An approach on dynamic earthquake prediction by georesistivitymeasurements

Ａｎａｐｐｒｏａｃｈｏｎｄｙｎａｍｉｃｅａｒｔｈｑｕａｋｅｐｒｅｄｉｃ┐ｔｉｏｎｂｙｇｅｏｒｅｓｉｓｔｉｖｉｔｙｍｅａｓｕｒｅｍｅｎｔｓＨＯＮＧ－ＫＵＩＺＨＡＮＧ１））（张洪魁），ＱＩ－ＸＩＮＧＳＨＥＮ２）（沈启兴），ＷＥＩＷＵ１）（吴卫）ＹＵ－Ｌ...     

Calculation of the parameters of georesistivi－ty anisotropy and case history of earthquake precursors

Ｃａｌｃｕｌａｔｉｏｎｏｆｔｈｅｐａｒａｍｅｔｅｒｓｏｆｇｅｏｒｅｓｉｓｔｉｖｉ┐ｔｙａｎｉｓｏｔｒｏｐｙａｎｄｃａｓｅｈｉｓｔｏｒｙｏｆｅａｒｔｈｑｕａｋｅｐｒｅｃｕｒｓｏｒｓＦＵ－ＹＥＱＩＡＮ１）（钱复业），ＹＵ－ＬＩＮＺＨＡＯ１）（赵玉林）ａ...     

Estimation of Occurrence Probability of Earthquake Intensity for a Period of Ten Years

A method of estimation of occurrence probability of earthquake intensity at a given site from the results of a ten-year scale of earthquake prediction described with a probability of occurrence in a given "prediction cell" is proposed in this paper. 2316 cities and towns in China were analyzed by using this method. The probability of intensity Ⅵ-Ⅸ were given for every city. These results can be used for the earthquake insurance, loss estimation, and planning of disaster protection.     

全球数字地震台网事件带的文件和数据格式

全球数字地震台网所积累的大量地震波资料已经成为研究地震活动性、震源机制、地壳上地幔结构等最基本的数据源。为了使用全球数字地震台网事件带,必须了解其文件类型和内容以及数据格式。本文介绍了上述有关情况。特别是本文介绍了全球数字地震台网事件带中所包含的新的数据格式,弥补了这方面资料的不足。     

Long-period ground motion characteristic of the 1999 Jiji (Chi-Chi),Taiwan,main-shock and aftershocks

Introduction The study of attenuation relations for long-period ground motion is to meet the requirement of economy development. During the earthquakes such as the June 16, 1964 Niigata, Japan, M=7.5 earthquake, the March 24, 1977 Romania M=7.3 earthquake, the March 29, 1970 Gediz, Turkey, M=7.1 earthquake, the May 26, 1983 M=7.7 earthquake in the middle Japanese Sea, the September 19, 1985 Mexico M=8.1 earthquake, the September 16, 1994 M=7.3 earthquake in Tai- wan Strait, and the No…     

Study on shallow structural features Changbaishan Tianchi volcanic region

A seismic survey by 10 shallow profiles and 6 ultra-shallow profiles was performed in Changbaishan Tianchi volcanic region in 2002. The result shows that there are three （in some areas as many as seven） stable interfaces in the survey region, but no reflection phases are found in depths greater than 500 m. The number of interfaces in the southwestern part is obviously greater than in the northwestern part of Tianchi volcano, which suggests that the faults in the southwest have a stronger controlling power over the flow direction of volcano-spewed lava as compared with those in the northwest. Six shallow faults exist in the survey region. The shallow faults are nearly vertical graben-like faults and are mostly distributed on the southwest of Tianchi crater, indicating that volcanic activities in the southwest are stronger than in the northwest. On this ground, it could be further deduced that the NE-trending major fault of Tianchi volcano （ the Liudaogou-Tianchi-Zengfengshan fault） is more active than the NW-trending Baishanzhen-Tianchi-Jince fault.     

Preliminary study on isostatic anomaly and recent tectonic stress field-Taking East China Sea and its eastern marginal seas as an example

Introduction The research of present-day tectonic stress and the mechanism of strain plays an important role in tectonic physics, because the stress and strain affect the tectonic action on the plate bounda-ries and inside the plates. This action should be reflected in geometric field of deformation and in some geophysical fields such as gravitational, geothermal and seismic field as well, for instance, some researchers have investigated the tectonic movement and tectonic stress field in the E…     

亚洲地震委员会第四次学术大会于2002年11月在尼泊尔加德满都举行

亚洲地震委员会（ASC）第四次学术大会暨地震学、地震危险性评估和地震风险管理学术讨论会于2002年11月24－26日在尼泊尔加德满都举行。来自亚洲、大洋洲、美洲和欧洲的22个国家的近200名专家出席了会议，会议共收到约110篇研究报告。文章介绍了大会、学术交流和ASC工作会议等情况。     

利用重力资料反演京津唐张地区震质中

流动重力观测结果显示，地震孕育过程中重力变化最大处往往不与震中重合，美国科学家J.T.Kuo（郭宗汾）提出了孕震体质量变化中心震质源(hypocentroid)和其在地表的投影震质中(epicentroid)的概念．本文采用球、椭球和圆柱体等3种旋转体模型模拟孕震体，分别计算孕震体均匀膨胀引起的表面重力变化模型，并利用最小二乘法对1981～2000年发生在京津唐张测网内16次M>4.0地震进行震质中迭代反演. 计算精度表明，圆柱体模型为三者中的最隹模型．研究了震中、震质中与断层之间的位置关系，发现京津唐张地区M4~5地震震质中与震中的距离在0~40 km之间，震中一般发生在断层末端，或断层交汇处；而震质中大都发生在断层间的块体内，且成丛分布．这意味着区域内存在小范围的构造——地震孵化区，一次次地震在孵化区内孵化，但却在其周围发生．其间，断层的存在起着重要的控制作用．      

大陆动力学与大陆地震研究

简要介绍了1999年英国伯明翰IUGG大会以来，中国地学界围绕大陆地震研究开展的两个重大科学研究项目——《东亚大陆地球动力学研究》项目和《大陆强震机理与预测》项目的科学目标、子项目构成及所涉及的主要研究内容和取得的一些初步研究结果．文中还介绍了2001年11月14日昆仑山口西MＳ8.1强烈地震的主震后，中国地震局开展的现场余震监测工作及这次强烈地震提出的一些科学问题，以及地震对震中附近正在进行的重大工程及格尔木周边地区基础设施的影响.