全文获取类型
收费全文 | 153篇 |
免费 | 12篇 |
国内免费 | 10篇 |
专业分类
大气科学 | 58篇 |
地球物理 | 36篇 |
地质学 | 49篇 |
海洋学 | 5篇 |
天文学 | 20篇 |
自然地理 | 7篇 |
出版年
2023年 | 2篇 |
2022年 | 6篇 |
2021年 | 3篇 |
2019年 | 4篇 |
2018年 | 9篇 |
2017年 | 8篇 |
2016年 | 11篇 |
2015年 | 7篇 |
2014年 | 16篇 |
2013年 | 5篇 |
2012年 | 12篇 |
2011年 | 5篇 |
2010年 | 14篇 |
2009年 | 10篇 |
2008年 | 12篇 |
2007年 | 7篇 |
2006年 | 5篇 |
2005年 | 10篇 |
2004年 | 2篇 |
2003年 | 10篇 |
2002年 | 2篇 |
2001年 | 3篇 |
2000年 | 1篇 |
1999年 | 2篇 |
1998年 | 1篇 |
1997年 | 1篇 |
1996年 | 1篇 |
1993年 | 1篇 |
1989年 | 1篇 |
1984年 | 2篇 |
1981年 | 1篇 |
1968年 | 1篇 |
排序方式: 共有175条查询结果,搜索用时 15 毫秒
101.
数值模式不同分辨率和地形对东亚降水模拟影响的试验 总被引:34,自引:23,他引:34
为探讨东亚地区降水数值模拟中水平分辨率和地形的作用,使用RegCM2区域气候模式,采用不同的模式分辨率和地形,对东亚降水进行对比模拟试验.结果表明,东亚地区降水的模拟效果取决于模式的水平分辨率,模式分辨率越高,模拟的效果越好.使用实际地形的模拟效果好于使用平滑地形的.但同时,使用较高分辨率的平滑地形的模拟,效果好于使用次高分辨率的实际地形的模拟.这表明在东亚地区降水模拟中,分辨率与地形相比,起着至少同样重要的作用.结果指出,对东亚地区降水的模拟而言,使用60 km及以上分辨率可能是必需的. 相似文献
102.
An analysis of simulated future surface climate change over the southern half of Korean Peninsula using a RegCM3-based high-resolution
one-way double-nested system is presented. Changes in mean climate as well as the frequency and intensity of extreme climate
events are discussed for the 30-year-period of 2021–2050 with respect to the reference period of 1971–2000 based on the IPCC
SRES B2 emission scenario. Warming in the range of 1–4°C is found throughout the analysis region and in all seasons. The warming
is maximum in the higher latitudes of the South Korean Peninsula and in the cold season. A large reduction in snow depth is
projected in response to the increase of winter minimum temperature induced by the greenhouse warming. The change in precipitation
shows a distinct seasonal variation and a substantial regional variability. In particular, we find a large increase of wintertime
precipitation over Korea, especially in the upslope side of major mountain systems. Summer precipitation increases over the
northern part of South Korea and decreases over the southern regions, indicating regional diversity. The precipitation change
also shows marked intraseasonal variations throughout the monsoon season. The temperature change shows a positive trend throughout
2021–2050 while the precipitation change is characterized by pronounced interdecadal variations. The PDF of the daily temperature
is shifted towards higher values and is somewhat narrower in the scenario run than the reference one. The number of frost
days decreases markedly and the number of hot days increases. The regional distribution of heavy precipitation (over 80 mm/day)
changes considerably, indicating changes in flood vulnerable regions. The climate change signal shows pronounced fine scale
signal over Korea, indicating the need of high-resolution climate simulations 相似文献
103.
Microgravity observations at Mt. Etna have been routinely performed as both discrete (since 1986) and continuous (since 1998)
measurements. In addition to describing the methodology for acquiring and reducing gravity data from Mt. Etna, this paper
provides a collection of case studies aimed at demonstrating the potential of microgravity to investigate the plumbing system
of an active volcano and detect forerunners to paroxysmal volcanic events. For discrete gravity measurements, results from
1994–1996 and 2001 are reported. During the first period, the observed gravity changes are interpreted within the framework
of the Strombolian activity which occurred from the summit craters. Gravity changes observed during the first nine months
of 2001 are directly related to subsurface mass redistributions which preceded, accompanied and followed the July-August 2001
flank eruption of Mt. Etna. Two continuous gravity records are discussed: a 16-month (October 1998 to February 2000) sequence
and a 48-hour (26–28 October, 2002) sequence, both from a station within a few kilometers of the volcano's summit. The 16-month
record may be the longest continuous gravity sequence ever acquired at a station very close to the summit zone of an active
volcano. By cross analyzing it with contemporaneous discrete observations along a summit profile of stations, both the geometry
of a buried source and its time evolution can be investigated. The shorter continuous sequence encompasses the onset of an
eruption from a location only 1.5 km from the gravity station. This gravity record is useful for establishing constraints
on the characteristics of the intrusive mechanism leading to the eruption. In particular, the observed gravity anomaly indicates
that the magma intrusion occurred “passively” within a fracture system opened by external forces. 相似文献
104.
Andrea Meoni Antonella D'Alessandro Nicola Cavalagli Massimiliano Gioffré Filippo Ubertini 《地震工程与结构动力学》2019,48(8):910-928
The seismic behavior of unreinforced masonry buildings is typically characterized by premature brittle collapse mechanisms that can cause serious consequences for the protection of human lives and for the preservation of historical and cultural heritage. Structural health monitoring can be a powerful tool enabling a quick post-earthquake assessment of the structure's performance, but its applications are still scarce as a consequence of the severe limitations affecting off-the-shelf sensing technologies, in terms of local nature of the measurements, costs, as well as long-term behavior, installation, and maintenance. To overcome some of these limitations, the authors have recently proposed a new sensing technology, called “smart brick,” that is a durable clay brick doped with stainless steel microfibers, working as a smart strain sensor for masonry buildings. This paper presents the first full-scale application of smart bricks, used for detecting and localizing progressive earthquake-induced damage in an unreinforced masonry building subjected to shaking table tests. Smart bricks are employed to detect changes in load paths on masonry walls, comparing strain measurements acquired after each step of the seismic sequence with those referring to the undamaged structure. Experimental results are interpreted using a 3D finite element model built to reproduce the shaking table tests. Overall, the results demonstrate that the smart bricks can effectively reveal local permanent changes in structural conditions following a progressive damage, therefore being apt for earthquake-induced damage detection and localization. 相似文献
105.
东亚区域极端气候事件变化的数值模拟试验 总被引:62,自引:0,他引:62
使用ResCM2区域气候模式,嵌套澳大利亚CSIRO R21L9全球海气耦合模式,进行了温室效应(二氧化碳加倍)对东亚(主要是中国区域)极端气候事件影响的数值试验。控制试验的结果表明,区域模式能够较好地模拟中国区域的极端气候事件。对温室效应引起的它们的变化进行了信度检验,分析结果表明,温室效应将引起日最高和最低气温增加,日较差减小;使得高温天气增多,低温日数减少。降水日数和大雨日数在一些地区将增加。同时还会引起影响中国的台风活动的变化。 相似文献
106.
Climate Change over China in the 21st Century as Simulated by BCC_CSM1.1-RegCM4.0 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1 下载免费PDF全文
Driven by the global model,Beijing Climate Center Climate System Model version 1.1(BCC_CSM1.1),climate change over China in the 21st century is simulated by a regional climate model(RegCM4.0)under the new emission scenarios of the Representative Concentration Pathways—RCP4.5 and RCP8.5.This is based on a period of transient simulations from 1950 to2099,with a grid spacing of 50 km.The present paper focuses on the annual mean temperature and precipitation in China over this period,with emphasis on their future changes.Validation of model performance reveals marked improvement of the RegCM4.0 model in reproducing present day temperature and precipitation relative to the driving BCC_CSM1.1 model.Significant warming is simulated by both BCC_CSM1.1 and RegCM4.0,however,spatial distribution and magnitude differ between the simulations.The high emission scenario RCP8.5 results in greater warming compared to RCP4.5.The two models project different precipitation changes,characterized by a general increase in the BCC_CSM1.1,and broader areas with decrease in the RegCM4.0 simulations. 相似文献
107.
Marta Llopart Erika Coppola Filippo Giorgi Rosmeri P. da Rocha Santiago V. Cuadra 《Climatic change》2014,125(1):111-125
We analyze the local and remote impacts of climate change on the hydroclimate of the Amazon and La Plata basins of South America (SA) in an ensemble of four 21st century projections (1970–2100, RCP8.5 scenario) with the regional climate model RegCM4 driven by the HadGEM, GFDL and MPI global climate models (GCMs) over the SA CORDEX domain. Two RegCM4 configurations are used, one employing the CLM land surface and the Emanuel convective schemes, and one using the BATS land surface and Grell (over land) convection schemes. First, we find considerable sensitivity of the precipitation change signal to both the driving GCM and the RegCM4 physics schemes (with the latter even greater than the first), highlighting the pronounced uncertainty of regional projections over the region. However, some improvements in the simulation of the annual cycle of precipitation over the Amazon and La Plata basins is found when using RegCM4, and some consistent change signals across the experiments are found. One is a tendency towards an extension of the dry season over central SA deriving from a late onset and an early retreat of the SA monsoon. The second is a dipolar response consisting of reduced precipitation over the broad Amazon and Central Brazil region and increased precipitation over the La Plata basin and central Argentina. An analysis of the relative influence on the change signal of local soil-moisture feedbacks and remote effects of Sea Surface Temperature (SST) over the Niño 3.4 region indicates that the former is prevalent over the Amazon basin while the latter dominates over the La Plata Basin. Also, the soil moisture feedback has a larger role in RegCM4 than in the GCMs. 相似文献
108.
J. Venkata Ratnam Filippo Giorgi Akshara Kaginalkar Stefano Cozzini 《Climate Dynamics》2009,33(1):119-139
A regional coupled atmosphere–ocean model was developed to study the role of air–sea interactions in the simulation of the
Indian summer monsoon. The coupled model includes the regional climate model (RegCM3) as atmospheric component and the regional
ocean modeling system (ROMS) as oceanic component. The two-way coupled model system exchanges sea surface temperature (SST)
from the ocean to the atmospheric model and surface wind stress and energy fluxes from the atmosphere to the ocean model.
The coupled model is run for four years 1997, 1998, 2002 and 2003 and the results are compared with observations and atmosphere-only
model runs employing Reynolds SSTs as lower boundary condition. It is found that the coupled model captures the main features
of the Indian monsoon and simulates a substantially more realistic spatial and temporal distribution of monsoon rainfall compared
to the uncoupled atmosphere-only model. The intraseasonal oscillations are also better simulated in the coupled model compared
to the atmosphere-only model. These improvements are due to a better representation of the feedbacks between the SST and convection
and highlight the importance of air–sea coupling in the simulation of the Indian monsoon. 相似文献
109.
Exhumation of the Dora Maira ultrahigh‐pressure unit by buoyant uprise within a low‐viscosity mantle oblique‐slip shear zone 下载免费PDF全文
The Brossasco‐Isasca subunit (BIU) of the Dora Maira massif is currently the only known continental crustal ultrahigh‐pressure (UHP) unit in the Western Alps. The peak pressure/temperature conditions are 3.5–4.5 GPa/~730 °C; exhumation from ~3.5 GPa to ~1 GPa occurred within 2.2 ± 1.8 Ma, but the exhumation mechanism is incompletely understood. We present a conceptual model for the buoyancy‐driven exhumation of the BIU inside a low‐viscosity, dense mantle shear zone weakened by increased strain rates due to simultaneous strike‐slip and subduction (oblique‐slip) of the European plate. Two‐dimensional thermo‐mechanical models simulate such a buoyant uprise of an ellipse inside an inclined layer. Simulations (i) show the feasibility of the conceptual model, (ii) fit the pressure/temperature/time record and (iii) constrain effective viscosities. The model is compatible with the (i) small volume of continental crustal UHP rock in the Western Alps, (ii) minor erosion during exhumation and (iii) strike‐slip deformation during the exhumation period. 相似文献
110.