Application of an Explicit Upstream FEM in Estuary Study

The Explicit Upstream FEM(EU-FEM)proposed in this paper not only possesses the advan-tages of saving memory and CPU time for FDM,but also fits boundary easily,arranges nodal points flexiblyand makes local grids fine down conveniently.The software package,which consists of EU-FEM models andpre/post-processing skills,has been widely used to estuary,near-shore,bay,lake and complex waters withmany islands and channels.In addition to flow field,this model can be used to calculate the distributionfields of pollutants,temperature,salinity,sediment,and oil spill,and can be used to case study of estuaryregulation projects.Some practical applications are presented and some problems discussed.     

区域群发性滑坡灾害概率预报系统

根据覆盖浙江全部陆地区域数年降雨量数据,在同时期内有明确日期、位置记录的609处滑坡(泥石流)灾害数据,通过对地质、土壤、土地利用类型、人文等资料的综合分析,研制了集GIS与ANN于一体的区域群发性滑坡灾害概率预报系统(LAPS)。该系统可以通过宽带网络与气象、水文观测等有关部门相连接,在雨季根据雨量观测站的实时观测数据和降雨预报,对全省区域范围内滑坡灾害发生概率进行快速评价,实现对灾害发生的空间范围、强度及其分布概率的实时预警预报,具有维护方便、操作简单、可视化强等特点,可以作为其它滑坡易发地区的预报系统原型。     

浙江土壤矿物组成特征

对浙江省29种母质和16种土类或亚类构成的69个母质一土类单元共194个土壤样品中的矿物成分进行测定，分析得出矿物种类及矿物百分含量。在此基础上分析了浙江省土壤矿物组成特征。不同土类或亚类土壤中矿物组成存在明显差异，矿物种数和含量变化较大。突出的特征是，相同母质类型土壤含有相似的矿物种类，而且相同母质不同样品中同一矿物含量变化也较小，表现出同母质土壤矿物组成与含量具有相似性。在69个土壤剖面中，由A层到C层矿物种类和含量变化较小，土壤矿物组成明显受基岩影响和控制。宜把地质背景相同、矿物组成相近、土壤环境相似的成土母质作为划分土壤重金属污染评价单元，土壤类型只能作为评价单元的辅助划分依据。     

脑卒中与天气过程的关系

根据浙江人民医院急诊科１９８５－１９８９年１８４例脑卒中病例，结合杭州市气象要素和浙江省气象台历史天气图资料，以综合的动态观点，采用统计及合成分析方法，得出脑卒中易发时段与天气过程的基本关系，建立起概念模式，进而普查造成天气过程的主要天气系统和发病日的天气形势，可供在气象预报的基础上预测脑卒中易发时段，为医学气象预测咨询提供依据。     

太平洋海山钴结壳资源量估算

为合理地估算出太平洋海山钴结壳资源量, 基于我国西太平洋海山钴结壳拖网采样调查资料以及对太平洋海山钴结壳资源分布规律和钴结壳矿区圈定参数指标的深入研究, 创造性地按海山不同高度、不同洋壳年龄赋予不同结壳厚度, 进而首次计算出太平洋海山干结壳资源量为(507.06~1 014.11)×108 t, 锰为(111.15~222.29)×108 t, 钴为(3.04~6.08)×108 t, 镍为(2.23~4.46)×108 t, 铜为(0.66~1.32)×108 t, 结壳分布面积为2 062 862 km2.通过Co通量与结壳Co沉积量、结壳厚度的相关分析表明, 赋予不同洋壳年龄段的结壳厚度是理论厚度的6.10%~12.20%, 这与Ku et al.得出"结壳生长时间只占其整个生命史4%"的认识非常相近, 说明所赋结壳厚度基本合理, 得出的结壳资源量基本正确.为整个大洋海盆内海山钴结壳资源量的估算提供了新方法.      

Chaos Dynamic Behaviour of Mineralization

In this paper a nonlinear dynamic model for the distribution of element content and mineralization in the crust is suggested and the iteration relationship formula of this model coincides with the logistic equation. This shows that mineralization related with migration and enrichment of elements is in chaos, thus resulting in fractal structures of element content and ore reserves and their spatial distribution in the crust.     

An Intelligent Method for Structural Reliability Analysis Based on Response Surface

As water depth increases, the structural safety and reliability of a system become more and more important and challenging. Therefore, the structural reliability method must be applied in ocean engineering design such as offshore platform design. If the performance function is known in structural reliability analysis, the first-order second-moment method is often used. If the performance function could not be definitely expressed, the response surface method is always used because it has a very clear train of thought and simple progranuning. However, the traditional response surface method fits the response surface of quadratic polynomials where the problem of accuracy could not be solved, because the true limit state surface can be fitted well only in the area near the checking point. In this paper, an intelligent computing method based on the whole response surface is proposed, which can be used for the situation where the performance function could not be definitely expressed in structural reliability analysis. In this method, a response surface of the fuzzy noural network for the whole area should be constructed first, and then the structural reliability can be calculated by the genetic algorithm. In the proposed method, all the sample points for the training network come from the whole area, so the true limit state surface in the whole area can be fitted. Through calculational examples and comparative analysis, it can be known that the proposed method is much better than the traditional response surface method of quadratic polynomials, because, the amount of calculation of finite element analysis is largely reduced, the accuracy of calculation is improved, and the true limit state surface can be fitted very well in the whole area. So, the method proposed in this paper is suitable for engineering application.     

Managing Soil Erosion Potential by Integrating Digital Elevation Models with the Southern China's Revised Universal Soil Loss Equation——A Case Study for the West Lake Scenic Spots Area of Hangzhou,China

In China,many scenic and tourism areas are suffering from the urbanization that results from physical development of tourism projects,leading to the removal of the vegetative cover,the creation of areas impermeable to water,in-stream modifications,and other problems. In this paper,the risk of soil erosion and its ecological risks in the West Lake Scenic Spots (WLSS) area were quantitatively evaluated by integrating the revised universal soil loss equation (RUSLE) with a digital elevation model (DEM) and geographical information system (GIS) software. The standard RUSLE factors were modified to account for local climatic and topographic characteristics reflected in the DEM maps,and for the soil types and vegetation cover types. An interface was created between the Arcinfo software and RUSLE so that the level of soil erosion and its ecological risk in the WLSS area could be mapped immediately once the model factors were defined for the area. The results from an analysis using the Arcinfo-RUSLE interface showed that the risk value in 93 % of the expanding western part of the WLSS area was moderate or more severe and the soil erosion risk in this area was thus large compared with that in the rest of the area. This paper mainly aimed to increase the awareness of the soil erosion risk in urbanizing areas and suggest that the local governments should consider the probable ecological risk resulting from soil erosion when enlarging and developing tourism areas.     

一个独居石古砂矿的初步研究

本文介绍了一个独居石古砂矿,这个古砂矿中的独居石具有独特的特征。它的外形常呈液圆或卵形颗粒,偶见有部分晶面保存完好的晶体,表面粗糙不平,色调浑浊不清。常呈灰褐色、灰绿褐色或黄褐色。笔者应用了化学分析、X射线粉晶分析、红外吸收光谱分析等测试手段,对独居石进行了初步研究。     

康山“古油藏”讨论之三——康山“沥青脉”的成因

通过对康山固体可燃脉体产状、脉石矿物性质、构造发展史的综合分析,认为其成因很可能是下寒武统荷塘组中的软沥青和有机质,在加里东运动期间,由于区域应力体系的变化而爆炸运移形成的。康山脉石矿物是沥青和有机质,不是煤和无机物。沥青的源岩为下寒武统荷塘组富有机质的黑色泥岩、硅质泥岩、硅质岩。康山脉中的固体沥青和有机质,当初挤入时应呈塑性流动状态,康山沥青系由石油经热演化而成。