Relationships between natural terrain landslide magnitudes and triggering rainfall based on a large landslide inventory in Hong Kong

Rain-induced landslides are recognized as one of the most catastrophic hazards on hilly terrains. To develop strategies for landslide risk assessment and management, it is necessary to estimate not only the rainfall threshold for the initiation of landslides, but also the likely magnitudes of landslides triggered by a storm of a given intensity. In this study, the frequency distributions of both open hillside landslides and channelized debris flows in Hong Kong are established on the basis of the Enhanced Natural Terrain Landslide Inventory (ENTLI) with 19,763 records in Hong Kong up to 2013. The landslide magnitudes are measured in terms of the number, scar area, volume, or density of landslides. The mean values of the scar areas and volumes are 55.2 m² and 102.0 m³, respectively, for the open hillside landslides and 91.3 m² and 166.5 m³, respectively, for the channelized debris flows. Empirical correlations between the numbers, scar areas, and volumes of hillside landslides or channelized debris flows and the maximum rolling rainfall intensities of different periods have been derived. The maximum rolling 4- to 24-h rainfall amounts provide better predictions compared with those with the maximum rolling 1-h rainfall. Maximum rolling rainfall intensity-duration thresholds identifying the likely rainfall conditions that yield natural terrain landslides or debris flows of different magnitudes are also proposed. The initiation rainfall thresholds are identified as 75, 90, 100, 120, 150, 180, and 200 mm for the maximum rolling 1-, 2-, 4-, 6-, 8-, 12-, and 24-h rainfall, respectively.     

A review on missing hydrological data processing

Like almost all fields of science, hydrology has benefited to a large extent from the tremendous improvements in scientific instruments that are able to collect long-time data series and an increase in available computational power and storage capabilities over the last decades. Many model applications and statistical analyses (e.g., extreme value analysis) are based on these time series. Consequently, the quality and the completeness of these time series are essential. Preprocessing of raw data sets by filling data gaps is thus a necessary procedure. Several interpolation techniques with different complexity are available ranging from rather simple to extremely challenging approaches. In this paper, various imputation methods available to the hydrological researchers are reviewed with regard to their suitability for filling gaps in the context of solving hydrological questions. The methodological approaches include arithmetic mean imputation, principal component analysis, regression-based methods and multiple imputation methods. In particular, autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity (ARCH) models which originate from finance and econometrics will be discussed regarding their applicability to data series characterized by non-constant volatility and heteroscedasticity in hydrological contexts. The review shows that methodological advances driven by other fields of research bear relevance for a more intensive use of these methods in hydrology. Up to now, the hydrological community has paid little attention to the imputation ability of time series models in general and ARCH models in particular.     

闽赣交界武夷山南段“桃溪穹隆”形变特征及构造演化探讨

"桃溪穹隆"由内核、中间层和盖层组成,发育岩石流变,韧性、韧脆性和脆性变形(断裂)。文章以"桃溪穹隆"内核、中间层和盖层为对象,通过研究其形变特征、运动形式及相互关系,探讨穹隆上隆的运动方式,结合沉积事件、岩浆活动和构造运动,阐述穹隆的形成机制和构造演化特征。"桃溪穹隆"于加里东期(志留纪末)隆升,华力西期—印支期(晚二叠世—中三叠世)大规模上隆,燕山期及后期继承性活动,主隆升期(华力西期—印支期)为逆时针旋转上隆。穹隆长期隆升是该区古元古代结晶基底出露的主要原因。     

Geology of the Yap Trench: new observations from a transect near 10°N from manned submersible Jiaolong

This paper describes the petrology and geochemistry of rocks from the Yap Trench acquired by three dives of the Jiaolong research submarine. Combining the geophysical data and submersible observations, this paper describes the geomorphology, shallow structures, and sedimentology of the Yap Trench and further discusses the tectonics and activities of this region. Two obvious slope breaks are found on the landward slope, and horsts and grabens with small fault offsets are observed in the ocean-ward slope of the trench. Peridotites sampled from the Yap Trench inner wall are highly depleted subduction-related mantle residues. Volcanic rocks in the northern segment of the trench have subduction-related characteristics that Yap fore-arc rocks underwent metasomatism during Cenozoic subduction. The rocks with remarkable lithologic difference from lithospheric mantle and upper crust sampled in the break slopes suggest that the slope break area may represent a lithologic boundary or transition zone. The landward slope of the Yap Trench was removed by subduction erosion as a result of collision with the Caroline Ridge. The bending of the down-going plate caused normal faults, horsts, and grabens with little or no sediments indicating that the Caroline Ridge is subducting beneath the Yap arc along the trench even though the convergence rate is very slow.     

张广才岭南段两个侏罗纪花岗岩体的地球化学特征及其地质意义

通过LA-ICP-MS锆石U-Pb定年和岩石化学分析,研究了张广才岭南段上营北岩体和帽儿山岩体的形成年代,地球化学特征和形成环境。上营北岩体为中粗粒钾长花岗岩,帽儿山岩体为中细粒黑云母钾长花岗岩。上营北岩体的加权平均年龄为178.9±2.7 Ma,帽儿山岩体为183.7±2.4 Ma,均为早侏罗世侵入岩。上营北岩体和帽儿山岩体主量元素都具有Si O_2和K_2O含量较高,Ti O_2、Mg O、Ca O含量较低,TFe O/Mg O值较高的特点;上营北岩体A/CNK=0.98~1.08,里特曼指数σ=1.51~2.66;帽儿山岩体含铝指数A/CNK=1.00~1.01,里特曼指数σ=2.12~2.36。上营北岩体稀土元素配分模式为海鸥型,轻重稀土分馏不明显;帽儿山岩体稀土元素配分模式为右倾型,轻稀土较重稀土富集;两个岩体均富集Rb、K,Ba、Nb、Ta、Sr、Ti、P、Ho、Er、U、Eu等元素出现不同程度的亏损。地球化学特征分析显示上营北岩体和帽儿山岩体均为A_2型花岗岩,为后造山型花岗岩,形成于兴蒙造山带后造山的伸展环境。     

Advances and Trends in Atmospheric Measurement by Smartphones*

With the development and popularization of smartphones and embedded sensors, a non-professional atmospheric measurement method by using smartphones carried by the public has been proposed recently. Without extra dedicated instrument, this method has many advantages, such as low hardware cost, high spatio-temporal resolution, and wide coverage, and it can supplement the professional atmospheric measurement methods, which has broad applications in the meteorological operation, scientific research, public service, and other fields. At present, the research on the non-professional atmospheric measurement in China is limited. In order to make full use of this method, this paper briefly outlined the states of existing smartphones and embedded sensors, highlighted the measurement of precipitation, air temperature, pressure, aerosols, and radiation by smartphones. To promote the development of smartphones for atmospheric measurement, future research should focus on mechanism study, available sources exploration, data quality control, big data processing, joining and matching with operation, research and service, etc.     

内蒙古白乃庙逆冲推覆构造特征及其地质意义

白乃庙逆冲推覆构造自四子王旗北东的十二台向东经白乃庙、博日和延至化德地区,大致沿北纬42°线东西向延伸超过190 km。它发育于华北克拉通与其北侧的奥陶纪白乃庙岛弧带之间,成为华北克拉通与北缘增生带的构造界线,是一套较为典型的陆缘褶冲带。它表现为华北克拉通北缘的中-新元古界白云鄂博群向北逆冲于白乃庙群及其弧后盆地的上志留统徐尼乌苏组和顶志留统西别河组之上。根据构造变形解析并结合音频大地电磁测深资料(CSAMT),得出白乃庙逆冲推覆构造由一系列分支逆断层组成,并向深部于120~800 m处交汇成主底板断层,构成一套叠瓦式逆冲推覆构造,并发育规模不同的构造窗和飞来峰。根据构造窗与飞来峰之间的距离,提出逆冲位移量大于14 km。通过线理及褶皱枢纽统计,指出白乃庙逆冲推覆构造的逆冲方向为自南向北。依据逆冲岩席中发育的断夹块的叠置关系及构造岩的特征,认为其经历了两个期次的活动。对断裂带内同构造形成的包裹石英透镜体的白云母分别进行了Rb-Sr和Ar-Ar同位素测年,认为白乃庙逆冲推覆构造早期活动于450~410 Ma,是白乃庙岛弧带与华北板块碰撞的构造反映。白乃庙逆冲断层晚期活动于晚二叠世至早三叠世,是古亚洲洋最终闭合的构造表现,亦印证研究区经历了印支期构造运动。     

Paleogene Deformation and its Control Mechanism in the Central Part of Raoyang SagEI北大核心CSCD

Various Palaeogenic deformations have been recognized in the central part of the Raoyang Sag. Based on seismic interpretation, the sedimentary sequences, structure features and activity of main faults have been studied. The results show that the Xianxian detachment fault, which is located in the eastern boundary of the Raoyang Sag, was still active during the Cenozoic and controlled the basinal deformation. The detachment depth and deformation of the Xianxian detachment fault are discussed based on the area-balance theory. The results reveal that patterns of the Paleogene structures vary considerably from the north to the south. Activity of the main faults in the hanging wall of the Xianxian detachment led to a westward migration of the deposition center. On the other hand, the uplifting of the dome related to the detachment resulted in fast denudation of the overlying sediments in locals. The deformation of detachment fault and activities of the major faults controlled the Paleogene deformation in the central part of the Raoyang Sag. © 2018, Science Press. All right reserved.     

基于厄米特插值和时间序列模型在沉降监测中的应用

针对沉降监测中用时间序列分析数据样本较少、处理精度不高的问题,本文引入厄米特插值,提出用厄米特插值法对数据进行插值,增加数据样本,然后用时间序列对数据进行建模分析。为了验证用厄米特插值后的数据建模精度,将上述理论运用到工程实例中,用时间序列分析分别对厄米特插值处理后的数据和原始数据进行建模分析,得到用厄米特插值处理后的数据进行时间序列分析建模的平均绝对误差比原始数据建模的平均绝对误差高0.083 8 mm。说明厄米特插值和时间序列组合模型精度比较高。     

黄骅坳陷古生界潜山储层沥青成因判识

正黄骅坳陷古生界潜山是大港油田重要的油气勘探领域,近年来,先后在王官屯、乌马营潜山古生界发现油气流,且均为石炭—二叠系煤系源岩供烃成藏,如王官屯潜山王古1井二叠系石盒子组发现天然气,同位素特征判断为煤成天然气。这些发现拓展了古生界潜山的勘探领域,表明了石炭—二叠系煤系烃源岩的油气充注范围不仅仅局限于奥陶系碳酸盐岩储层,石炭—二叠系的碎屑岩储层也可以充注成藏,证实了古生界潜山具有更大的油气勘探价值。随着勘探进程与理论认识的不断深化,