参考大气谱方法在国家气象中心谱模式上的应用

参考大气引入中期谱模式，能有效地减少截谱误差，提高预报精度。文章主要叙述了参考大气在国家气象中心业务预报谱模式上的进一步发展。计算结果表明，引入参考大气后，T63预报质量和降水的TS评分均有一定程度的提高。     

Predictability in limited area and global models

Summary Selected small domain LAM forecasts modulated by highly corrugated underlying topography, and driven by different state-of-science outer models suggest that uncertain outer model guidance for LAMs produces large, domain averaged sensitivity. A further literature survey indicates that many LAM forecasts are relatively insensitive to details of the local initial state, and that mesoscales show slight error growth, in contradiction to classical predictability theory. A series of global predictability experiments is presented in order to reconcile the contradiction. The experiments imply that, even in baroclinically unstable atmospheres, the most common sources of local error growth are associated with small uncertainties of the larger spatial scales rather than small uncertainties of the smaller spatial scales. Variable resolution, real-data experiments of barotropic versions of the global model display substantial mesoscale error growth, due principally to the effect of larger scales. The uncertainties possessing largest spatial scale appear as boundary uncertainties in LAMs, and explain the strong boundary sensitivity and weak local initial data sensitivity observed in many LAMs. We infer that accurate depiction of the largest spatial scales is a first order priority for accurate local prediction, and that for the advective portion of the dynamics, errors of the outer model that provides lateral boundary conditions may impose the largest current practical limitation for many LAM predictions.With 10 Figures     

Observation of gravity waves in a boreal forest

In this paper we report the results of the analysis of two 60-min wave events that occurred in a boreal aspen forest during the 1994 BOREAS (Boreal Ecosystems-Atmosphere Study) field experiment. High frequency wind and temperature data were provided by three 3-D sonic anemometer/thermometers and fourteen fine-wire thermocouples positioned within and above the forest. Wave phase speeds, estimated from information revealed by spectral analysis and linear plane wave equations, are 2.2 and 1.3 m s^-1 for the two events. The wavelengths are 130 m and 65 m respectively and are much larger than the vertical wave displacements. There is strong evidence from the present analysis and from the literature supporting our postulate that these waves are generated by shear instability. We propose that wind shear near the top of the stand is often large enough to reduce the gradient Richardson number below the critical value of 0.25 and thus is able to trigger the instability. When external conditions are favorable, the instability will grow into waves.     

外资：发展中国家城市化的新动力：珠江三角洲个案研究

城市化的研究历来都偏重于内力的营造，例如区域经济的不同发展步伐，乡村－市的人口流动，政府的地区性经济政策以及新城市的建设等。在资本、人力、技术和市场走向“全球化”的情况下，新的国际分工自１９８０年以来已成为一些发展中国家和地区的人口及经济活动急剧增长与集中的主要动力。本文对这一类型城市化的特点和空间形态作出了概括性的描述。     

长江和珠江三角洲经济发展的异同性

本文分析、比较长江三角洲和珠江三角洲两个地区经济发展定位、工业结构和区域协调的性质与机制等问题，并相应地提出一些对策建议。     

二安替比林基—（2—溴）苯基甲烷与铈的显色反应及应用

合成了二安替比林基＿（２＿溴）苯基甲烷（ＤＡｏＢＭ）。在Ｍｎ（Ⅱ）和吐温＿８０存在下，Ｃｅ（Ⅳ）与ＤＡｏＢＭ反应生成有色化合物，λｍａｘ为４８０ｎｍ，摩尔吸光系数为３１×１０５Ｌ·ｍｏｌ－１·ｃｍ－１。Ｃｅ（Ⅳ）的质量浓度为０００４～０２ｍｇ／Ｌ时符合比尔定律。方法已用于稀土矿石中微量Ｃｅ（Ⅳ）的测定，结果与ＩＣＰ＿ＡＥＳ法相符     

用GMS卫星资料反演复杂地形下的降水率

强降水主要由生命史短的中小尺度天气系统造成,对此类天气系统的预报,目前只有依靠卫星和雷达的实时监测并结合中系统的概念模式外推来完成。由于中国西北地区地形极为复杂,造成雷达盲区,影响其估算降水率。因此采用GMS-4卫星的红外和可见光展宽云图资料,经处理并转换后,再加入相应网格点上的数字化地形高度资料作为因子之一,用多级逐步判别模式估算逐时雨强等级,最后形成一套可在微机上对雨强场进行图像显示及处理的软件系统,满足了现时预报的需要。结果表明,小雨以上的降雨区域不论面积、形状均与实况基本一致。     

试论陆壳增生的两种基本模式及其对比

大陆地壳是地球形成演化的必然产物。大陆地壳由不同时代、不同类型、不同规模地体的拼贴而增生；同时已形成的大陆地壳沿着新的断裂分裂、离散而碱小。因此大陆地壳是地体拼贴增生与分裂离散的综合结果。太古代早期，原始陆壳形成后，主要通过环太平洋型与天山型两种基本模式达到陆壳的增生。环太平洋型陆壳增生模式出现于陆块的边缘，由古大陆向大洋方向单向增生，增生年代由老到新，增生地体一般都有较大距离的移置，其增生与板块的俯冲作用密切有关。天山型陆壳增生模式出现在陆块的内部，其形成与陆块的开台作用密切有关，可以但不一定伴随有俯冲作用。当古大陆沿一定方向断裂带分裂、离散。其间形成新的海槽接受碳酸盐岩和正常陆源碎屑沉积物与来自地壳深部或地幔的火山物质。由于壳下应力条件改变，两侧古陆相向运动，海槽中物质受两侧古陆碰撞挤压，形成褶皱造山带，并把两侧的古大陆“焊接”成新的、范围更大的大陆地壳。     

构造地质学计算机辅助教学课件SGCAI

构造地质学计算机辅助教学课件（ＳＧＣＡＩ）利用数据库，图形动画及多媒体等技术，对地质学基础课程的计算机辅助教学研究作了初步探索，课件分为学生学习，教师管理，附属功能和执行四大模块，具有学习选择，图片说明，动画演示，练习测验，辅导答题等十个功能，课件设计新颖，技术全面，使用方便，使用该课件能充分调动学生学习的主观能动性，使学生成为真正的学习主体，有助于提高教学质量。