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131.
132.
E. G. Kolomyts 《Russian Meteorology and Hydrology》2008,33(7):430-440
The gradient (ordination) analysis was used to find the tendencies and the rate of changes in discrete parameters of the cycle of forest phytomasses accompanying a growing thermoarid climatic trend. The prognostic estimates of biotic regulation of the carbon cycle by forest biogeocenoses according to the HadCM3 (version A2) climatic scenarios, describing the most powerful coming global warming, are presented. 相似文献
133.
Diurnal variation of deep cloud systems over the Indian region using INSAT-1B pixel data 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
Summary
Among the various time scales of deep clouds, diurnal variation is found to be prominent over the tropics. The present study
examines the diurnal variation in the number and area cover associated with the cloud systems over the tropical Indian region
using INSAT-1B pixel data. Three periods, namely, April–May 1988, July–August 1988, and January–February 1989 are considered.
The dependence of diurnal characteristics on the temperature threshold, life duration and size of cloud systems, and land-sea
contrast has been explored. The diurnal characteristics of cloud systems living for more than a day have been studied for
the first time. It is shown that cloud systems exhibit strong diurnal dependence at the coldest temperature threshold used
(201 K). Also, the diurnal variation is more for larger cloud systems and for longer living systems. In general, more deep
cloud activity is found from the satellite data during the pre-dawn and early morning hours. Precipitation is enhanced during
morning to early noon hours. Further, using data from a recent field experiment, clear evidence of diurnal variation in precipitation
over the Bay of Bengal is also presented.
Received March 20, 2000/Revised October 3, 2000 相似文献
134.
B. E. Peskov A. A. Alekseeva A. E. Nikiforova 《Russian Meteorology and Hydrology》2008,33(10):644-650
The physical-synoptic principles of the automated method of summer precipitation forecasting introduced into operational prognostic practice in 2006 by the decree of the Central Methodical Commission of the Federal Service for Hydrometeorology and Environmental Monitoring (Roshydromet) are presented. Beside that, improved modifications of this method, which are automatically updated, are shown. Validation of those updates based on observational data collected in 2004 has shown improvement of all major criteria of forecasts efficiency. The performed improvement is based on the more detailed quantitative realization of mechanism of various showers formation (including heavy rainfalls). 相似文献
135.
M. R. E. Proctor 《Astronomische Nachrichten》1977,298(1):19-25
The kinematic α-effect dynamo problem is investigated in the case of an exterior perfect conductor. It is shown that certain approximate symmetries discovered in the numerical analysis of ROBERTS (1972) are exact for this case. As an illustration, an exact solution is given in a cylindrical geometry, where the equations can be written in terms of one variable. The implications for the earth's dynamo are discussed. 相似文献
136.
E. Leimanis 《Astronomische Nachrichten》1976,297(3):141-143
The requirement that near a singular point of the equations of motion the power series expansions of the old variables in terms of the new ones start with second order terms leads to the transformation z = sin21/2w related to that of THIELE -BURRAU . Using this new transformation, a derivation of the regularized equations of motion is given. The original as well as the regularized equations of motion are of interest, for example, for calculating the initial values of the orbital elements for SCHWARZSCHILD's periodic solutions (LEIMANIS and OLUND 1972). 相似文献
137.
Measures of Parameter Uncertainty in Geostatistical Estimation and Geostatistical Optimal Design 总被引:2,自引:2,他引:2
Wolfgang Nowak 《Mathematical Geosciences》2010,42(2):199-221
Studies of site exploration, data assimilation, or geostatistical inversion measure parameter uncertainty in order to assess
the optimality of a suggested scheme. This study reviews and discusses measures for parameter uncertainty in spatial estimation.
Most measures originate from alphabetic criteria in optimal design and were transferred to geostatistical estimation. Further
rather intuitive measures can be found in the geostatistical literature, and some new measures will be suggested in this study.
It is shown how these measures relate to the optimality alphabet and to relative entropy. Issues of physical and statistical
significance are addressed whenever they arise. Computational feasibility and efficient ways to evaluate the above measures
are discussed in this paper, and an illustrative synthetic case study is provided. A major conclusion is that the mean estimation
variance and the averaged conditional integral scale are a powerful duo for characterizing conditional parameter uncertainty,
with direct correspondence to the well-understood optimality alphabet. This study is based on cokriging generalized to uncertain
mean and trends because it is the most general representative of linear spatial estimation within the Bayesian framework.
Generalization to kriging and quasi-linear schemes is straightforward. Options for application to non-Gaussian and non-linear
problems are discussed. 相似文献
138.
Juan Pablo Corella Adel El Amrani Javier Sigró Mario Morellón Eugenio Rico Blas Lorenzo Valero-Garcés 《Journal of Paleolimnology》2011,46(3):469-485
We present a high-resolution, multiproxy reconstruction of the depositional history of Lake Arreo, northern Spain, for the
last 60 years. We conducted sedimentological, geochemical and diatom analyses in short cores and made a detailed comparison
with regional instrumental climate data (1952–2007), limnological monitoring of the lake (1992–2008) and recent land use changes
that affect the lake catchment. Chronology is based on “floating” discontinuous varve counts and 137Cs and 14C dates. Four periods were identified in the Lake Arreo recent history: (1) prior to 1963, varved facies intercalated with
fine turbidite deposits, and diatom assemblages dominated by Cyclotella taxa indicate predominantly meromictic conditions, (2) from 1964 to 1978, permanent anoxia persisted in bottom waters, as shown
by similar facies and diatom assemblages as before, though detrital layers were coarser, (3) from 1979 to 1994, sediment delivery
to the lake increased and laminated, clastic facies were deposited, and (4) from 1995 to 2008, dominance of massive facies
and an increase in Fragilaria tenera and Achnanthes minutissima reflect relatively lower lake levels, less frequent bottom anoxia with more frequent water column mixing, similar to modern
conditions. The period 1952–1979 was a time of meromixis and varved facies deposition, and was characterized by higher rainfall
and less intense agricultural pressure in the watershed. There were two short humid periods (1992–1993 and 1996–1998) when
monitoring data show more anoxic weeks per year and relatively higher lake levels. Increased cultivation of small landholdings
in 1963, and particularly after 1979, caused a large increase in sediment delivery to the lake. The inferred lake evolution
is in agreement with monitoring data that suggest a transition from dominantly meromictic conditions prior to 1993–1994 to
a predominantly monomictic pattern of circulation since then, particularly after 2000. The synergistic effects of intensive
water extraction for irrigation and lower rainfall since 1979, and particularly since 1994, brought the long period of meromictic
conditions in Lake Arreo to an end. Water balance and sediment delivery to the lake are dominant factors that control the
limnological and mixing conditions in Lake Arreo and they must be considered in management and restoration plans. 相似文献
139.
Data from the Pulkovo spectrophotometric data base on the absolute quasimonochromatic fluxes from oCet in the 320–1080 nm range are used to determine the physical parameters of this star in different phases of its light curve. The continuum emission layer is found to expand between the phases of the cycle corresponding to the rising and falling branches of the light curve. The average expansion velocity is 32 km/s. By the time the star’s brightness has fallen by roughly three magnitudes, its radius has increased by almost a factor of three. Over this same time the temperature of the layer has fallen from 3000 K to 2200 K. For this expansion velocity, the calculated mass rate loss is ⊙ M /year.__________Translated from Astrofizika, Vol. 48, No. 2, pp. 175–189 (May 2005). 相似文献
140.
Yanchao He Ming Xu Xianghua Jia Roberto Armellin 《Celestial Mechanics and Dynamical Astronomy》2017,128(2-3):275-294
The focus of this paper is the design and station keeping of repeat-groundtrack orbits for Sun-synchronous satellites. A method to compute the semimajor axis of the orbit is presented together with a station-keeping strategy to compensate for the perturbation due to the atmospheric drag. The results show that the nodal period converges gradually with the increase of the order used in the zonal perturbations up to \(J_{15}\). A differential correction algorithm is performed to obtain the nominal semimajor axis of the reference orbit from the inputs of the desired nodal period, eccentricity, inclination and argument of perigee. To keep the satellite in the proximity of the repeat-groundtrack condition, a practical orbit maintenance strategy is proposed in the presence of errors in the orbital measurements and control, as well as in the estimation of the semimajor axis decay rate. The performance of the maintenance strategy is assessed via the Monte Carlo simulation and the validation in a high fidelity model. Numerical simulations substantiate the validity of proposed mean-elements-based orbit maintenance strategy for repeat-groundtrack orbits. 相似文献