镜儿泉矿区地裂缝分布特征与形成机制研究

金属矿山地下开采引起的地裂缝问题已成为一种严重的矿山地质环境灾害,受到越来越多的关注。镜儿泉矿区经过前期的浅孔留矿法开采产生了大范围的地面塌陷和地表裂缝,后又采用充填法开采以保障地表建筑物的安全。本文以现场调查和地表GPS监测数据为依据,从地表裂缝的形成和发展探讨了地裂缝的分布特征、变化规律和形成机制。研究结果为保障矿山的生产安全提供了依据。     

地震应急现场网络传输方案的选择

地震现场的通讯环境极为复杂,公共的网络接入模式在地震时往往很难保证现场与后方指挥中心之间的实时文件传输和视频通信。本文根据地震带来的破坏程度的不同,针对地震现场的具体通信情况,以及地震应急工作中现场网络通信的需求,提出多项确保地震现场局域网络和后方指挥中心之间通信畅通的解决方案。     

交叉断层的交替活动与块体运动的实验研究

通过物理模拟证明交叉断层上会交替地发生失稳事件。两条交叉的断层在活动中既相互促进 ,又相互制约 ,即一条断层既可能使另一条断层发生闭锁而积累应变 ,又可能触发其错动。每条断层的位移速率、总位移量以及失稳事件数与断层方向和主压应力轴的夹角有关。各断层段的位移有时体现为断层围限块体的平移运动 ,而有时则体现为块体的旋转运动。发生在不同部位的失稳事件影响范围不同 ,在正应力较大的断层上失稳事件影响范围大。涉及交叉断层的较大失稳事件发生前常出现前兆性小事件。交叉断层的交替活动实际上由变形场中块体的运动所控制     

巴里坤盆地晚古生代火山岩年代学及构造演化

与周缘相邻的含油气盆地相比,前人对巴里坤盆地的研究少之又少,对其认识也不够完善;特别是由于缺乏化石及年代学资料,对研究基础的地层划分方案也一直存在争议.本文通过LA-ICP-MS单颗粒锆石U-Pb同位素测年方法对盆内Bal井岩心取样的凝灰岩进行了年代学测定,依据测定结果并结合地震反射同相轴特征对巴里坤盆地的地层重新进行...     

aiNet- and GIS-based regional prediction system for the spatial and temporal probability of rainfall-triggered landslides

We developed a real-time forecasting system, aiNet-GISPSRIL, for evaluating the spatiotemporal probability of occurrence of rainfall-triggered landslides. In this system, the aiNet (a kind of artificial neutral network based on a self-organizing system) and GIS are merged for integrating the rainfall conditions into various environmental factors that influence the landslide occurrence and for simulating the complex non-linear relationships between landslide occurrence and its related conditions. Zhejiang Province (101,800 km² in area), located in the southeast coastal region of China, is highly prone to the occurrence of landslides during intensive rainfall. Since 2003, the aiNet-GISPSRIL has been used to predict landslides during the rainy seasons in the region. The aiNet-GISPSRIL uses the regional 24-h forecast rainfall information and the real-time rainfall monitoring data from the rain-gauge network as its inputs, and then provides 24-h forecast of the landslide probability for every 1 × 1-km grid cell within the region. Verification studies on the performance of the aiNet-GISPSRIL show that the system has successfully predicted the dates and localities of 304 landslides (accounting for 66.2% of reported landslides during the period). During the period from 2003 to 2007, because the system provided the probability levels of landslide occurrences up to 24-h in advance, gave locations of potential landslides, and timely warned those individuals at high-risk areas, more than 1700 persons living in the risk sites had been evacuated to safe ground before the landslides occurred and thus casualty was avoided. This highly computerized, easy-operating system can be used as a prototype for developing forecasting systems in other regions that are prone to rainfall-triggered landslides.     

Extensive genetic divergence among Diptychus maculatus populations in northwest China

D. maculates is a kind of specialized Schizothoracinae fish has been locally listed as a protected animal in Xinjiang Province,China. Ili River located in north of Tianshan Mountain and Tarim River located in north of Qinghai-Tibetan Plateau were two main distribution areas of this fish. To investigate the genetic diversity and genetic structure of D. maculates,four populations from Tarim River system and two populations from Ili River system were collected in this study. A 570-bp sequence of the control region was obtained for 105 specimens. Twenty-four haplotypes were detected from six populations,only Kunes River population and Kashi River population shared haplotypes with each other. For all the populations examined,the haplotype diversity(h) was 0.904 8±0.012 6,nucleotide diversity(π) was 0.027 9±0.013 9,and the average number of pairwise nucleotide differences(k) was 15.878 3±7.139 1. The analysis of molecular variance(AMOVA) showed that 86.31% of the total genetic variation was apportioned among populations,and the variation within sampled populations was 13.69%. Genetic differences among sampled populations were highly significant. F st statistical test indicated that all populations were significantly divergent from each other(P 0.01). The largest F st value was between Yurungkash River population and Muzat River population,while the smallest F st value was between Kunes River population and Kashi River population. NJ phylogenetic tree of D-loop haplotypes revealed two main clades. The neutrality test and mismatch distribution analysis suggested that the fish had went through a recent population expansion. The uplift of Tianshan Mountain and movement of Qinghai-Tibetan Plateau might contribute to the wide genetic divergence of D. maculates in northwest China.     

CWRF模式在中国夏季极端降水模拟的误差订正

利用1980—2015年6—8月我国逐日降水观测数据评估CWRF模式（Climate-Weather Research and Forecasting model）多种参数化方案对我国夏季日降水的模拟能力,并考察累积概率变换偏差订正法（CDFt）的订正效果。通过将广义帕累托分布（GPD）引入到偏差订正模型中,提出针对极端降水的累积概率变换偏差订正法（XCDFt）,检验和评估其对极端降水订正的适用性。结果显示:CWRF模式微物理过程选用Morrison-aerosol参数化方案组合对我国降水场的模拟较好,CDFt订正效果良好;XCDFt偏差订正模型能够较好地提取模式建模与验证时期变化信号,订正后相比订正前与观测极端降水的概率分布更为接近;经过XCDFt订正后华南、华中和华北地区20年一遇的极端降水重现水平较模拟值更接近观测值,可为CWRF模式提高极端降水的业务预测水平提供参考。     

2011年4月江西降水异常偏少的初步诊断分析

利用1959-2011年北半球500 hPa高度格点资料、74项环流特征量资料和1974-2011年NOAA OLR月平均资料,结合江西83个气象观测站的1959-2011年4月降水资料,对2011年4月江西降水异常偏少成因进行了初步诊断分析.结果表明:江西省4月降水有一定的周期性,2011年4月降水处于少雨期;La ...     

中国中部南洛河流域地貌、黄土堆积与更新世古人类生存环境

本文结合最近获得的新资料,对南洛河流域的地貌、黄土沉积和更新世环境进行综合分析。结果表明,南洛河上、中游地貌表现为河流峡谷和山间盆地相间分布的特征,盆地中河流阶地发育; 下游为平缓的山前平原和低山丘陵。黄土在全流域的山顶、河流阶地和盆地等各种地貌部位均有分布。黄土沉积受地形影响较大,上游黄土堆积速率低、颗粒细; 在下游有风道直通的地方,黄土堆积速率高、颗粒粗。在不同地貌部位,黄土开始堆积的年代不同,黄土底界的年代从早更新世到晚更新世均有所见。对埋藏旧石器的年代研究表明,南洛河流域的古人类活动从早更新世晚期(约800ka)开始,到晚更新世后期(约30ka)结束,期间有多期遗存。初步的孢粉和有机碳同位素分析表明,这里曾是森林草原景观,冰期时,乔木植被以松属为主,C4类型草本减少; 而间冰期时,乔木植被以松属-榆科占主导地位,C4类植物增多。古人类在黄土堆积期和古土壤发育期都可能在这个地方活动,但这一认识需要更多的证据支持。丰富的石制品分布和较为连续的黄土沉积,使南洛河流域成为理解更新世人类行为与环境的重要区域。     

基于构件拆除法的RC框架结构动力反应和抗倒塌能力分析

目前,地震及爆炸荷载下的结构连续倒塌问题已成为土木工程领域研究的热点。本文首先简要介绍了国内外有关连续倒塌问题的研究现状和规范制定情况,然后基于OpenSees模拟平台,对一钢筋混凝土框架结构进行了拆除柱构件的动力分析。计算结果表明:拆除边柱比拆除内柱对结构的倒塌危险性要大,楼板对拆除构件后结构的动力反应有一定的减小作用。依据美国公共事务管理局(GSA)的倒塌规范,采用静力非线性分析和竖向增量动力分析对结构抗连续倒塌能力进行了研究。分析结果表明:楼板在一定程度上可提高结构抗连续倒塌能力;动力放大系数(DAF)随结构进入塑性而逐渐增大;由静力非线性分析曲线得到的结构抗连续倒塌能力曲线与竖向增量动力分析曲线吻合较好。