Probability distributions for cyclones and anticyclones from the NCEP/NCAR reanalysis data and the INM RAS climate model

Analysis of statistical characteristics of cyclones and anticyclones in the latitudinal belt between 20° and 80°N has been performed with the NCEP/NCAR reanalysis data and simulations with the general circulation climate model of the Institute of Numerical Mathematics of the Russian Academy of Sciences (INM RAS GCCM). The model results have been analyzed for the second half of the 20th century against the NCEP/NCAR reanalysis data and for the 21st century with the SRES-A2 anthropogenic scenario. Overall for the 20th century, no statistically significant changes in the number of cyclones and anticyclones are obtained from either the NCEP/NCAR reanalysis data [1] or from simulations with the INM RAS GCCM [2]. It is found that the total number of cyclones and anticyclones decreased in the 20th century as compared to the 21st century. It is shown that cumulative distributions of the number of cyclones and anticyclones by their intensities and areas have an exponential form from both the reanalysis data and the model simulations, although the corresponding exponents are different.     

Energy cycle of geodynamics and the seismic process

Estimates are obtained for the energy cycle of geodynamics, namely, the contributions of the geothermal flux to the generation rate of the kinetic energy of convective motions in the mantle and the generation of stresses in the crust that are later released during earthquakes. As follows from theoretical considerations, about half of the geothermal flux is spent on the generation of motions in the mantle, and the fraction of the total geothermal flux from the Earth’s interior that is spent on the seismic process is estimated at 0.5%. This estimate is obtained with the use of data of global earthquake catalogs. For volcanic processes, this fraction is smaller by two orders of magnitude. The energies required for the formation of the Earth’s surface topography and for seismic activity are comparable.     

Simple Arguments for Jupiter’s Circumpolar Cyclones

Izvestiya, Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics - On July 5, 2016, NASA’s Juno station began flying around Jupiter in a meridional orbit, having detected eight cyclones near the poles in latitude...