江南南部—华南北部前汛期严重旱涝诊断分析

利用江南南部—华南北部区域18个站45年（1951～1995年）4～6月降水资料计算了Z指数,确定出该区域严重涝年（1954、1962、1968、1973、1975年）和严重旱年（1958、1963、1967、1985、1991年）。分析了严重旱涝的频数分布和空间分布的特征,以及印度洋和太平洋整个赤道地区的SSTA、OLR距平场的分布。结果表明旱涝年SSTA、OLR距平场均有明显的差异。     

Mineralogical study of spinel-lherzolite inclusions from basalts in southern and eastern China

Ten spinel-lherzolite inclusions and one olivine-websterite inclusion, which were collected from Fujian, Jiangsu, Hebei and Yunnan Provinces, consist of olivine (FΦ_87.7–91.2), enstatite (En_87.3–89.7), Cr-diopside and spinel. According to the Mg/(Mg+Fe²⁺) ratios in the rocks and their mineralogies, they are designated to the Cr-diopside type. The websterite is composed of bronzite (En_71.9) and augite, while the gabbro-norite consists of hypersthene (En_68.9) and augite, belonging to the Al-augite type. The geothermos of spinel-lherzolites were calculated with four geothermometric methods, giving a temperature range of 925°–1,072°C. However, according to P. R. A. Wells' method, temperatures range from 845δ to 1,014°C, and by D. H. Lindsly's approach, from 716°–974°C. Pressures range from 15.1 to 19.8 kb. Genetically, Spinel-lherzolites and olivine-websterite are thought to have been derived from residual mantle material by partial melting at approximately 1,000°C and at a depth of about 50–70 km. Websterite and gabbro-norite may be products of the crystallization-differentiation of alkali basaltic magma.     

蔚县盆地中更新世哺乳动物化石新发现

1 研究目的(Objective) 蔚县盆地为典型的冀西北山间盆地,与阳原盆地仅一山之隔,二者共同组成了广义的"泥河湾盆地",盆地内广泛出露中更新统郝家台组(Qp2h)河-湖相沉积物.相比阳原盆地,蔚县盆地古生物化石研究程度较低.20世纪80年代,盆地北部(大南沟一带)出土具有上新世—早更新世面貌的小型哺乳动物化石,近...     

东北地区湿度梯度下的表土植硅体的空间分布规律

植硅体的现代过程研究是恢复古环境的基础,探讨表土植硅体分布及组合特征对环境因子的响应尤为重要。沿中国东北地区年均温为4 ℃等温线采集70块表土样品,研究了单一温度因素控制下表土植硅体的空间分布规律,以期获得不同类型植硅体对降水的响应。研究结果表明：所有表土样品中植硅体丰富且数量较多,主要有棒型、尖型、块状、扇型、扁平状、短鞍型、帽型、哑铃型、齿型、三棱柱型、导管型、硅质突起、硅化气孔、弓型和多面表皮植硅体;且主要以短细胞、棒型、尖型为主,其平均百分含量之和高达80.77%,块状、扁平状、扇型次之,其他类型的植硅体含量较少。方差分析结果表明：棒型、三棱柱型、硅质突起、哑铃型和扁平状在大兴安岭、松嫩平原和长白山之间存在显著性差异,且棒型、三棱柱型、硅质突起的百分含量与年降水量具有极显著的正相关性,哑铃型的百分含量与年降水量具有极显著的负相关性。总之,年均温为4 ℃等温线上70块表土样品中植硅体类型基本相同,但不同类型植硅体的百分含量存在差异,说明本研究区域内表土植硅体组合特征对降水的响应较为敏感。

     

中国早期具刺疑源类的演化及生物地层学意义

本文以我国元古代至早寒武世梅树村阶中发现的具刺疑源类化石为基础，结合最近研究的新资料，通过对具刺疑源类化石组合特征、形态对比、微细结构和演经关系的研究，并与国内外资料广泛为对比。探讨了我国早期具刺疑源类的演化阶段、各阶段的组合特征及生物地展学意义，论证了我国早期具刺疑原类的演化发展趋势。     

天津滨海地区浅层剪切波速与基底构造关系研究

Shear wave velocity is one of the important dynamic characteristics of soil layers and applied widely in aseismic engineering. In this paper, 500 drill logging data are used to make a linear interpolation based on 0.01°×0.01°×1m grid. A shallow 3-D shear wave velocity structure of Tianjin coastal area is obtained. According to the data and geological background, we selected two typical velocity profiles to try to introduce and explain its relationship to basement structure. The results show that the shear wave velocity structure clearly presents the characteristic of stratification and lateral inhomogeneity. Furthermore, the difference of the shear wave structure between tectonic elements is clear and the velocity structure between the two sides of the local or border fault in the Quaternary is disturbed or affected significantly. It intuitively shows that the basement structure and fault activity of this region had good control of sedimentation development and strata formation in the Quaternary period which would have an important effect on engineering seismic and geological condition evaluation.     

Simulation of spatially correlated earthquake ground motions for engineering purposes

A new model to simulate spatially correlated earthquake ground motions is developed. In the model, the main factors that characterize three distinct effects of spatial variability, namely, the incoherency effect, the wave-passage effect and the site-response effect, are taken into account, and corresponding terms/parameters are incorporated into the well known model of uniform ground motions. Some of these terms/parameters can be determined by the root operation, and others can be calculated directly. The proposed model is fi rst verif ied theoretically, and examples of ground motion simulations are provided as a further illustration. It is proven that the ensemble expected value and the ensemble auto-/cross-spectral density functions of the simulated ground motions are identical to the target spectral density functions. The proposed model can also be used to simulate other correlated stochastic processes, such as wave and wind loads.     

地震红外长波辐射短期异常特征分析

利用NOAA卫星资料反演的地震长波辐射值OLR对黑龙江及其周边2003年以来8次中强地震进行了追踪研究.结果显示,震前2个月左右OLR场值存在明显的高值异常区,未来震中距离高值区中心点250km(优势距离为160km).该方法对黑龙江及其周边4级以上地震短期判定可能具有一定的指示价值,也为利用卫星遥感技术预测未来可能发震区域并及时做出短期预测预警提供了新途径.     

北京一次冬季回流暴雪天气过程的数值分析

回流天气是华北地区冬、春、秋季节产生降雨（雪）的主要天气类型,预报员常常因对回流天气系统结构特征认识不足和诊断失误而导致预报的失败,是降雨（雪）预报的难点和重点。利用北京地区高分辨率快速循环同化中尺度数值预报系统（BJ-RUC）对2010年1月2—3日一次典型的回流暴雪天气过程进行模拟,分析数值模式的模拟能力,研究各层主要影响系统结构特征及形成暴雪的关键性条件,探讨典型回流暴雪天气过程的形成机理。主要结论为：数值模式对此次暴雪过程的近地面回流冷空气、中低层低值系统及变化特征、主要降雪时段和降雪量模拟效果较好,对降雪落区的模拟存在一定偏差。低层回流偏东风遇到地形后引起垂直运动主要在低层800 hPa以下,所产生的降雪量不大,而其与上游850～700 hPa低涡系统发展东移其前部的上升运动汇合所形成的大范围、深厚、强烈的上升运动是产生明显降雪的关键性条件。上游低涡系统前部西南暖湿气流相对应的大湿度区移近是产生较强降雪的重要条件。持续的低层回流冷空气湿度较大,对于低层大气起到水汽输送的作用。回流冷空气使低层大气维持长时间的水汽输送并与其上层东移的大湿度区相结合,增加湿层厚度,有利于降雪持续而形成较强降雪。降雪开始时间和降雪强度的变化与对流层中下转偏南风的时间和偏南风风速增大有关。     

南海台风生成前48 h环流特征及热力与动力条件

利用1979—2019年4—11月中国气象局上海台风研究所热带气旋最佳路径资料和静止卫星红外云图资料,筛选出189例南海台风,结合欧洲中期天气预报中心1°×1°再分析资料,分析南海台风生成前48 h至生成时刻的天气环流和动力、热力条件。结果表明：南海台风生成于热带洋面大范围的高海表温度、高水汽含量和高不稳定层结区,其生成前的主要环境背景环流是赤道辐合带、西南季风或东风波等;台风生成前扰动中心常常处于其北侧风切变小而南侧风切变大的过渡带中,少数扰动中心倾向于风切变小值中心附近,风切变与扰动的发展之间无显著相关;扰动中心一般与垂直涡度中心重合,垂直涡度中心是表征扰动自身强弱的物理量,但垂直涡度自身的大小与未来扰动发展趋势关系不明显,而Okubo-Weiss（OW）指数则对于扰动的发展以及扰动位置确定有较好的指示意义;在扰动发展过程中,扰动中心附近存在一个贯穿整个对流层的位涡柱,低层扰动部分与位涡柱中的中低层位涡相互作用,有利于扰动发展。