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51.
Ocean Dynamics - The flow of dense water along slopes has been investigated in several numerical investigations based on the Dynamics of Overflow Mixing and Entrainment (DOME) setup. In the present... 相似文献
52.
A Bayesian approach to palaeoecological environmental reconstruction deriving from the unimodal responses generally exhibited
by organisms to an environmental gradient is described. The approach uses Bayesian model selection to calculate a collection
of probability-weighted, species-specific response curves (SRCs) for each taxon within a training set, with an explicit treatment
for zero abundances. These SRCs are used to reconstruct the environmental variable from sub-fossilised assemblages. The approach
enables a substantial increase in computational efficiency (several orders of magnitude) over existing Bayesian methodologies.
The model is developed from the Surface Water Acidification Programme (SWAP) training set and is demonstrated to exhibit comparable
predictive power to existing Weighted Averaging and Maximum Likelihood methodologies, though with improvements in bias; the
additional explanatory power of the Bayesian approach lies in an explicit calculation of uncertainty for each individual reconstruction.
The model is applied to reconstruct the Holocene acidification history of the Round Loch of Glenhead, including a reconstruction
of recent recovery derived from sediment trap data.
The Bayesian reconstructions display similar trends to conventional (Weighted Averaging Partial Least Squares) reconstructions
but provide a better reconstruction of extreme pH and are more sensitive to small changes in diatom assemblages. The validity
of the posteriors as an apparently meaningful representation of assemblage-specific uncertainty and the high computational
efficiency of the approach open up the possibility of highly constrained multiproxy reconstructions. 相似文献
53.
Sensitivity of East Asian climate to the progressive uplift and expansion of the Tibetan Plateau under the mid-Pliocene boundary conditions 总被引:3,自引:0,他引:3
A global atmospheric general circulation model has been used to perform eleven idealized numerical experiments, i.e., TP10, TP10, .., TP100, corresponding to different percentages of the Tibetan Plateau altitude. The aim is to explore the sensitivity of East Asian climate to the uplift and expansion of the Tibetan Plateau under the reconstructed boundary conditions for the mid-Pliocene about 3 Ma ago. When the plateau is progressively uplifted, global annual surface temperature is gradually declined and statistically significant cooling signals emerge only in the Northern Hemisphere, especially over and around the Tibetan Plateau, with larger magnitudes over land than over the oceans. On the contrary, annual surface temperature rises notably over Central Asia and most parts of Africa, as well as over northeasternmost Eurasia in the experiments TP60 to TP100. Meanwhile, the plateau uplift also leads to annual precipitation augmentation over the Tibetan Plateau but a reduction in northern Asia, the Indian Peninsula, much of Central Asia, parts of western Asia and the southern portions of northeastern Europe. Additionally, it is found that an East Asian summer monsoon system similar to that of the present initially exists in the TP60 and is gradually intensified with the continued plateau uplift. At 850 hPa the plateau uplift induces an anomalous cyclonic circulation around the Tibetan Plateau in summertime and two anomalous westerly currents respectively located to the south and north of the Tibetan Plateau in wintertime. In the mid-troposphere, similarto-modern spatial pattern of summertime western North Pacific subtropical high is only exhibited in the experiments TP60 to TP100, and the East Asian trough is steadily deepened in response to the progressive uplift and expansion of the Tibetan Plateau. 相似文献
54.
In peatlands, fluvial erosion can lead to a dramatic decline in hydrological function, major changes in the net carbon balance and loss of biodiversity. Climate and land management change are thought to be important influences on rates of peat erosion. However, sediment production in peatlands is different to that of other soils and no models of erosion specifically for peatlands currently exist. Hence, forecasting the influence of future climate or spatially‐distributed management interventions on peat erosion is difficult. The PESERA‐GRID model was substantially modified in this study to include dominant blanket peat erosion processes. In the resulting fluvial erosion model, PESERA‐PEAT, freeze–thaw and desiccation processes were accounted for by a novel sediment supply index as key features of erosion. Land management practices were parameterized for their influence on vegetation cover, biomass and soil moisture condition. PESERA‐PEAT was numerically evaluated using available field data from four blanket peat‐covered catchments with different erosion conditions and management intensity. PESERA‐PEAT was found to be robust in modelling fluvial erosion in blanket peat. A sensitivity analysis of PESERA‐PEAT showed that modelled sediment yield was more sensitive to vegetation cover than other tested factors such as precipitation, temperature, drainage density and ditch/gully depth. Two versions of PESERA‐PEAT, equilibrium and time‐series, produced similar results under the same environmental conditions, facilitating the use of the model at different scales. The equilibrium model is suitable for assessing the high‐resolution spatial variability of average monthly peat erosion over the study period across large areas (national or global assessments), while the time‐series model is appropriate for investigating continuous monthly peat erosion throughout study periods across smaller areas or large regions using a coarser‐spatial resolution. PESERA‐PEAT will therefore support future investigations into the impact of climate change and management options on blanket peat erosion at various spatial and temporal scales. Copyright © 2016 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. 相似文献
55.
Modeling of Fluvial Reservoirs with Object Models 总被引:16,自引:0,他引:16
An object model for fluvial reservoirs that has been developed from 1985 to present is described. It uses a formal mathematical object model (marked point process) describing the distributions of four facies: channel, crevasse, barrier, and background. Realisations from the model are generated using the Metropolis-Hastings simulation algorithm with simulated annealing conditioning on the volume ratios and well observations. The main challenge has been to find a suitable parameterization of the geology of fluvial reservoirs, and to find and implement the generating function of the channels in the simulation algorithm. The model and simulation algorithm can be conditioned on arbitrary well paths including horizontal wells and paths with partly missing observations, well test data, well contacts, seismic data, and general geological knowledge. 相似文献
56.
This paper describes the preliminary development of a network‐index approach to modify and to extend the classic TOPMODEL. Application of the basic Beven and Kirkby form of TOPMODEL to high‐resolution (2·0 m) laser altimetric data (based upon the UK Environment Agency's light detection and ranging (LIDAR) system) to a 13·8 km2 catchment in an upland environment identified many saturated areas that remained unconnected from the drainage network even during an extreme flood event. This is shown to be a particular problem with using high‐resolution topographic data, especially over large appreciable areas. To deal with the hydrological consequences of disconnected areas, we present a simple network index modification in which saturated areas are only considered to contribute when the topographic index indicates continuous saturation through the length of a flow path to the point where the path becomes a stream. This is combined with an enhanced method for dealing with the problem of pits and hollows, which is shown to become more acute with higher resolution topographic data. The paper concludes by noting the implications of the research as presented for both methodological and substantive research that is currently under way. Copyright © 2004 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. 相似文献
57.
58.
Helge G. Backlund 《International Journal of Earth Sciences》1943,34(2-6):79-148
Ohne Zusammenfassung 相似文献
59.
ABSTRACTIn recent years cleantech (clean technology) clusters have emerged in many industrialized regions. Cleantech clusters are heralded as a key solution in the transformation toward a greener economy, with the potential to foster regional economic growth while simultaneously mitigating environmental challenges. Despite witnessing a growing tendency for cleantech activities to be organized in clusters, the research literature remains rather vague on what cleantech clusters are and how they emerge. The author therefore explores these questions with the use of empirical data from three internationally recognized cleantech clusters: (1) Cleantech San Diego, in Southern California, USA, (2) Green Tech Valley, located in the province of Styria, Austria, and (3) Sustainable Nation Ireland, located in the Dublin region, Ireland. The data and information used in the article were derived from empirical accounts sourced from existing literature, secondary data sources, on-site observations, and face-to-face interviews carried out between October 2015 and June 2016. The findings show that the cleantech clusters can be perceived as knowledge, innovation, and collaboration clusters that span industrial and institutional boundaries. The formation of the cleantech clusters is largely the outcome of strategic leadership on the one hand, and place-specific conditions and local capabilities on the other hand. 相似文献
60.