Late Palaeozoic NE–SW ductile–brittle extension in the La Serre horst,eastern France

In the La Serre horst of the Alpine foreland, the pre-Triassic La Serre median fault zone separates a Late Devonian–Early Carboniferous granite from an ignimbrite of unknown age and from Permian deposits. Motion along this fault zone took place first in ductile conditions and then evolved in brittle conditions. Both ductile and brittle shear criteria indicate a top-NE normal-dextral displacement. Similar motions are reported along faults bounding Late Palaeozoic intramontane coal basins located in the Massif Central and correspond to a widespread NE–SW Late to Post-Orogenic extension that affected the Variscan basement during Late Carboniferous to Early Permian times. To cite this article: G. Coromina, O. Fabbri, C. R. Geoscience 336 (2004).     

Geostatistical Modeling of a Heterogeneous Site Bordering the Venice Lagoon,Italy

Geostatistical methods are well suited for analyzing the local and spatial uncertainties that accompany the modeling of highly heterogeneous three-dimensional (3D) geological architectures. The spatial modeling of 3D hydrogeological architectures is crucial for polluted site characterization, in regards to both groundwater modeling and planning remediation procedures. From this perspective, the polluted site of Porto Marghera, located on the periphery of the Venice lagoon, represents an interesting example. For this site, the available dense spatial sampling network, with 769 boreholes over an area of 6 km², allows us to evaluate the high geological heterogeneity by means of indicator kriging and sequential indicator simulation. We show that geostatistical methodologies and ad hoc post processing of geostatistical analysis results allow us to effectively analyze the high hydrogeological heterogeneity of the studied site.     

Predicting landslides for risk analysis — Spatial models tested by a cross-validation technique

A landslide-hazard map is intended to show the location of future slope instability. Most spatial models of the hazard lack reliability tests of the procedures and predictions for estimating the probabilities of future landslides, thus precluding use of the maps for probabilistic risk analysis. To correct this deficiency we propose a systematic procedure comprising two analytical steps: “relative-hazard mapping” and “empirical probability estimation”. A mathematical model first generates a prediction map by dividing an area into “prediction” classes according to the relative likelihood of occurrence of future landslides, conditional by local geomorphic and topographic characteristics. The second stage estimates empirically the probability of landslide occurrence in each prediction class, by applying a cross-validation technique. Cross-validation, a “blind test” here using non-overlapping spatial or temporal subsets of mapped landslides, evaluates accuracy of the prediction and from the resulting statistics estimates occurrence probabilities of future landslides. This quantitative approach, exemplified by several experiments in an area near Lisbon, Portugal, can accommodate any subsequent analysis of landslide risk.     

Thermoddem: A geochemical database focused on low temperature water/rock interactions and waste materials

The development of Thermoddem, a thermodynamic database devoted to geochemical modelling for environmental studies in general and, more specifically, to chemical systems involving waste materials, is discussed here. Concerns are also focused on taking into account some specific needs for modellers by proposing different output formats and some important information concerning the solid phases, the transformation path, paragenesis and insights into crystallographic details. This additional information aims to avoid considering phases that may not be “active” under current environmental conditions. The database is especially devoted to environmental applications, ranging from waste material management to pollutant behaviour, including the context of deep underground disposal. Selection rules and conventions are illustrated through the example of the Fe-water system, while a second example details the relationships between low and high ionic strength media, from the point of view of thermodynamic databases. Technical aspects concerning the development of a management information system for Thermoddem and its availability on the web (http://thermoddem.brgm.fr) are also provided.