A hybrid integrated deep learning model for the prediction of citywide spatio-temporal flow volumes

ABSTRACT

The spatio-temporal residual network (ST-ResNet) leverages the power of deep learning (DL) for predicting the volume of citywide spatio-temporal flows. However, this model, neglects the dynamic dependency of the input flows in the temporal dimension, which affects what spatio-temporal features may be captured in the result. This study introduces a long short-term memory (LSTM) neural network into the ST-ResNet to form a hybrid integrated-DL model to predict the volumes of citywide spatio-temporal flows (called HIDLST). The new model can dynamically learn the temporal dependency among flows via the feedback connection in the LSTM to improve accurate captures of spatio-temporal features in the flows. We test the HIDLST model by predicting the volumes of citywide taxi flows in Beijing, China. We tune the hyperparameters of the HIDLST model to optimize the prediction accuracy. A comparative study shows that the proposed model consistently outperforms ST-ResNet and several other typical DL-based models on prediction accuracy. Furthermore, we discuss the distribution of prediction errors and the contributions of the different spatio-temporal patterns.     

Quantitative Analysis of Micro-structural Changes in a Bituminous Coal After Exposure to Supercritical CO2 and Water

Natural Resources Research - High-volatile bituminous coal samples were reacted in deionized water with supercritical CO2 (ScCO2–water) under simulated in situ pressure and temperature...     

Dynamics of the eco-environmental quality in response to land use changes in rapidly urbanizing areas: A case study of Wuhan,China from 2000 to 2018

Journal of Geographical Sciences - The dramatic land use changes that occur in rapidly urbanized areas are important inducement to changes in the eco-environmental quality. Investigating urban land...     

固沙常见锦鸡儿属植物的研究

本文对12种固沙常见锦鸡儿属植物的分类、分布、花粉形态进行了比较研究。确定了柠条锦鸡儿、中间锦鸡儿和小叶锦鸡儿三者的亲缘关系,并认为绢毛锦鸡儿是这12种中最原始种,锦鸡儿属可能正象Komapob所说的,是由一个比较原始的祖先种沿着不同的途径衍化而形成目前的许多种。     

华东中部洞穴的类型与特征

本文将华东中部地区的洞穴划为五种成因类型,并以典型洞穴为例,阐述了各类型洞穴的基本特征。同时,对本区洞穴的形态特征也作了分析。     

川江流域防护林区林地的保护性利用

川江流域防护林区森林地面积仅占全区林地面积的44％,而疏林地、灌木林地、未成林造林地、宜林地等尚需抚育或营造的林地占56％,其中宜林地尚有20％。在分析区内林地利用现状的同时,指出了各类林地的主要土壤类型、主要问题及造林或抚育的难易。着重从森林营造和管理角度,提出了相应的保护林地措施。     

上海淤泥质潮滩潮锋作用及其形成机制初步探讨*

本文具体讨论了上海淤泥质潮滩的潮锋作用过程,定性给出了潮锋的形成机制,认为潮锋作用及其水体高含沙量现象的本质在于“潮锋带水体水流加速效应”,即,由于潮滩坡面变化平缓的特殊性,涨潮水体前锋沿程存在着一持续时间可达数十分钟的水流加速过程.最后,本文初步探讨了潮锋作用在滩面塑造过程中的地位,并重新定义了潮锋作用的内容.     

榆林蟒坑滩的自然资源合理利用及沙漠化土地整治意见

本文对榆林地区沙化的一般规律进行了叙述,提出当地现代沙漠化的主要表现形式是固定和半固定沙丘的活化;提出了恢复沙地植被和生产力的设想.对滩地进行了成因划分,对湖沼洼地型滩地的生产条件作了重点分析,初步计算了蟒坑滩的地下水资源,提出为了改变滩地沼泽土"冷板田"土壤水分潴积的状况,应当充分利用滩区丰富的地下水,井灌井排。对蟒坑沙漠化土地的治理和滩地的合理利用也提出了比较切合实际的意见,可供生产部门参考。     

The processes and characteristics of mass balance on the Urumqi Glacier No. 1 during 1958–2009

As a solid reservoir, a glacier can regulate regional water resources. The annual net mass balance directly reflects the fluctuation of the glacier and climate variability. Based on 51 years of mass balance observation data, the mass balance of Tianshan Mountains Urumqi Glacier No. 1 experienced a nine times positive balance fluctuation and nine times negative balance fluctuation. There were 35 and 16 negative and positive balance years, respectively. From 1996/97 to 2008/09, 12 consecutive negative balance years were observed at Tianshan Mountains Urumqi Glacier No. 1. These results demonstrate that the Urumqi Glacier No. 1 is experiencing a strong negative balance, and the strongest negative balance, -931 mm w.e. (mm water equivalent), during the observation period occurred in 2008. In addition, the cumulative mass balance reached 13,709 mm w.e. in 2008. However, in 2009, the mass balance was positive at 63 mm w.e. The equilibrium-line altitude changes with the fluctuation in the mass balance, and the effective mass balance gradient is 7.4 mm/m. In this paper, the headwaters of the Urumqi River were analyzed using meteorological data from 1958 to 2009, including the average seasonal temperature and precipitation. The results showed that the main factor associated with the mass balance variation of Glacier No. 1 is the fluctuation in the summer air temperature, followed by changes in the precipitation.     

兰州—西宁城镇密集区经济增长空间收敛性研究

应用σ收敛与β收敛方法对兰州—西宁城镇密集区2000—2010年的经济发展状况进行收敛测算。从时间断面把握兰西城镇密集区经济收敛或发散趋势的同时,以人均GDP为指标,以县级行政区为研究单元,采用GIS空间分析技术,对近10年来兰西城镇密集区经济收敛或发散状况进行空间模拟,从时间和空间两个纬度分析兰西城镇密集区经济发展过程。结果表明:①兰西地区整体经济增长自2002后呈现出σ收敛趋势,但收敛速度较为缓慢。局部空间结构相对稳定,收敛较弱。②兰西城镇密集区县域经济发展存在微弱的绝对β收敛,且以每年2%的速度收敛。通过控制人口、城市化水平、人力资本、经济实力等内生变量,收敛性得到明显改善,条件β收敛在缩小兰西地区县域之间的经济发展差距上具有一定稳健性。③以劳均GDP为指标,从截面回归分析结果可判断,2000—2010年,兰西城镇密集区城市间经济同时存在新古典主义和新增长理论的收敛机制。