Statistical Characteristics of Convective Initiation in the Beijing-Tianjin Region Revealed by Six-Year Radar Data

Characteristics of convective initiation (CI) in the Beijing-Tianjin region during the warm season of2008-2013 are examined. A total of 38877 CI cases are identified by a thunderstorm identification, tracking, analysis, and nowcasting algorithm. CI cases are evaluated in the context of associated terrain, weather systems, and land cover properties. The spatial distribution of all CI cases shows that there are dense CI activities around the 200-m elevation, which means that convective storms are more easily triggered over foothills. From 1500-1800 to 0300-0600 BT (Beijing Time), the high-occurrence CI region tends to propagate southeastward (i.e., from mountains to plains, then to ocean). Among the four local weather systems, the Mongolian cold vortex has the highest CI frequency while the after-trough system has the lowest CI frequency. For the land cover relationships with CI, the urban land cover has the highest CI density and the forest-type land cover has the second highest CI density; these two types of land cover are more conducive to CI formation.     

Impact of improved assimilation of temperature and salinity for coupled model seasonal forecasts

We assess the impact of improved ocean initial conditions for predicting El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and Indian Ocean dipole (IOD) using the Bureau of Meteorology’s Predictive Ocean Atmosphere Model for Australia (POAMA) coupled seasonal prediction model for the period 1982–2006. The new ocean initial conditions are provided by an ensemble-based analysis system that assimilates subsurface temperatures and salinity and which is a clear improvement over the previous optimal interpolation system which used static error covariances and was univariate (temperature only). Hindcasts using the new ocean initial conditions have better skill at predicting sea surface temperature (SST) variations associated with ENSO than do the hindcasts initialized with the old ocean analyses. The improvement derives from better prediction of subsurface temperatures and the largest improvements come during ENSO–IOD neutral years. We show that improved prediction of the Niño3.4 SST index derives from improved initial depiction of the thermocline and halocline in the equatorial Pacific but as lead time increases the improved depiction of the initial salinity field in the western Pacific become more important. Improved ocean initial conditions do not translate into improved skill for predicting the IOD but we do see an improvement in the prediction of subsurface temperatures in the Indian Ocean (IO). This result reflects that the coupling between subsurface and surface temperature variations is weaker in the IO than in the Pacific, but coupled model errors may also be limiting predictive skill in the IO.     

基于北京二号影像辅助nDSM的建筑物自动提取

针对建筑物提取方法缺乏泛化性的问题,本文提出了将nDSM、北京二号影像、NDVI、BAI的七通道图像相结合作为数据源的提取方法。采用随机森林、梯度提升机、支持向量机、BP神经网络分类器对建筑物进行提取获取最佳分类器模型,并运用二值化与开闭运算,以建筑物面积与最小外接矩形面积的比值为阈值,对建筑物分别进行最小外接矩形、DP算法拟合,优化建筑物提取结果。试验结果表明,梯度提升机(GBDT)较其他分类模型在不同场景下综合效果较好,F-score精度更高。     

顾及步行习惯的室内导航网络及其生成算法

室内导航网络是实现室内路径规划和导航的基础。针对现有室内导航网络存在拓扑连通结构不合理、生成路径几何形态不自然等问题,本文依据人类长期以来形成的“抄近路”习性及“避碰”安全需求,提出了一种符合人行走习惯的室内导航网络及其自动生成算法。该导航网络将室内可通行空间划分为普通房间和走廊,普通房间内网络映射为房间结点与门结点的直线连接;形状复杂的走廊空间则依据空间尺度和凹凸性被细分为狭窄走廊空间和开阔走廊空间,狭窄走廊空间以中轴线作为路线,开阔走廊空间则将门结点和通道口结点连接形成完全图;最后将房门结点连接到走廊路线,形成完整室内导航网络。试验结果表明:该模型及其生成算法能够依据室内空间尺度对复杂通行空间进行合理分区,生成与空间特征一致的导航网络结构,使得规划生成的最短路径形态更符合人们的行走习惯。     

地形地貌对地震波放大效应数值模拟研究

采用FLAC3D 软件进行大量数值模拟,研究了地形地貌对地震波放大效应规律。结果表明:对于单面坡模型,斜坡较低时,坡体对天然地震波和简谐波的峰值加速度在竖直向和顺坡面向产生线性放大效应。斜坡较高时,若坡角低,两种波形的加速度等值线近似平行于坡面,天然地震波坡顶正下方极值性不明显,但随坡角增大而明显,坡面正下方可见若干条与坡面相平行具节律性的极小值条带,随坡角增大向一条极值带转化,简谐波在高低坡脚时坡顶面正下方区域内都出现等间距相间分布具节律性的极值条带,坡面正下方的极值带状性不如天然地震波明显,随坡角增大而消失; 若坡角高,两波形加速度放大系数顺坡面呈相间的极值圈分布。双面坡坡顶宽度越小,山脊越单薄,加速度放大效应越强烈,随坡顶宽度增大,坡肩加速度放大系数趋于稳定,双面坡对加速度放大效应强于单面坡。对加速度放大效应,多峰形双峰形单峰形,坡顶越不规则,加速度放大效应越强烈。V形河谷坡面上半部分加速度放大效应要强于U形河谷,U形河谷的谷底中部对地震波动力响应要强于V形谷。坡面局部不规则性只影响到坡面局部范围内的峰值加速度分布,坡高、坡角、坡顶几何特征为整个峰值加速度分布的控制因素。     

鄂北致密薄储层地震响应特征分析

鄂尔多斯盆地北部大牛地气田塔巴庙区块致密薄层发育。利用岩石物理等数据的物性参数,对不同储集条件下的薄层、薄互层进行地震正演分析。结果表明:在薄层特别是薄互层条件下,叠前波场响应特征十分复杂,有别于常规AVO类型的变化规律,且含气层和干层的响应特征有明显差异。根据叠前地震波场的响应特征和不同的变化规律可以细化薄层研究,进一步识别储集类型。     

GPS技术在西贾庄-罗集铁矿项目中的应用

全球定位系统GPS(GlobalPositimingSystem),以其连续、实时、高精度、全天候测量和自动化程度高等优点,对经典大地测量学的诸多方面产生了极其深刻的影响,在与物化探测量相关的控制测量及测网布设中的应用也越来越广泛。该文通过一个物探项目中GPS测量整体方案的设计与实践过程,针对GPS控制测量、RTK测量、手持GPS测量几种作业方法的探讨及对相关数据的分析,概括总结了GPS技术应用于地勘项目的若干特点。     

雅鲁藏布江结合带东段仁布-曲松地层分区上三叠统朗杰学(岩)群层序及构造样式再认识

雅鲁藏布江结合带东段夹在南、北两条蛇绿混杂岩带之间的一套活动类型的上三叠统朗杰学(岩)群,许多地质工作者对其地层层序、沉积特征、变形变质、物质来源以及形成的构造环境进行过研究。作者在前人工作成果的基础上,综合对比了已往区调工作获得的实际资料,以(构造)岩石地层为基础,结合沉积古生物特征、变形特征以及区域大地构造背景,对该岩(群)作了进一步的研究。初步认为:朗杰学(岩)群地层层序自老至新为宋热(岩)组、江雄(岩)组和姐德秀(岩)组(章村岩组);郎杰学(岩)群的构造样式为一"Ω"型两翼不对称的复式背斜构造。     

大兴安岭西坡银都赋矿岩体LA-ICP-MS锆石U-Pb定年及其成因意义

银都矿床位于内蒙古大兴安岭西坡,为受断裂控制的银多金属矿床。该矿床的岩体主要为石英闪长岩。该岩体中的锆石分为岩浆锆石和热液锆石两类:岩浆锆石无色透明,自形长柱状,具有典型的振荡环带特征;而热液锆石呈浅褐色,半透明—不透明,等轴状,其暗色增生边明显切过了核部岩浆锆石结构。热液锆石相对岩浆锆石具有低Th/U和LREE,高Hf和HREE的特征。银都岩体岩浆锆石的206Pb/238 U加权平均年龄为(451.8±7.8)Ma,属加里东期,为岩体的结晶年龄;热液锆石的206 Pb/238 U加权平均年龄为(337.0±7.7)Ma,属中石炭世,代表了热液作用的年龄。热液锆石年龄表明,该区在337Ma左右经历了一次强烈的热液作用,该期热液作用可能与该区造山峰期的变质作用有关。本区的地质特征和流体包裹体特征表明,本区银矿的形成很可能与这期热液活动密切相关。