地下水气体组分的潮汐变化

我们观察了日本中部Omaezaki地区地下水气体组分时间序列数据的周期性变化,Omaezaki是日本地震预报目录中即将到来的Tokai地震前兆信号观察的重要地区.我们已经开始在一口100 m深的井中对地下水中气体组分进行持续监测.     

第22章：数字地震信号分析

日益丰富和完善的地震数据在过去几十年里促进了地震学的长足发展。我们收集、处理和分析地震数据的能力借助于电子和数字计算机的发展得到迅速提高。几十年前地震图主要是模拟记录。现在除了一些基本的用途外，模拟记录由于其动态范围低、记录系统的时间精度差以及数据处理不方便等因素而很少使用了。     

煤矸石-水相互作用溶解动力学——Ⅱ.煤矸石微量金属元素的矿物学研究

通过对自然风化前后煤矸石微量重金属元素(Cd,Cu,Mo,Pb和Zn)含量与赋存状态的分析和研究发现:煤矸石的自然风化过程是一个微量重金属的富集过程.在这个过程中,以硫化物矿物存在的微量重金属随着硫的氧化而分解.但是,由于已风化煤矸石表面有机质和铁的胶体的存在,这些重金属元素没能迁移到周围环境中去,而是保留在煤矸石的残余构架中.这样,就微量重金属的污染而言,煤矸石对周围环境的影响是有限的.     

地震预报研究--对此问题及将来工作方向的个人见解

本文是作者于1983年访华期间接受中国学术刊物的请求而撰写的.文中指出,地震应力在数量上相当小,因此它的效应一定很微妙,需要有灵敏的仪器去觉察它们.文中对压磁效应、波速比、应变、地倾斜、大地测量、电阻率、水氡和前震等各国常用的地震预报手段进行了评价,提出了建议.结论为,虽然注意到了 Brune[1](1979)关于在原理上地震可能是不可预报的强有力的论证,但作者并不那样悲观.认为地壳可能十分不均匀,它的状态可能是多变的,这就要求我们拥有大量数据.所以必须同时使用几种方法和大量的仪器进行观测.更多的注意力应放在:(1)地震波传播的各向异性和衰减,(2)多色激光测距,(3)改善构造磁学中的信噪比,(4)在电导率测量中使用可交替极性的供电极和较大面积的测量极网和(5)对前震和余震序列的统计学分析进行重新仔细检验.     

A hybrid artificial neural network-numerical model for ground water problems

Numerical models constitute the most advanced physical-based methods for modeling complex ground water systems. Spatial and/or temporal variability of aquifer parameters, boundary conditions, and initial conditions (for transient simulations) can be assigned across the numerical model domain. While this constitutes a powerful modeling advantage, it also presents the formidable challenge of overcoming parameter uncertainty, which, to date, has not been satisfactorily resolved, inevitably producing model prediction errors. In previous research, artificial neural networks (ANNs), developed with more accessible field data, have achieved excellent predictive accuracy over discrete stress periods at site-specific field locations in complex ground water systems. In an effort to combine the relative advantages of numerical models and ANNs, a new modeling paradigm is presented. The ANN models generate accurate predictions for a limited number of field locations. Appending them to a numerical model produces an overdetermined system of equations, which can be solved using a variety of mathematical techniques, potentially yielding more accurate numerical predictions. Mathematical theory and a simple two-dimensional example are presented to overview relevant mathematical and modeling issues. Two of the three methods for solving the overdetermined system achieved an overall improvement in numerical model accuracy for various levels of synthetic ANN errors using relatively few constrained head values (i.e., cells), which, while demonstrating promise, requires further research. This hybrid approach is not limited to ANN technology; it can be used with other approaches for improving numerical model predictions, such as regression or support vector machines (SVMs).     

东昆仑活动断裂带西大滩段断层气(Rn,CO2)的释放特征

通过在东昆仑活动断裂带西大滩段进行断层气测试,首次获取了该断裂带中Rn和CO2的释放量。在2004年开挖的2～3m深的探槽内,氡浓度可达20732Bq.m-3,氡发射率可达433mBq.m-2.s-1,远高于在地表的氡浓度505～2380Bq.m-3与氡发射率7～28.19mBq.m-2.s-1(地表氡发射率均值为14.7mBq.m-2.s-1,与世界平均值相当)。从而我们推断该断裂具有从上部第四系覆盖物到深部花岗岩之间的良好连通性。在地表CO2的析出率平均值为18.9g.m-2.d-1,与通常的背景值相当,在探槽中和距离断层1km的地方没有明显的空间变化,但是在断层北侧3km处的一个近乎直立的千枚岩小山上,CO2的析出率却很高,为421g.m-2.d-1,同时该处氡的发射率也高,达503mBq.m-2.s-1,因此,有必要在该断裂附近进行长期监测     

Ecosystem service provision: an operational way for marine biodiversity conservation and management

Since no extensive conceptual framework has been developed on the issues of ecosystem service (ES) and service provider (SP) in the marine environment, we have made an attempt to apply these to the conservation and management of marine biodiversity. Within this context, an accurate individuation of SPs, namely the biological component of a given ecosystem that supports human activities is fundamental. SPs are the agents responsible for making the ES-based approach operational. The application of these concepts to the marine environment should be based on an model different to the terrestrial one. In the latter, the basic model envisages a matrix of a human-altered landscape with fragments of original biodiversity; conversely, in the marine environment the model provides fragments where human activities are carried out and the matrix is represented by the original biodiversity. We have identified three main classes of ES provision: in natural, disturbed and human-controlled environments. Economic valuation of marine ESs is an essential condition for making conservation strategies financially sustainable, as it may stimulate the perceived need for investing in protection and exploitation of marine resources.     

与地震活动相关的电磁扰动的空间观测

介绍了地震附近甚低频（VLF）电磁波信号强度统计分析结果。统计数据全部来自法国的DEMETER卫星（轨道高度700km,近太阳同步轨道）,处理中采用了稳健的两步处理方法。第一步,利用所有的观测数据构建电磁辐射背景图,在给定条件和给定轨道位置对电场波动强度进行了统计描述。第二步,在第一步得到的电场波动强度的统计分布背景基础上,对地震附近的观测数据进行分析,研究由地震活动引起的电场波动强度的变化,评估它们在统计上的显著性。在整个分析过程中,我们总计使用了大于两年半的卫星观测数据,并对在此期间全球范围内发生的大约9000个震级大于或等于4．8的地震进行了统计分析。统计结果显示,在夜间时段,对于浅源地震（震源深度小于或等于40km）,在震前0～4小时的短时间内,电场波动强度会有4～6dB的显著降低。