The expert system for earthquake prediction (I)—the overall design and main structure

The Expert System For Earthquake Prediction (ESEP) is summarized in this paper. ESEP embraces three subsystems: long-middle term prediction system, annual prediction system and middle-short term prediction system. Each of the subsystems is composed of seven modules: the controlling module, the data base module, the expert knowledge base module, the method base module, the fact preparation module, the reasoning and decision-making module and the plotting and displaying module. The reasoning model ESEP/R and the knowledge expression model ESEP/K are set up in the ESEP, and new evidence combinations, CON (confine), W (weigh), and SYN (synthesize), have been proposed. The distinctive features of the ESEP are: (1) systemized; (2) several experts’ knowledge can be synthesized; (3) a large amount of data and experts’ experience is embraced; (4) four reasoning models and the synthetic decision-making technic are adopted; (5) several software environments are used; (6) modularization; and (7) possessing the friendly user interfaces. The Chinese version of this paper appeared in the Chinese edition ofActa Seismologica Sinica,14, 1–8, 1992.     

论金矿床的形成演化特点及预测意义

查明金矿床形成的时空分布的不均匀性,对指导金矿床预测有重要意义。笔者在我国胶东、小秦岭等主要金矿带研究的基础上,从三个方面论述了金矿床成矿演化规律:1)金矿床在地质历史上的成矿演化;2)不同地质作用过程中的成矿演化;3)成矿过程中不同矿化阶段的定向演化。这些规律对优选金矿床勘查靶区和矿床(点)评价都有重要指导意义。     

西安市地裂缝CO2异常特征及异常机理初步研究

本文论述了西安地裂缝0.5m和2.0m深处CO_2异常特征,并对其异常机理进行了初步探讨。结果表明,0.5m深处CO_2异常范围较大,与地裂缝造成的破坏范围基本一致,其CO_2主要来源于生物作用;2.0m深处CO_2异常范围窄,与主地裂缝的位置有很好的对应关系,其CO_2主要来源于断裂活动造成的碳酸盐岩破裂释气。     

麻山群孔兹岩系柱晶石特征及成因研究

文中所涉及的柱晶石产于我国黑龙江省东部麻山群变质沉积岩系中。作者对矿物的形态、物性、化学成分、结构特征及岩石矿物共生组合进行了系统研究,并与国外同类矿物的资料进行了对比。结合对麻山群变质地质的详细研究,本文还对柱晶石的成因及地质意义进行了探讨。     

陕北南泥湾油田测井方法技术及发展方向

本文着重介绍了陕北南泥湾油田特低渗高阻含油层的测井系列选择及测井解释原则,并利用测井曲线估算储集层参数孔隙度、渗透率、含油饱和度,选择最佳压裂油段,取得了显著的地质效果。文中最后指出陕北石油测井今后应解决的地质问题和测井发展方向——数字测井技术。     

中国上地幔角闪石及其成因意义

我国土地幔成因角闪石以高铝(一般>2.0)为特征,以TiO_2、Cr_2O_3含量差异相区别,划分为韭闪石和钛角闪石两大类。韭闪石又有四种不同的成因类型:贫铬、钛型(Cr_2O_3=0.15％,TiO_2=0.07％),富铬型(Cr_2O_3=2.18％),富钛型(TiO_2=3.14％)和富铬、钛型(Cr_2O_3=2.59％,TiO_2=3.16％)。除贫铬、钛型韭闪石发现于苏北-胶南高压变质岩石中外,其它三种韭闪石(产于大陆区)和钛角闪石(产于台湾西部)均来自各种地幔橄榄岩、辉石岩及新生代玄武岩中。不管它们的产出方式如何(填隙、嵌晶、巨晶和包裹体子矿物),都直接或间接与地幔流体的交代作用有关,但各具成因之特点。     

A robust algorithm for ellipse-based discrete element modelling of granular materials

With recent research indicating the importance of the rolling mechanism of deformation in granular systems consisting of perfectly round particles, it has become popular to use ellipse-shaped particles in the Discrete Element Method (DEM) numerical model. Inherent in this technique is the need for accurately computing ellipse to ellipse intersection, in order to properly detect contact formation and compute relative contact velocities. However, the commonly used algorithms for computing ellipse-ellipse intersection are generally poorly conditioned and can be inaccurate. An alternate method for computing ellipse-ellipse intersection is developed and presented which results in a well-conditioned, stable and accurate contact detection method. These modification are incorporated into the general DEM algorithm.     

山西省水化正常动态和地震的关系

使用《地震分析预报方法指南——水文地球化学方法》软件系统,对山西省多年来的水化资料进行了处理分析,给出各台站水氡的正常年动态变化;对两次大同地震前CO_2及He的前兆异常进行了总结,并提出了判断异常前兆的标志.