防汛异地视频会议系统的安全运行与管理

视频会议系统是在网络技术高速发展背景下产生的又一高科技成果,水利系统依托水利信息网建设了异地视频会议系统,提高了开会效率,节省了办公经费,在防汛抗旱工作中发挥了重要作用.由于视频会议系统应用的及时性、持续性、稳定性等要求非常高,其安全运行与管理至关重要,本文从可靠性保障、安全管理、常见问题处理办法等方面提出了可行的解决方案.     

The application of cluster analysis in geophysical data interpretation

A clustering algorithm that is based on density and is adaptive density-reachable is developed and presented for arbitrary data point distributions in some real-world applications, especially in geophysical data interpretation. Through comparisons of the new algorithm and other algorithms, it is shown that the new algorithm can reduce the dependency of domain knowledge and the sensitivity of abnormal data points, that it can improve the effectiveness of clustering results in which data are distributed in different shapes and different densities, and that it can get a better clustering efficiency. The application of the new clustering algorithm demonstrates that data mining techniques can be used in geophysical data interpretation and can get meaningful and useful results, and that the new clustering algorithm can be used in other real-world applications.     

单一松软煤层瓦斯抽采工艺数值模拟

借鉴油气藏数值模拟理论、技术和方法,对单一松软煤层的瓦斯抽采工艺进行了研究分析。根据单一松软煤层特点,提出了单一松软煤层的几何模型技术——单直径球型孔隙模型,在此基础上建立了煤层瓦斯抽采的地质和数理模型,并根据网格差分方法推导出数值解。以实际生产数据对新模型及其数值解进行验证,结果表明该模型可以用于指导单一松软煤层瓦斯抽采工艺的确定。     

FIO-ESM v2.0 CORE2-forced experiment for the CMIP6 Ocean Model Intercomparison Project

We introduced the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6) Ocean Model Intercomparison Project CORE2-forced (OMIP-1) experiment by using the First Institute of Oceanography Earth System Model version 2.0 (FIO-ESM v2.0), and comprehensively evaluated the simulation results. Unlike other OMIP models, FIO-ESM v2.0 includes a coupled ocean surface wave component model that takes into account non-breaking surface wave-induced vertical mixing in the ocean and effect of surface wave Stokes drift on air-sea momentum and heat fluxes in the climate system. A sub-layer sea surface temperature (SST) diurnal cycle parameterization was also employed to take into account effect of SST diurnal cycle on air-sea heat ?uxes to improve simulations of air-sea interactions. Evaluations show that mean values and long-term trends of significant wave height were adequately reproduced in the FIO-ESM v2.0 OMIP-1 simulations, and there is a reasonable fit between the SST diurnal cycle obtained from in situ observations and that parameterized by FIO-ESM v2.0. Evaluations of model drift, temperature, salinity, mixed layer depth, and the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation show that the model performs well in the FIO-ESM v2.0 OMIP-1 simulation. However, the summer sea ice extent of the Arctic and Antarctic is underestimated.     

High-resolution simulation of upper-ocean submesoscale variability in the South China Sea: Spatial and seasonal dynamical regimes

Submesoscale processes in marginal seas usually have complex generating mechanisms, highly dependent on the local background flow and forcing. This numerical study investigates the spatial and seasonal differences of submesoscale activities in the upper ocean of the South China Sea (SCS) and the different dynamical regimes for sub-regions. The spatial and seasonal variations of vertical vorticity, horizontal convergence, lateral buoyancy gradient, and strain rate are analyzed to compare the submesoscale phenomenon within four sub-regions, the northern region near the Luzon Strait (R1), the middle ocean basin (R2), the western SCS (R3), and the southern SCS (R4). The results suggest that the SCS submesoscale processes are highly heterogeneous in space, with different seasonalities in each sub-region. The submesoscale activities in the northern sub-regions (R1, R2) are active in winter but weak in summer, while there appears an almost seasonal anti-phase in the western region (R3) compared to R1 and R2. Interestingly, no clear seasonality of submesoscale features is shown in the southern region (R4). Further analysis of Ertel potential vorticity reveals different generating mechanisms of submesoscale processes in different sub-regions. Correlation analyses also show the vertical extent of vertical velocity and the role of monsoon in generating submesoscale activities in the upper ocean of sub-regions. All these results suggest that the sub-regions have different regimes for submesoscale processes, e.g., Kuroshio intrusion (R1), monsoon modulation (R2), frontal effects (R3), topography wakes (R4).     

DMSP-OLS与NPP-VIIRS夜间灯光遥感影像数据整合

DMSP-OLS夜间灯光遥感数据截至2013年,现已被NPP-VIIRS夜间灯光数据取代。因此,要获得长时间序列且稳定的夜间灯光数据集,需要整合两类夜间灯光数据。基于此,本文提出了基于重采样的两类数据整合方法,对2013—2020年NPP-VIIRS数据进行模拟,最终建立了1992—2020年长时间序列校正—模拟DMSP-OLS夜光遥感数据集。结果表明,基于重采样的整合方法效果良好(城市区域Pearson相关系数ρ=0.9852,RMSE=3.4607),整合数据集与相关社会经济参考量高度契合(影像DN值总和与GDP的相关系数ρ=0.946,与人口的相关系数ρ=0.971,二次多项式模型拟合R²≈0.98,RMSE<5.55),优于已有研究。因此,利用该方法整合后的数据集能更好地支撑基于夜间灯光影像的长时间序列研究。     

大汶口盆地漕河崖矿段岩盐矿地质特征及岩相分布规律

通过对漕河崖矿段进行勘探工作,发现该区岩盐矿层赋存较多,矿层厚度在0.40~14.72 m,Na Cl平均品位86.39%,属厚度较稳定,品位均匀矿层;岩盐矿层不仅局限在F2,F3,F43个断层的切割范围内,在F3断层北部尚有岩盐层赋存。     

Response to climate change of different tree species and NDVI variation since 1923 in the middle arid region of Ningxia, China

The normalized difference vegetation index （NDVI） is used extensively to describe vegetation cover and ecological environ- ment change. The purpose of this study was to contrast the response of different tree species growing in the same habitat to climate change and retrieve past NDVI using tree-ring width data from tree cores collected from the transitional zone of Pinus tabulaeformis and Picea crassifolia in the Luoshan Mountains in the middle arid region of Ningxia. Correlation analysis indi- cated that radial growth ofP tabulaeJbrmis is more sensitive to precipitation and temperature change than that ofP crassifolia. Natural factors such as water availability and heat at this elevation are more suited to the growth ofP crassifolia, and are more advantageous to its renewal and succession. P. crassifolia is probably the better of the two species for protecting the forest ecosystem and conserving water in the Luoshan desertification area. Ring width of P. crassifolia correlates significantly with average NDVI for April-May （r =0.641, p 〈0.01）, and both of them are influenced positively by precipitation in April-May. The reconstructed NDVI for 1923-2007 shows the relatively low vegetation cover occurred in the 1920s-1930s, the 1960s-1970s, and the early 21 st century. The reconstructed NDVI better reflected the drought climate in the study area.     

NASA/Goddard长波辐射方案在GRAPES_Meso模式中的应用研究

本文将NASA（National Aeronautics and Space Administration）/Goddard长波辐射方案引入到GRAPES_ Meso（Global/Regional Assimilation and PrEdiction System_Meso）模式中,对2006年4月中国地区进行了一个月的模拟试验,并与相应的NCEP（National Centers for Environmental Prediction）再分析资料进行了对比分析。试验结果表明:在模拟区域内,使用GRAPES_Meso模式进行24 h、48 h预报得到的晴空大气顶向外长波辐射通量（the clear sky outgoing longwave radiation flux,OLRC）、地面接收到向下长波辐射通量（the clear sky downward longwave radiation flux at ground,GLWC）分布形势与NCEP再分析资料具有较好的对应关系;模式预报24 h、48 h OLRC和NCEP再分析资料月平均误差百分比控制在－10%～＋10%以内,GLWC月平均误差百分比比OLRC略大,但总体上两者误差都在合理和可接受范围之内。OLRC和GLWC 24 h、48 h的预报和NCEP再分析资料的逐日距平相关系数及标准误差的对比显示,模式24 h预报OLRC、GLWC的距平相关系数月平均值分别为0.96、0.98,标准误差月平均值分别为24.54 W m-2、27.23 W m-2;模式48 h预报OLRC、GLWC的距平相关系数月平均值分别为0.9521、0.9804,标准误差月平均值分别为22.43 W m-2、27.64 W m-2。总体上,模式24 h、48 h预报OLRC和GLWC的距平相关系数都在0.93以上,标准误差都在31 W m-2以内,且GLWC预报和NCEP再分析资料的相关性比OLRC略好,OLRC预报与NCEP再分析资料的的标准误差比GLWC略小。通过和RRTM长波辐射方案对比可知,两者的预报水平基本一致。本文研究结果表明,引入NASA/Goddard长波辐射方案后的GRAPES_Meso模式整体上能够较好地预报OLRC和GLWC,该辐射方案可以作为模式GRAPES_Meso的备选辐射方案之一。     

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