to South China is intensified by anticyclone circulation to the east of the Philippines. So Guangzhou spring rainfall is heavy. When Nino3 SSTA is negative, the subtropical high is weak and eastward, South China is far away from the subtropical high and is located in the area of descending airflow, and water vapor transporting to South China is weak because low-level cyclonic circulation controls areas to the east of the Philippines and north wind prevails in South China. So Guangzhou spring rainfall is weak and spring drought is resulted.     

一种短期气候预测集成技术的应用研究

以递归正权综合决策方案为基础，结合实际情况，首先对多种预报方法进行筛选，选取预报效果较好并且较为稳定的几种方法参与集成，并将集成结果写成Micaps数据格式，最终以图形方式显示出来。评分结果表明：该集成方法对温度预报和灾害指数预报较权重平均集成法效果好；而对月雨量预报和季度雨量、温度预报则与权重平均方法相当；但是对季度雨量、温度预报来说，集成后预测精度有明显提高。同时，将集成结果通过Micaps工作平台以图形方式显示，不仅客观、定量，而且更一目了然．     

基于双树复数小波的SAR图像噪声抑制

小波变换由于其良好的时频分离特性以及接近人类视觉系统的多分辨分析,在SAR图像的去噪和复原中得到了很好的应用,但是经典小波变换不具备平移不变性,且得到的高频分量的方向非常有限.复数小波变换是一种具有近似平移不变性、更多方向选择性且能够完全重构的双数正交小波变换,在图像去噪方面表现出更强的性能.建立了复数小波变换分解与重构的过程,并对分解后的实部和虚部图像的高频部分分别进行局部非线性软阈值法滤波.实验结果显示,复数小波变换较小波变换不仅滤除了更多的噪声,而且得到的图像边缘更加平滑.     

地理信息标准研制的国内外进展及思考

通过对比分析国内外地理信息标准研制的进展,发现国内外标准化机构的工作重点均从地理数据标准化逐渐向地理信息服务标准化转变。在此基础上,从工作机制和标准研制两方面,思考了我国地理信息标准化近期应采取的对策。     

嘉山地震台大地电场资料真实性分析

分析嘉山地震台自2007年运行以来的大地电场观测资料,并对数据的变化特征进行研究,总结分析部分干扰引起的电场变化的曲线特征,给出不同影响因素导致的曲线异常变化情况,为大地电场干扰排除提供依据.     

A numerical method of viscoelastic finite element coupled with spring-block model to simulate the interaction of faults and crustal blocks

A numerical method of viscoelastic finite element coupled with spring-block model is developed to study temporal processes from the slow tectonic motion of large-scale crust to the rapid failure of small-scale faults. Our modeling demonstrates that the motion of crustal blocks is driven by forces from tectonic plate boundaries, and the deformation is distributed on faults for the stress accumulating. The coupling model generates earthquake sequences that display a magnitude-frequency scaling consistent with Gutenberg-Richter law. The frictional heterogeneities affeci earthquakes occurrence and stresses distribution of crustal blocks. Rupture of earthquakes starts at the nucleation node, and propagates bilaterally along faults with the stress triggering, release and redistribution. The failure of faults releases part of crustal stresses, the stress state of crustal blocks near fault is affected by the rupture of local segments on the fault, and the stress state of crustal blocks far away from the fault is controlled by the seismic activity of the whole fault.     

地震观测仪器自动监控软件设计与实现

结合地震地球物理观测台网台站监测工作实际,研制一款地震观测仪器自动监控软件。该软件适用于不同网络环境下IP类仪器设备的网络实时或定时自动监控,地球物理观测类仪器时钟、状态和观测数据的定时自动监控,能自动识别当日观测数据中的无效数据、变幅异常、干扰、地震和限幅等信息,无需借助其他硬件和软件即可将告警信息以短信方式发送给值班人员和管理人员,可实现对仪器原始观测数据的自动备份和手动恢复,及对仪器的一键重启和校正时钟等控制类操作,无需跨平台操作即可查看当日观测数据曲线及分析数据的完整性和有效性,从而实现对仪器的统一高效管理。     

关于若干化探数据处理方法的讨论

化探数据处理中的系统误差校正和异常识别方法很多，移动标准化法、分区标准化法和衬度系数法是其中的几种方法，主要对这几种方法做了简单的介绍并对其效果进行了对比，最后着重讨论了C型变换法的优点。     

Distribution of Palygorskite in the Lingtai Profile of Chinese Loess Plateau: Its Paleoclimatic Implications

Palygorskite is a typical indicator mineral of the arid and strong evaporation environment. Distribution of palygorskite in loess-red clay sequences may act as an important indicator for reconstruction of the paleoenvironment and paleoclimate. In this paper, field emission scanning electron microscope and high-resolution transmission electron microscope observations on the red clay-loess-paleosol of the Renjiapo profile at Lingtai, Gansu Province indicate that palygorskite occurs widely in red clay sequences formed before 3.6 Ma, but no occurrence has been found in eolian sediments since 3.2 Ma. Micromorphological features and microstructure of palygorskite show that it is an autogenic mineral formed during pedogenesis, and transformed from iilite-montmorilionite under the pore water action. In the Lingtai profile, the disappearance horizon of palygorskite is consistent with those of increasing magnetic susceptibility, dust flux and depositional rate. The distribution of palygorskite in the profile indicates that the interval of around 3.6 Ma was an important transformation period of the East Asian paleomonsoon, when changes took place in the East Asia paleoclimate pattern, i.e. a high-frequency strong fluctuation alternative evolution of the environment. Therefore, palygorskite is a key indicator mineral of the East Asian paleomonsoon evolution of that time.     

苏州市金庭镇蒋东岩溶塌陷地质条件及形成机理研究

通过野外地质调查、钻探、岩土样品测试等手段,研究了苏州市金庭镇蒋东岩溶塌陷的地质条件及形成机理.蒋东碳酸盐岩质纯、层厚、岩溶发育程度高,第四系覆盖层较薄且遇水后力学强度大幅降低,这是塌陷形成的内在地质条件,矿山开采是塌陷形成的外在诱发因素.该塌陷模式可概化为真空吸蚀-重力致塌,致塌力主要为溶洞管道内重力水流、水位快速下降产生的真空负压吸蚀力和覆盖层土体自重.根据塌陷区地质条件和诱发因素,建立了基于极限平衡理论的真空吸蚀-重力致塌力学模型.模型计算结果表明,在真空吸蚀作用形成过程中,塌陷体的稳定系数K>1.0,必然产生剪切变形破坏,模型计算结果符合岩溶塌陷的实际情况.