青岛市大气污染时间序列分析预报方法研究

根据青岛市大气污染监测资料 ,采用时间序列分析方法 ,建立多种预报模型 ,有原序列周期外延法、均生函数周期外延法、均生函数逐步回归法以及自回归预报法等 ,最后提出一种综合预报模型。连续预报试验表明 ,综合预报模型优于任何个别预报模型 ,有较好的预报能力。利用马尔可夫概型对污染状态 (轻、中、重 )进行了分级预报试验 ,也获得良好的效果。     

Measurement of 224Ra, 226Ra and 228Ra in seawater using Mn-fiber adsorption-γ spectrum method

I~IOXThe half-lives of natural radioactive nuclides "'Ra, 226Ra and 228Ra are 3. 66 d, 5. 76 a,1600 a respectively, hence, the marine process with various time scales can be researched by taking these nuclides as tracers. Because these nuclides can be determined by measuring them or theirdaughters' a,g, y-rays, they have been applied extensively in oceanography research. Huang(1996), Huang et al. (1996 a,b) and Chen (1996) have given reviews on it.Since the contents of "'Ra, 226Ra and 228…     

Measurement of nuclides of uranium and thorium series of disequilibrium using γ-spectroscopy

ＩＮＴＲＯＤＵＣＴＩＯＮＴｈｅｒａｄｉｏｎｕｃｌｉｄｅｓｏｆｎａｔｕｒａｌｕｒａｎｉｕｍａｎｄｔｈｏｒｉｕｍｓｅｒｉｅｓｃａｎｂｅｕｓｅｄｔｏｔｒａｃｅｍａｒｉｎｅｐｒｏ ｃｅｓｓｏｆｖａｒｉｏｕｓｔｅｍｐｏｒａｌａｎｄｓｐａｔｉａｌｓｃａｌｅａｎｄｐｒｏｐｅｒｔｉｅｓｔｈａｔｐｒｏｖｉｄｅｐｌｅｎｔｉｆｕｌｉｎｆｏｒｍａｔｉｏｎａｂｏｕｔｐｈｙｓｉｃｓ,ｃｈｅｍｉｓｔｒｙ ,ｇｅｏｓｃｉｅｎｃｅａｎｄｂｉｏｌｏｇｙｏｆｏｃｅａｎｂｅｃａｕｓｅｔｈｅｙｈａｖｅｄｉｆｆｅｒｅｎｔｃｈｅｍｉｃａｌｐｒｏ…     

A fuzzy distinguishability on species composition similarities of pelagic fishes in different years in the southern Taiwan Strait

I\rnooUcrIoxThe drpdric fish species cor-npositlon is an imPOrtant element 1n the study of fish ecologyand plays an important guiding role ln fishery preduction and roouLrces rnanagement. Lin(l988) and Zhang (1994 and l995) have studied the simi1drities of mpulation COtwsition ofame s1ngle species of different yea-rs including hairtail Trichuras haumee and yellDw cndertwinena cmi. But no rePOrt is available on the discridrination of the sidrildrities amongmuLlt1ple sPecies composition of…     

Artificial upwelling induced by ocean currents —Theory and experiment

A submerged apparatus, which consists of a buoy, several horizontal contraction and expansion tubes (Venturi-type tubes) and a long pipe, is expected to be used to pump the subsurface sea-water (200–300 meter depth) containing abundant nutrients to surface layer (50–100 m) by the dynamic of ocean currents. i.e. an artificial upwelling without energy cost. A preliminary experiment and analysis are undertaken and shows that the capacity of pumping the nutrient-rich sea-water is worth to build a pilot prototype model.     

满足给定数字特征和谱的随机信号的产生

本文给出了满足给定数字特征和谱的随机序列的产生方法，即用无记忆非线性变换实现非正态随机信号的模拟．该法与Ｇｕｊａｒ法相比较，放宽了变量概率分布的限制，只要求变量矩的存在。同时考虑无记忆非线性变换对谱的影响，用异于Ｌｉｕ的方法在频域上求解输入正态分布随机序列的谱．     

梭鱼仔鱼耳石日轮形成及自然种群日龄的鉴定

梭鱼实验种群样本,系于1987年5月,从山东大沽河口搜集的亲鱼经人工授精后孵出的仔鱼在实验室培育取得;自然种群样本,于同年同地区采集。对于实验种群耳石生长轮形成的周期性进行了研究。结果表明,实验种群培育天数(D)与耳石生长轮数(N)之间的关系以回归式N=D-1.89表达之;根据实验种群耳石轮纹形成的周期性规律,鉴定了自然种群的日龄,表明二者具相似的周期性规律;协方差分析表明,梭鱼早期阶段的生长,自然种群比实验种群快。     

Surficial Sedimentary Diatoms in Okinawa Trough and Its Response to Kuroshio Current

This paper describes the relative contents of dominant diatom species and the distributive characteristics of tropical pelagic species and diatom assemblages, and also discusses the relations between the relative content of tropical pelagic species and Kuroshio Current and between the distribution of diatom assemblages and material sources. The results show that the limit of＞20% relative content of tropical pelagic species is basically consistent with the demarcation of Kuroshio Current, and that the distributions of dominant diatom species and diatom assemblages reserve the records of their closer relations to material sources.     

Processes Causing the Temporal Changes in Si/N Ratios of Nutrient Consumptions and Export Flux during the Spring Diatom Bloom

Two processes are generally explained as causes of temporal changes in the stoichiometric silicon/nitrogen (Si/N) ratios of sinking particles and of nutrient consumption in the surface water during the spring diatom bloom: (1) physiological changes of diatom under the stress of photosynthesis of diatom and (2) differences of regeneration between silicon and nitrogen. We investigated which process plays an important role in these changes using a one-dimensional ecosystem model that explicitly represents diatom and the other non-silicious phytoplankton. The model was applied to station A7 (41°30′ N, 145°30′ E) in the western North Pacific, where diatom regularly blooms in spring. Model simulations show that the Si/N ratios of the flux exported by the sinking particles at 100 m depth and of nutrient consumptions in the upper 100 m surface water have their maxima at the end of the spring diatom bloom, the values and timings of which are significantly different from each other. Analyses of the model results show that the differences of regeneration between silicon and nitrogen mainly cause the temporal changes of the Si/N ratios. On the other hand, the physiological changes of diatoms under stress can hardly cause these temporal changes, because the effect of the change in the diatom's uptake ratio of silicon to nitrogen is cancelled by that in its sinking rate.     

A Zonal Pathway for NADW in the South Atlantic

Several large deployments of neutrally buoyant floats took place within the Antarctic Intermediate (AAIW), North Atlantic Deep Water (NADW), and the Antarctic Bottom Water (AABW) of the South Atlantic in the 1990s and a number of hydrographic sections were occupied as well. Here we use the spatially and temporally averaged velocities measured by these floats, combined with the hydrographic section data and various estimates of regional current transports from moored current meter arrays, to determine the circulation of the three major subthermocline water masses in a zonal strip across the South Atlantic between the latitudes of 19°S and 30°S. We concentrate on this region because the historical literature suggests that it is where the Deep Western Boundary Current containing NADW bifurcates. In support of this notion, we find that a net of about 5 Sv. of the 15–20 Sv that crosses 19°S does continue zonally eastward at least as far as the Mid-Atlantic Ridge. Once across the ridge it takes a circuit to the north along the ridge flanks before returning to the south in the eastern half of the Angola Basin. The data suggest that the NADW then continues on into the Indian Ocean. This scheme is discussed in the context of distributions of dissolved oxygen, silicate and salinity. In spite of the many float-years of data that were collected in the region a surprising result is that their impact on the computed solutions is quite modest. Although the focus is on the NADW we also discuss the circulation for the AAIW and AABW layers.