Some statistical properties of surges

All surges observed at the Swedish Astrophysical Station in Anacapri from July 1, 1957 until December 31, 1967 have been studied statistically. In 1958 the Southern hemisphere was most active in producing surges, but thereafter the Northern hemisphere has dominated the activity with increasing rate. The average for the whole period shows that the Northern part of the sun has been twice as active as the Southern part. The latitude distribution for surges has varied with the solar cycle with a pattern similar to the butterfly diagram for sunspots. The polar surges were most frequent in the beginning of the new cycle. The importance distribution is also dependent of the solar cycle, as a higher percentage of surges of importance 1 are found during the solar minimum. Surges of higher importance tend to have longer durations, and they are more often associated with flares. The association rate between surges and radio emission is dependent on both the solar cycle and the importance of the surge. During years with high activity, more than 20% of all surges were followed within 5 min from their start by radio emission, compared to 4% during solar minimum. 17% of surges of importance 2 are closer related to radio emission, but only 10% of surges of importance 1. On the whole, 11% of the surges occurred almost simultaneously with radio bursts. Bursts in discrete frequencies were registered in connection with 8% of the surges, while 11% were followed within 5 min from their start by bursts in spectral observations. All these surges were isolated, i.e. no flares have been reported to occur during their lifetimes. This is also the case for the 18 surges covered by X-ray observations, three of which were closer related to X-ray bursts.     

Annual temperatures during the last 2485 years in the mid-eastern Tibetan Plateau inferred from tree rings

By combining living trees and archaeological wood, the annual mean temperatures were reconstructed based on ring-width indices of the mid-eastern Tibetan Plateau for the past 2485 years. The climate variations revealed by the reconstruction indicate that there were four periods to have average temperatures similar to or even higher than that mean of 1970 to 2000 AD. A particularly notable rapid shift from cold to warm, we call it the “Eastern Jin Event”, occurred from 348 AD to 413 AD. Calculation results show that the temperature variations over the mid-eastern Tibetan Plateau are not only representative for large parts of north-central China, but also closely correspond to those of the entire Northern Hemisphere over long time scales. During the last 2485 years, the downfall of most major dynasties in China coincides with intervals of low temperature. Compared with the temperature records in other regions of China during the last 1000 years, this reconstruction from the Tibetan Plateau shows a significant warming trend after the 1950s. Supported by National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant Nos. 40525004, 40599420, 40890051), National Basic Research Program of China (Grant Nos. 2007BAC30B00, 2004CB720200, 2006CB400503) and the Swedish International Development Cooperation Agency (SIDA, Grant to Hans W. Linderholm)     

Modeling the temperature of the polar mesopause region: Part I—Inter-annual and long-term variations generated by the stratospheric QBO

We present results from the Numerical Spectral Model (NSM), which focus on the temperature environment of the mesopause region where polar mesospheric clouds (PMC) form. The PMC occur in summer and are observed varying on time scales from months to years, and the NSM describes the dynamical processes that can generate the temperature variations involved. The NSM simulates the quasi-biennial oscillation (QBO), which dominates the zonal circulation of the lower stratosphere at equatorial latitudes. The modeled QBO extends into the upper mesosphere, due to gravity wave (GW) filtering, consistent with UARS zonal wind and TIMED temperature measurements. While the QBO zonal winds are confined to equatorial latitudes, the associated temperature variations extend to high latitudes. The meridional circulation redistributes the QBO energy—and the resulting temperature oscillations away from the equator produce inter-annual variations that can exceed 5 K in the polar mesopause region, with considerable differences between the two hemispheres. The NSM shows that the 30-month QBO produces a 5-year or semi-decadal (SD) oscillation, and stratospheric NCEP data provide observational evidence for that. This SD oscillation extends in the temperature to the upper mesosphere, where it could contribute to the long-term variations of the region.     

Residual circulation and stratification in the Liverpool Bay region of freshwater influence

Wind and tidal straining are proposed as key mechanisms influencing the magnitude and timing of the horizontal flux of freshwater across regions of freshwater influence (ROFIs). Evidence for this hypothesis is presented in estimates of the tidally averaged residual current profile, obtained from 5 years of continuous acoustic doppler current profiler measurements in the Liverpool Bay ROFI. The modified horizontal Richardson number (R_x^wtR_{x}^{wt}), which includes both the tidal and the wind forcing, was assessed as a measure of stratification. R_x^wtR_{x}^{wt} was found to be a good indicator of the timing of the evolution and destruction of stratification, but was not as successful as an indicator of the magnitude of stratification, both enduring and periodic. The observed mean residual velocities are compared to those predicted by a classical solution, and the eddy viscosity (N _z ) is shown to be a control on differences between the observed and predicted circulation. Principal component analysis is used to show that the strongest residual currents occur when the water column periodically alternates between a well-mixed and stratified state, a consequence of straining, rather than simply related to the density gradient. Evidence of wind straining was found in the correspondence between the wind direction and the near surface and near bed residual current direction.     

Numerical investigations of the turbulent kinetic energy dissipation rate in the Rhine region of freshwater influence

The turbulent kinetic energy dissipation rate, ε, in tidal seas is maximum at the bottom during full flood and during full ebb, i.e. when tidal currents are strongest. In coastal regions with tides similar to a Kelvin wave, this coincides with high water and low water. If there is a freshwater source at the coast, stratification in such a region will be most stable at high water and least at low water. Measurements of ε in the Rhine region of freshwater influence performed by previous studies have revealed bottom maxima at both high and low water. In addition, a maximum in the upper half of the water column was found around high water, which cannot be explained by tidal shear at the bottom, convective instabilities or wind mixing. This study investigates the dissipation rate and relevant physical properties in the Rhine region of freshwater influence by means of three-dimensional numerical simulations using the General Estuarine Transport Model and idealised conditions. The measurements are well reproduced; two distinct peaks of ε are evident in the upper layer shortly before and after high water. These maxima turn out to be due to strong peaks in the alongshore shear occurring when the fore- and the back-front of the plume transit the water column.     

A comparison of gravity wave phase velocities calculated from the impedance equation and pressure data

Abstract

Marked oscillations in wind speed, wind direction and pressure with periods of between 5 and 15 minutes were recorded on a number of occasions and it is assumed that they were produced by atmospheric gravity waves. Gossard and Munk (1954) have shown that the phase velocity of a gravity wave can be calculated using wind and pressure fluctuation data from a single station by means of the “impedance equation”. It is also possible to measure the phase velocity of a gravity wave using an array of microbarovariographs. In this investigation, the phase velocity of gravity waves calculated using these two different methods are compared and the feasibility of deriving wave characteristics from single point measurements is discussed. The results show that, while in a few isolated cases the two velocities agree reasonably well, the application of the impedance equation to data from a single station is limited due to the superposition of local wind systems upon the wave-induced perturbations.     

Rapid swing and spin of [deep] taut-wire-moored instruments

Rapid ‘swing’, compass variations O(10°) in O(10 s), and ‘spin’, complete rotations around the vertical axis within a few minutes, are a concern of acoustic current meters moored in-line. Observations are used from fast sampling, at once per 1 and 30 s, instrumentation on deep-ocean moorings mainly outside surface wave and bottom boundary influences. Such instruments do not require a vane common to some historic mechanical current meters and they are often moored in a much easier to handle sub-surface buoy or mounting rack, without vanes. In their mountings they are nearly symmetric, so that they can spin freely in (turbulent; shear) flows. A comparison is made between noise levels of such free spinning instrumentation with those of instruments mounted in a fixed bottom-frame and with those of instruments equipped with a vane to one side. Typical spinning has a single rotation varying between 40 and 200 s. Spinning is shown to be highly binary: on or off. Its effects are found negligible on estimates of ocean currents, provided compass updates are adequate as in existing instrumentation. Acoustic noise is O(10) times larger than noise due to spinning. Some effects of spinning are noticed in the acoustic echo amplitude showing higher noise at frequencies >100 cpd, cycles per day. The character of this noise changes dramatically due to spinning. However, it is mainly in the ocean turbulence range and does not affect measurements of internal waves or periodic zooplankton motions.     

A new analytical solution based on joint relaxation for analyzing symmetrical block stability

The magnitude of clamping forces has a significant influence on the estimated ultimate pullout force of a block. The Crawford–Bray equation, which is fundamental in considering clamping forces, is only a function of horizontal stress and block height. Further research to incorporate the influence of induced stress in block stability analysis was considered, but all the previous analytical solutions for analyzing block stability assume a continuum medium to estimate clamping forces and do not allow joint deformations to occur before block movement due to gravity. Assuming a continuous medium to estimate clamping forces leads to an overestimation of block stability and therefore unsafe design. In this paper, an attempt has been made to deepen the understanding of the block failure mechanism and correct the estimated magnitude of clamping forces in a discontinuous medium. A conceptual model is proposed based on the loading–unloading of the block from an in‐situ state to failure. Based on this model, an analytical solution has been developed that calculates clamping forces in a discontinuous medium. The validity and model uncertainty of the solution were checked for different conditions. The new analytical solution is both precise and accurate and can be used as a design tool to estimate block stability. Copyright © 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

Eemian landscape response to climatic shifts and evidence for northerly Neanderthal occupation at a palaeolake margin in northern Germany

The prevailing view suggests that the Eemian interglacial on the European Plain was characterized by largely negligible geomorphic activity beyond the coastal areas. However, systematic geomorphological studies are sparse. Here we present a detailed reconstruction of Eemian to Early Weichselian landscape evolution in the vicinity of a small fingerlake on the northern margin of the Salzwedel Palaeolake in Lower Saxony (Germany). We apply a combination of seismics, sediment coring, pollen analysis and luminescence dating on a complex sequence of colluvial, paludal and lacustrine sediments. Results suggest two pronounced phases of geomorphic activity, directly before the onset and at the end of the Eemian period, with an intermediate period of pronounced landscape stability. The dynamic phases were largely driven by incomplete vegetation cover, but likely accentuated by fluvial incision in the neighbouring Elbe Valley. Furthermore, we discovered Neanderthal occupation at the lakeshore during Eemian pollen zone (PZ) E IV, which is chronologically in line with other known Eemian sites of central Europe. Our highly-resolved spatio-temporal data substantially contribute to the understanding of climate-induced geomorphic processes throughout and directly after the last interglacial period. It helps unraveling the landscape dynamics between the coastal areas to the north and the loess belt to the south.