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301.
The mean state of the tropical atmosphere is important as the nature of the coupling between the ocean and the atmosphere
depends nonlinearly on the basic state of the coupled system. The simulation of the annual cycle of the tropical surface wind
stress by 17 atmospheric general circulation models (AGCMs) is examined and intercompared. The models considered were part
of the Atmospheric Model Intercomparison Project (AMIP) and were integrated with observed sea surface temperature (SST) for
the decade 1979–1988. Several measures have been devised to intercompare the performance of the 17 models on global tropical
as well as regional scales. Within the limits of observational uncertainties, the models under examination simulate realistic
tropical area-averaged zonal and meridional annual mean stresses. This is a noteworthy improvement over older generation low
resolution models which were noted for their simulation of surface stresses considerably weaker than the observations. The
models also simulate realistic magnitudes of the spatial distribution of the annual mean surface stress field and are seen
to reproduce realistically its observed spatial pattern. Similar features are observed in the simulations of the annual variance
field. The models perform well over almost all the tropical regions apart from a few. Of these, the simulations over Somali
are interesting. Over this region, the models are seen to underestimate the annual mean zonal and meridional stresses. There
is also wide variance between the different models in simulating these quantities. Large model-to-model variations were also
seen in the simulations of the annual mean meridional stress field over equatorial Indian Ocean, south central Pacific, north
east Pacific and equatorial eastern Pacific oceans. It is shown that the systematic errors in simulating the surface winds
are related to the systematic errors in simulating the Inter-Tropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ) in its location and intensity.
Weaker than observed annual mean southwesterlies simulated by most models over Somali is due to weaker than observed southwesterlies
during the Northern Hemisphere summer. This is related to the weaker than observed land precipitation simulated by most models
during the Northern Hemisphere summer. The diversity in simulation of the surface wind over Somali and equatorial Indian ocean
is related to the diversity of AGCMs in simulating the precipitation zones in these regions.
Received: 2 August 1996 / Accepted: 7 February 1997 相似文献
302.
R. W. A. Dallas 《The Photogrammetric Record》1989,13(73):133-136
The paper describes the material generated in carrying out architectural photogrammetric surveys. The importance of the archival nature of this material is highlighted and reference is made to the indexing and storing of the records. 相似文献
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308.
D. Kilkenny L. A. Crause F. van Wyk 《Monthly notices of the Royal Astronomical Society》2005,361(2):559-564
A new statement of the eigenvalue problem of studying small perturbations in arbitrary integrable self-gravitating systems is presented. An example of such a system, a 2D stellar disc, is considered in detail. The theory, based on the general equation for disc eigenmodes, reveals mechanisms for the formation and growth of global galactic structures. This new point of view specifies the limits of the unified theory of bar-like and spiral modes that was based on the assumption that global galactic structures could be understood in terms of low-frequency disc modes. 相似文献
309.
In urban environments, one major concern with deep excavations in soft clay is the potentially large ground deformations in and around the excavation. Excessive movements can damage adjacent buildings and utilities. There are many uncertainties associated with the calculation of the ultimate or serviceability performance of a braced excavation system. These include the variabilities of the loadings, geotechnical soil properties, and engineering and geometrical properties of the wall. A risk‐based approach to serviceability performance failure is necessary to incorporate systematically the uncertainties associated with the various design parameters. This paper demonstrates the use of an integrated neural network–reliability method to assess the risk of serviceability failure through the calculation of the reliability index. By first performing a series of parametric studies using the finite element method and then approximating the non‐linear limit state surface (the boundary separating the safe and ‘failure’ domains) through a neural network model, the reliability index can be determined with the aid of a spreadsheet. Two illustrative examples are presented to show how the serviceability performance for braced excavation problems can be assessed using the reliability index. Copyright © 2005 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. 相似文献
310.
Motivated by the discovery of the millisecond pulsars, we consider the effect of rapid rotation on the envelope of a neutron star. Solving the equation of hydrostatic equilibrium we find expressions for the density and oblateness as functions of radius and polar angle. 相似文献